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Olympiakos vs Aris• 1. Division, Cyprus

#101.8:1.81-2FT11/10 · GSP Stadium, Nicosia1.0:1.5#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.90B365X3.55PIN21.98DAFMargin at best4.3%Books10Markets64Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.553.551.986.8%
Betano3.753.451.956.9%
Pinnacle3.723.551.898.0%
1xBet3.663.561.908.0%
BetVictor3.703.501.908.2%
Bet3653.753.401.918.4%
Marathonbet3.653.561.888.7%
Betfair3.603.501.8510.4%
William Hill3.503.251.9111.7%
SBO3.263.071.9315.1%
Best of all books3.753.561.985.3%
Average3.613.441.919.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

OlympiakosAris
Last 10#10Table position#60.80Points per game1.604Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.01.8Goals against · last 51.564Attack rating3646Defence rating5444Form rating5615H2H rating850Goals model10042Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 06:40 UTC

Olympiakos

3W 4D 3L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHAris1-2L
20 SepAOmonia Aradippou1-1D
13 SepHOmonia 29is Maiou3-3D
7 SepAPafos0-0D
28 AugHNea Salamis3-3D
15 MayHAnorthosis1-0W
9 MayAAEL3-1W
1 MayHOmonia Aradippou2-1W
26 AprAEthnikos Achna1-2L
19 AprHAkritas0-1L

Aris

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:15 · per match 1.7 for, 1.5 against

14 OctHEthnikos Achna4-0W
11 OctAOlympiakos2-1W
3 OctHRiga1-2L
26 SepHOmonia 29is Maiou4-2W
20 SepHKarmiotissa0-0D
14 SepAKrasava Ypsonas1-0W
7 SepHOmonia Nicosia1-4L
29 AugHApollon Limassol2-2D
9 AugAUnion Berlin2-3L
30 JulAAtromitos0-1L

Head to head

1Olympiakos wins
2draws
5Aris wins

8 meetings · goals 4:14 · last 8: 1W 2D 5L for Olympiakos

4 Jan 20261. Division1. DivisionOlympiakos0-0Aris
15 Sep 20251. Division1. DivisionAris2-0Olympiakos
16 Dec 20221. Division1. DivisionOlympiakos0-0Aris
2 Sep 20221. Division1. DivisionAris5-0Olympiakos
3 Dec 20211. Division1. DivisionAris1-0Olympiakos
22 Aug 20211. Division1. DivisionOlympiakos1-2Aris
29 Mar 20192. Division2. DivisionOlympiakos0-2Aris
30 Nov 20182. Division2. DivisionAris2-3Olympiakos

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Olympiakos sit 10th with 4 points from 5 games, while Aris are 6th with 8 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1AEK Larnaca540110:4+612
2AEL54018:8012
3Omonia Nicosia532011:2+911
4Pafos53117:3+410
5Apollon Limassol523010:6+49
6Aris52216:7-18
7Apoel Nicosia521212:8+47
8Omonia Aradippou51314:406
9Omonia 29is Maiou512210:9+15
10Olympiakos50418:9-14
11Nea Salamis51139:11-24
12Krasava Ypsonas61055:14-93
13Anorthosis51044:12-83
14Karmiotissa60334:11-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg124%3.87X27%3.42249%1.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 07:301 3.62X 3.482 1.92
13.40 → 3.62 +6.5%X3.43 → 3.48 +1.5%22.00 → 1.92 -4.0%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
SBO1.891.934.7%
Pinnacle1.851.965.1%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
Betano1.851.935.9%
1xBet1.821.917.3%
Marathonbet1.821.917.3%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.891.963.9%
Average1.841.926.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
Betano1.702.057.6%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.702.047.8%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.732.056.6%
Average1.712.037.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Olympiakos 10%Draw 45%Aris 45%

The statistical model rated Olympiakos at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Aris at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.87 | 3.42 | 1.86, which imply roughly 29.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Olympiakos are 10th (4 pts, 8-9 goals), Aris 6th (8 pts, 6-7).

Over their last five matches, Olympiakos averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Aris averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Aris.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Olympiakos

Coach: G. Kostis

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Talichmanidis

Defence

  • 2C. Frantzis
  • 24M. Tamás
  • 8Bruno Paz
  • 5Eduardo Kunde
  • 12Jean Felipe
  • 55Henrique Gomes

Midfield

  • 77A. Vrikkis
  • 80Miguel Esteves Sancho Pedro

Attack

  • 23M. Pechlivanis
  • 26P. Kynigopoulos
Substitutes (12)
  • 4A. Doumas
  • 21Constantinos christou
  • 14K. Elia
  • 29K. Irakleous
  • 31georgios kitsios
  • 32M. Kyriakou
  • 11A. Lolis
  • 13Nhayson
  • 6Georgios Okkas
  • 10D. Prokop
  • 9Zannetos Savva
  • 20georgios tziortzis

Aris

Coach: A. Radkov

Goalkeeper

  • 91M. Zadro

Defence

  • 7Anderson Correia
  • 27J. Badelj
  • 17M. Matysik
  • 19Sane mamadou

Midfield

  • 8C. Charalampous
  • 70C. El Allachi
  • 29D. Gaustad
  • 30Gustavo Pajé
  • 22V. Nikolić

Attack

  • 11R. Effaghe
Substitutes (12)
  • 23Bernardo Folha
  • 21D. Galyata
  • 24G. Kalulu
  • 16Oriyomi Lebi
  • 5D. Lelle
  • 78Denis Ovsyannikov
  • 40A. Panayiotou
  • 18B. Szakos
  • 1Vaná Alves
  • 99Werton
  • 46G. Dimitriou
  • 88C. Fi Akamba

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.613.441.91

Double chance

1XX212
1.821.231.26

Draw no bet

12
2.671.42

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.712.03

1st half

1X2
4.132.182.45

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.4011.81.65

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.91
1.51.243.61
2.51.841.92
3.53.061.33
4.55.731.10
5.510.41.04
6.513.91.01
7.521.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.82
11.018.80
1.251.124.80
1.751.293.14
21.382.72
2.251.602.19
2.752.011.70
32.391.50
3.252.691.39
3.753.581.21
44.901.11
4.255.251.09
4.757.101.04
57.701.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
02.731.41
+0.252.131.64
+0.51.861.92
+0.751.632.14
+11.422.66
+1.251.333.02
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.758.301.01
-1.57.901.02
-1.257.501.03
-16.971.06
-0.754.551.15
-0.53.551.27
-0.253.181.31
+1.51.263.38
+1.751.174.25
+21.086.15
+2.251.076.63
+2.51.066.93

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.52.001.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.184.22
7.51.323.06
8.51.602.23
9.52.001.74
10.52.611.43
11.53.611.23
12.55.201.08
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.017.27
71.144.18
81.382.68
91.781.98
102.291.54
113.191.26
124.811.10