AEL vs Krasava Ypsonas• 1. Division, Cyprus

#51.4:1.214:0007/11 · Alphamega Stadium, Kolossi1.4:2.2#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.601XBX3.90B36525.30BTNMargin at best7.0%Books6Markets56Rating56 · 44Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Nov 00:31 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.60	3.95	5.30	6.7%
Dafabet	1.59	3.90	5.20	7.8%
1xBet	1.60	3.88	5.07	8.0%
Bet365	1.57	3.90	5.25	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.58	3.88	5.10	8.7%
Betfair	1.55	3.90	5.00	10.2%
Best of all books	1.60	3.95	5.30	6.7%
Average	1.58	3.90	5.15	8.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AELKrasava Ypsonas

Last 10#5Table position#141.88Points per game0.639Form pts · last 581.4Goals for · last 51.41.2Goals against · last 52.250Attack rating5065Defence rating3564Form rating3650H2H rating5075Goals model2556Overall rating44

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Nov 00:03 UTC

AEL

7W 0D 3L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

3 Nov	H	Iraklis Yerolakkou	2-1	W
31 Oct	A	Omonia Nicosia	0-2	L
25 Oct	H	Aris	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Omonia Aradippou	2-0	W
11 Oct	H	Omonia 29is Maiou	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Pafos	2-0	W
11 Sep	H	Nea Salamis	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	Apoel Nicosia	0-6	L
30 Aug	H	Anorthosis	2-0	W
19 Aug	A	Krasava Odintsovo	4-0	W

Krasava Ypsonas

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:17 · per match 1.0 for, 1.7 against

31 Oct	H	AEK Larnaca	2-2	D
24 Oct	A	Olympiakos	1-1	D
17 Oct	H	Karmiotissa	2-1	W
14 Oct	A	Spartakos Kitiou	2-0	W
10 Oct	H	Apollon Limassol	1-3	L
20 Sep	A	Omonia Nicosia	1-4	L
14 Sep	H	Aris	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Omonia Aradippou	1-2	L
28 Aug	H	Omonia 29is Maiou	0-3	L
17 May	H	Enosis	0-0	D

Head to head

1AEL wins

1draws

1Krasava Ypsonas wins

3 meetings · goals 2:4 · last 3: 1W 1D 1L for AEL

2 May 20261. Division	1. Division	Krasava Ypsonas1-1AEL
9 Feb 20261. Division	1. Division	Krasava Ypsonas3-0AEL
26 Oct 20251. Division	1. Division	AEL1-0Krasava Ypsonas

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 5 Nov 06:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, AEL sit 5th with 15 points from 8 games, while Krasava Ypsonas are 14th with 5 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	8	5	2	1	15:7	+8	17
2	Apollon Limassol	8	4	4	0	21:10	+11	16
3	Omonia Nicosia	8	4	3	1	15:6	+9	15
4	Aris	8	4	3	1	12:10	+2	15
5	AEL	8	5	0	3	11:13	-2	15
6	Apoel Nicosia	8	4	2	2	18:10	+8	14
7	Pafos	8	3	4	1	9:5	+4	13
8	Omonia 29is Maiou	8	3	2	3	13:13	0	11
9	Karmiotissa	8	1	3	4	5:16	-11	6
10	Anorthosis	8	2	0	6	7:15	-8	6
11	Omonia Aradippou	8	1	3	4	5:10	-5	6
12	Olympiakos	8	0	6	2	11:13	-2	6
13	Nea Salamis	8	1	2	5	11:16	-5	5
14	Krasava Ypsonas	8	1	2	5	8:17	-9	5

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.59X24%3.88218%5.18

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.73	2.08	5.9%
Betano	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.72	2.03	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.72	2.03	7.4%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.73	2.06	6.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.74	1.98	8.0%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.95	8.8%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.74	1.98	8.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEL 45%Draw 45%Krasava Ypsonas 10%

The statistical model rates AEL at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Krasava Ypsonas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.88 | 5.18, which imply roughly 62.9% for a AEL win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: AEL are 5th (15 pts, 11-13 goals), Krasava Ypsonas 14th (5 pts, 8-17).

Over their last five matches, AEL averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Krasava Ypsonas averaged 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AEL or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.90	5.15

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.13	2.27	1.22

Draw no bet

1	2
1.23	3.90

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.98

1st half

1	X	2
2.09	2.27	5.12

2nd half

1	X	2
1.91	2.68	4.78

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.34	16.1	44.3
HT X	4.35	6.08	11.2
HT 2	22.8	16.9	8.94

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	12.5	2.82

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.1
1.5	1.21	3.81
2.5	1.73	2.06
3.5	2.70	1.39
4.5	4.83	1.14
5.5	8.45	1.03
6.5	11.8	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.01	8.70
1.25	1.11	5.06
1.75	1.25	3.36
2	1.31	2.94
2.25	1.51	2.33
2.75	1.88	1.81
3	2.17	1.60
3.25	2.42	1.46
3.75	3.15	1.27
4	4.15	1.16
4.25	4.45	1.14
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.51	1.46
-1.25	2.23	1.56
-1	1.99	1.78
-0.75	1.70	1.99
-0.5	1.58	2.35
-0.25	1.38	2.72

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.00	1.01
-3	8.40	1.01
-2.75	5.93	1.09
-2.5	4.65	1.14
-2.25	4.28	1.16
-2	3.93	1.19
-1.75	2.98	1.33
0	1.21	3.80
+0.25	1.17	4.27
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.30
+1	1.01	9.80

Next 1. Division matches

6 Nov	AEK Larnaca – Karmiotissa
6 Nov	Nea Salamis – Omonia Aradippou
7 Nov	Olympiakos – Apollon Limassol
8 Nov	Anorthosis – Omonia Nicosia
8 Nov	Apoel Nicosia – Aris
8 Nov	Pafos – Omonia 29is Maiou

All 1. Division fixtures and the table

Latest 1. Division results

1 Nov	Omonia Aradippou 1-2 Apoel Nicosia
1 Nov	Aris 2-1 Anorthosis
1 Nov	Omonia 29is Maiou 1-0 Nea Salamis
31 Oct	Omonia Nicosia 2-0 AEL
31 Oct	Apollon Limassol 2-2 Pafos
31 Oct	Krasava Ypsonas 2-2 AEK Larnaca