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AEL vs Omonia 29is Maiou• 1. Division, Cyprus

#21.5:1.82-1FT11/10 · Alphamega Stadium, Limassol2.3:1.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BTNX4.05MAR25.50B365Margin at best4.6%Books10Markets70Rating64 · 37Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano1.623.855.306.6%
Dafabet1.624.004.907.1%
Pinnacle1.593.955.077.9%
1xBet1.584.055.017.9%
Bet3651.573.805.508.2%
Marathonbet1.564.055.058.6%
BetVictor1.573.905.009.3%
Betfair1.533.905.0011.0%
William Hill1.573.704.8011.6%
SBO1.553.594.4614.8%
Best of all books1.624.055.504.6%
Average1.583.885.019.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AELOmonia 29is Maiou
Last 10#2Table position#92.40Points per game1.0012Form pts · last 521.5Goals for · last 52.31.8Goals against · last 51.840Attack rating6050Defence rating5064Form rating3688H2H rating1367Goals model3364Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

AEL

6W 2D 2L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

11 OctHOmonia 29is Maiou2-1W
18 SepAPafos2-0W
11 SepHNea Salamis2-1W
6 SepAApoel Nicosia0-6L
30 AugHAnorthosis2-0W
19 AugAKrasava Odintsovo4-0W
9 AugARadomiak Radom1-1D
15 MayAAkritas2-1W
9 MayHOlympiakos1-3L
2 MayAKrasava Ypsonas1-1D

Omonia 29is Maiou

2W 5D 3L · goals 25:22 · per match 2.5 for, 2.2 against

11 OctAAEL1-2L
26 SepAAris2-4L
18 SepHAEK Larnaca1-2L
13 SepAOlympiakos3-3D
4 SepHKarmiotissa2-2D
28 AugAKrasava Ypsonas3-0W
24 AprAMEAP Nisou3-3D
19 AprHDoxa5-1W
4 AprAPAEEK3-3D
22 MarHNea Salamis2-2D

Head to head

2AEL wins
1draws
0Omonia 29is Maiou wins

3 meetings · goals 8:3 · last 3: 2W 1D 0L for AEL

30 Mar 20251. Division1. DivisionOmonia 29is Maiou0-3AEL
14 Dec 20241. Division1. DivisionAEL1-1Omonia 29is Maiou
24 Aug 20241. Division1. DivisionOmonia 29is Maiou2-4AEL

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, AEL sit 2nd with 12 points from 5 games, while Omonia 29is Maiou are 9th with 5 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1AEK Larnaca540110:4+612
2AEL54018:8012
3Omonia Nicosia532011:2+911
4Pafos53117:3+410
5Apollon Limassol523010:6+49
6Aris52216:7-18
7Apoel Nicosia521212:8+47
8Omonia Aradippou51314:406
9Omonia 29is Maiou512210:9+15
10Olympiakos50418:9-14
11Nea Salamis51139:11-24
12Krasava Ypsonas61055:14-93
13Anorthosis51044:12-83
14Karmiotissa60334:11-73

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.58X24%3.89218%5.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 14:201 1.58X 3.882 5.01
11.65 → 1.58 -4.2%X3.79 → 3.88 +2.4%24.67 → 5.01 +7.3%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.702.126.0%
Bet3651.702.106.4%
Betano1.722.076.4%
1xBet1.692.087.2%
Marathonbet1.692.087.2%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
BetVictor1.672.048.9%
Best of all books1.722.125.3%
Average1.692.087.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.752.007.1%
Betano1.722.027.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.026.6%
Average1.722.008.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEL 45%Draw 45%Omonia 29is Maiou 10%

The statistical model rated AEL at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Omonia 29is Maiou at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.89 | 5.02, which imply roughly 63.3% for a AEL win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: AEL are 2nd (12 pts, 8-8 goals), Omonia 29is Maiou 9th (5 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, AEL averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Omonia 29is Maiou averaged 2.3 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : AEL or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AEL

Coach: Hugo Martins

Goalkeeper

  • 1S. Kapino

Defence

  • 33E. Antoniou
  • 22K. Neofytou

Midfield

  • 6D. Zdravkovski
  • 20João Tavares
  • 23Diogo Gomes
  • 30G. Papageorgiou

Attack

  • 11L. Singh
  • 10R. Oudin
  • 77F. Mughe
  • 9S. Jovetić
Substitutes (11)
  • 4S. Denswil
  • 99G. Chinedu
  • 84C. Karamani
  • 2A. Karo
  • 70kyriacos kyriacou
  • 98P. Kyriakou
  • 74Samy Merzouk
  • 19I. Milosavljević
  • 17D. Paroutis
  • 35Sérgio Conceição
  • 80Jair Tavares

Omonia 29is Maiou

Coach: N. Tutiç

Goalkeeper

  • 98F. Uzoho

Defence

  • 15S. Panteli
  • 19A. Portales
  • 30M. Senić

Midfield

  • 45Steve Ambri
  • 44D. Chantakias
  • 20S. Fiakas
  • 22K. Nwakali
  • 16Constantinos Pattichis

Attack

  • 10Mike Morais
  • 17panyiotis zachariou
Substitutes (12)
  • 8C. Aristotelous
  • 89D. Črnigoj
  • 77Luís Santos
  • 1Nikos Grammatikakis
  • 4A. Kaiafas
  • 43Antonis Mavrantonis
  • 46M. Sotiriou
  • 11Fergus Tierney
  • 5S. Tsoukalas
  • 27A. Vlachomitros
  • 14H. Andreou
  • 26A. Marios

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.583.885.01

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.241.21

Draw no bet

12
1.233.88

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.00

1st half

1X2
2.072.335.09

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4713.82.82

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.7
1.51.204.02
2.51.692.08
3.52.701.41
4.54.941.14
5.59.121.05
6.511.81.01
7.521.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.048.90
1.251.085.45
1.751.223.50
21.293.15
2.251.492.42
2.751.871.87
32.131.63
3.252.391.48
3.753.141.27
44.151.16
4.254.501.13
4.756.051.06
58.501.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.561.45
-1.252.281.57
-12.001.77
-0.751.712.02
-0.51.582.30
-0.251.392.74
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.301.02
-39.001.01
-2.756.151.08
-2.54.771.14
-2.254.401.16
-24.031.19
-1.753.041.32
01.213.81
+0.251.174.30
+0.51.175.00
+0.751.076.43
+11.019.20
+1.51.0110.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.52.151.65

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.036.60
6.51.193.96
7.51.412.68
8.51.762.00
9.52.231.59
10.53.011.33
11.54.081.19
12.56.581.03
7 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.046.01
71.223.44
81.522.32
91.961.75
102.661.39
113.881.17
126.141.04