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Anorthosis vs Pafos• 1. Division, Cyprus

#130.8:2.31-3FT11/10 · Antonis Papadopoulos, Larnaca1.0:0.5#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.35MARX3.95DAF21.65B365Margin at best4.6%Books10Markets68Rating25 · 75Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet5.203.951.616.7%
Betano5.103.851.627.3%
Pinnacle5.053.831.627.6%
1xBet5.303.941.577.9%
Bet3655.003.601.658.4%
Marathonbet5.353.941.558.6%
BetVictor5.253.801.579.1%
William Hill5.003.601.6010.3%
Betfair5.003.801.5311.7%
SBO4.943.621.5014.5%
Best of all books5.353.951.654.6%
Average5.123.791.589.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AnorthosisPafos
Last 10#13Table position#40.60Points per game2.006Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.02.3Goals against · last 50.543Attack rating5718Defence rating8230Form rating7015H2H rating850Goals model10025Overall rating75

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 04:20 UTC

Anorthosis

3W 1D 6L · goals 13:20 · per match 1.3 for, 2.0 against

11 OctHPafos1-3L
4 OctAEnosis1-0W
19 SepANea Salamis0-3L
12 SepHApoel Nicosia2-1W
5 SepAApollon Limassol1-3L
30 AugAAEL0-2L
16 AugHApoel Nicosia1-3L
12 AugANea Salamis2-2D
15 MayAOlympiakos0-1L
8 MayHKrasava Ypsonas5-2W

Pafos

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:12 · per match 1.7 for, 1.2 against

15 OctAAtalanta1-3L
11 OctAAnorthosis3-1W
18 SepHAEL0-2L
13 SepAAEK Larnaca1-0W
7 SepHOlympiakos0-0D
3 SepAOmonia Nicosia1-0W
30 AugAKarmiotissa3-0W
27 AugHDinamo Tirana4-2W
20 AugADinamo Tirana1-1D
13 AugHRed Bull Salzburg3-3D

Head to head

10Anorthosis wins
10draws
7Pafos wins

27 meetings · goals 33:31 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for Anorthosis

21 Feb 20261. Division1. DivisionPafos0-0Anorthosis
9 Nov 20251. Division1. DivisionAnorthosis1-1Pafos
2 Jan 20251. Division1. DivisionAnorthosis0-2Pafos
14 Sep 20241. Division1. DivisionPafos3-1Anorthosis
21 Apr 20241. Division1. DivisionPafos5-1Anorthosis
10 Mar 20241. Division1. DivisionAnorthosis2-3Pafos
4 Feb 20241. Division1. DivisionAnorthosis2-2Pafos
5 Nov 20231. Division1. DivisionPafos1-0Anorthosis
20 Feb 20231. Division1. DivisionAnorthosis2-1Pafos
10 Nov 20221. Division1. DivisionPafos1-0Anorthosis

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, Anorthosis sit 13th with 3 points from 5 games, while Pafos are 4th with 10 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1AEK Larnaca540110:4+612
2AEL54018:8012
3Omonia Nicosia532011:2+911
4Pafos53117:3+410
5Apollon Limassol523010:6+49
6Aris52216:7-18
7Apoel Nicosia521212:8+47
8Omonia Aradippou51314:406
9Omonia 29is Maiou512210:9+15
10Olympiakos50418:9-14
11Nea Salamis51139:11-24
12Krasava Ypsonas61055:14-93
13Anorthosis51044:12-83
14Karmiotissa60334:11-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg118%5.18X24%3.80258%1.58

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 14:201 5.12X 3.792 1.58
16.66 → 5.12 -23.1%X4.24 → 3.79 -10.6%21.44 → 1.58 +9.7%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.891.915.3%
Bet3651.802.005.6%
Betano1.831.955.9%
1xBet1.841.897.3%
Marathonbet1.841.897.3%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Betfair1.751.919.5%
Best of all books1.892.002.9%
Average1.821.927.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.831.917.0%
1xBet1.851.858.1%
BetVictor1.831.878.1%
Betano1.821.888.1%
Marathonbet1.851.838.7%
William Hill1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.851.916.4%
Average1.831.868.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Anorthosis 10%Draw 45%Pafos 45%

The statistical model rated Anorthosis at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Pafos at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.18 | 3.80 | 1.58, which imply roughly 26.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: Anorthosis are 13th (3 pts, 4-12 goals), Pafos 4th (10 pts, 7-3).

Over their last five matches, Anorthosis averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Pafos averaged 1 scored and 0.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Pafos and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Anorthosis

Coach: Nestor El Maestro

Goalkeeper

  • 28J. Karlstrøm

Defence

  • 44N. Tošić
  • 22K. Sergiou
  • 45Gabriel Furtado

Midfield

  • 20C. Aboagye
  • 4K. Artymatas
  • 88A. Chrysostomou
  • 9Alessio Da Cruz
  • 5Kiko
  • 36Stijn Middendorp

Attack

  • 7T. Kiss
Substitutes (12)
  • 57E. Charalambous
  • 18stephanos charalambous
  • 11B. Dione
  • 70M. Ilia
  • 47A. Karamanolis
  • 74K. Lytras
  • 54C. Michallas
  • 1K. Panayi
  • 51S. Panagi
  • 21Rafael Lopes
  • 32E. Sosa
  • 2S. Thandi

Pafos

Coach: Ricardo Sá Pinto

Goalkeeper

  • 99R. Majecki

Defence

  • 4David Luiz
  • 14N. Ioannou
  • 3S. Mmaee
  • 2Yoram\t Zague

Midfield

  • 30V. Dragomir
  • 88Pêpê Rodrigues
  • 8Domingos Quina
  • 26I. Šunjić

Attack

  • 20Biel
  • 18Lelê
Substitutes (11)
  • 12K. Sema
  • 82P. Petrou
  • 17afonso patrao
  • 71M. Papastylianou
  • 23Jonatás Noro
  • 6Guga
  • 10Felipe
  • –Evzonas
  • 77João Correia
  • 50Alexandre Miguel Soares Carvalho Brito
  • 33Anderson Silva

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.123.791.58

Double chance

1XX212
2.251.131.22

Draw no bet

12
3.951.22

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.831.86

1st half

1X2
5.302.252.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.9512.31.44

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.85
1.51.243.66
2.51.821.92
3.53.001.34
4.55.771.11
5.510.71.04
6.512.71.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
1–9.30
1.251.114.89
1.751.303.10
21.392.69
2.251.622.17
2.752.041.69
32.431.49
3.252.721.38
3.753.761.19
45.151.10
4.255.551.08
4.757.701.02
58.451.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.252.751.38
+0.52.271.60
+0.751.991.73
+11.752.03
+1.251.522.33
+1.51.432.61
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-19.701.01
-0.756.901.06
-0.55.251.16
-0.254.501.15
03.931.21
+1.751.313.13
+21.164.33
+2.251.144.76
+2.51.125.27
+2.751.066.83
+31.019.40
+3.51.059.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.781.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.114.69
7.51.313.07
8.51.592.23
9.51.991.74
10.52.601.44
11.53.571.24
12.55.131.08
6 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.144.23
81.382.70
91.741.97
102.271.55
113.161.27
124.741.10