AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou• 1. Division, Cyprus

#12.3:1.01-0FT12/10 · AEK Arena, Larnaca1.0:0.8#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.36B365X4.91PIN29.00BTNMargin at best5.0%Books10Markets88Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 12 Oct 13:06 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.36	4.90	7.60	7.1%
Betano	1.33	4.80	9.00	7.1%
Pinnacle	1.33	4.91	8.46	7.4%
1xBet	1.34	4.85	7.85	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.33	4.85	7.80	8.6%
Bet365	1.36	4.50	7.50	9.1%
BetVictor	1.33	4.60	8.00	9.4%
William Hill	1.33	4.40	8.00	10.4%
Betfair	1.30	4.60	8.50	10.4%
SBO	1.30	4.36	7.05	14.0%
Best of all books	1.36	4.91	9.00	5.0%
Average	1.33	4.68	7.98	9.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AEK LarnacaOmonia Aradippou

Last 10#1Table position#82.40Points per game1.2012Form pts · last 562.3Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.869Attack rating3143Defence rating5760Form rating4040H2H rating6060Goals model4052Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 07:32 UTC

AEK Larnaca

7W 0D 3L · goals 18:9 · per match 1.8 for, 0.9 against

12 Oct	H	Omonia Aradippou	1-0	W
3 Oct	H	Apollon Limassol	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Nea Salamis	2-1	W
18 Sep	A	Omonia 29is Maiou	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Pafos	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	Nea Salamis	4-1	W
29 Aug	H	Apoel Nicosia	3-1	W
8 Aug	H	Omonia Aradippou	0-1	L
30 Jul	A	Beitar Jerusalem	3-2	W
23 Jul	H	Beitar Jerusalem	0-1	L

Omonia Aradippou

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

12 Oct	A	AEK Larnaca	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Olympiakos	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Karmiotissa	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Krasava Ypsonas	2-1	W
31 Aug	A	Omonia Nicosia	0-0	D
8 Aug	A	AEK Larnaca	1-0	W
25 Jul	H	Karmiotissa	3-4	L
15 May	A	Ethnikos Achna	2-1	W
9 May	H	Akritas	2-1	W
1 May	A	Olympiakos	1-2	L

Head to head

3AEK Larnaca wins

0draws

3Omonia Aradippou wins

6 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for AEK Larnaca

8 Aug 2026Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	AEK Larnaca0-1Omonia Aradippou
22 Feb 20261. Division	1. Division	Omonia Aradippou2-1AEK Larnaca
9 Nov 20251. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca1-0Omonia Aradippou
9 Mar 20251. Division	1. Division	Omonia Aradippou2-0AEK Larnaca
6 Dec 20241. Division	1. Division	AEK Larnaca1-0Omonia Aradippou
18 Jul 2020Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	AEK Larnaca4-0Omonia Aradippou

1. Division table1-divisionupdated 17 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the 1. Division table, AEK Larnaca sit 1st with 12 points from 5 games, while Omonia Aradippou are 8th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	AEK Larnaca	5	4	0	1	10:4	+6	12
2	AEL	5	4	0	1	8:8	0	12
3	Omonia Nicosia	5	3	2	0	11:2	+9	11
4	Pafos	5	3	1	1	7:3	+4	10
5	Apollon Limassol	5	2	3	0	10:6	+4	9
6	Aris	5	2	2	1	6:7	-1	8
7	Apoel Nicosia	5	2	1	2	12:8	+4	7
8	Omonia Aradippou	5	1	3	1	4:4	0	6
9	Omonia 29is Maiou	5	1	2	2	10:9	+1	5
10	Olympiakos	5	0	4	1	8:9	-1	4
11	Nea Salamis	5	1	1	3	9:11	-2	4
12	Krasava Ypsonas	6	1	0	5	5:14	-9	3
13	Anorthosis	5	1	0	4	4:12	-8	3
14	Karmiotissa	6	0	3	3	4:11	-7	3

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg169%1.33X20%4.68211%7.98

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.37 → 1.33 -2.9%X4.52 → 4.68 +3.5%27.59 → 7.98 +5.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.71	2.09	6.3%
Betano	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.17	7.4%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.66	2.05	9.0%
Best of all books	1.71	2.17	4.6%
Average	1.66	2.12	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	2.00	1.72	8.1%
1xBet	1.90	1.80	8.2%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Best of all books	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Average	1.94	1.76	8.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AEK Larnaca 45%Draw 45%Omonia Aradippou 10%

The statistical model rated AEK Larnaca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Omonia Aradippou at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.33 | 4.68 | 7.98, which imply roughly 75.2% for a AEK Larnaca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Division table: AEK Larnaca are 1st (12 pts, 10-4 goals), Omonia Aradippou 8th (6 pts, 4-4).

Over their last five matches, AEK Larnaca averaged 2.3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Omonia Aradippou averaged 1 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : AEK Larnaca or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AEK Larnaca

Coach: Rubén Sellés

Goalkeeper

92A. Paleari

Defence

3M. van der Hoorn
17K. Pileas
22G. Ekpolo

Midfield

20J. Repas
15H. Miličević
7Gus Ledes
23S. Köhler

Attack

11R. Bajić
14A. Layouni
9Đ. Ivanović

Substitutes (12)

33N. Andereggen
44Z. Adoni
37David Gerasimou
2P. Ioannou
25C. Kyriakou
21Miramón
28K. Mrabti
29G. Naoum
6I. Pankov
51A. Paraskevas
4Enric Saborit
19A. Trică

Omonia Aradippou

Coach: G. Okkas

Goalkeeper

12Ž. Živković

Defence

22M. Antoniou
3A. Christofi
81V. De Marco
15Unai García

Midfield

8A. El Bouchataoui
6N. Havelka
14J. van Mullem

Attack

7M. Koumouris
23Bogdan Petrovic
9G. Pontikos

Substitutes (12)

1Gabriel Pereira
93G. Hadzigianni
37A. Loizou
27S. Lomónaco
77C. Makosso
91K. Panteli
88G. Papacharalampous
47andreas pappoulos
38A. Plumain
10J. Schmidt
11Konstantinos Anthimou
21evripidou evripidou

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.33	4.68	7.98

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.06	3.05	1.14

Draw no bet

1	2
1.10	6.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.76

1st half

1	X	2
1.78	2.46	7.02

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.33	14.4	3.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.1
1.5	1.19	4.17
2.5	1.66	2.12
3.5	2.65	1.42
4.5	4.73	1.14
5.5	8.67	1.03
6.5	11.3	1.02
7.5	19.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.07	5.80
1.75	1.19	3.74
2	1.28	3.25
2.25	1.48	2.48
2.75	1.83	1.90
3	2.09	1.67
3.25	2.34	1.51
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.82	1.18
4.25	4.15	1.16
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.77	1.39
-1.75	2.30	1.55
-1.5	2.00	1.77
-1.25	1.78	1.98
-1	1.52	2.39
-0.75	1.40	2.70

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	8.10	1.02
-3.5	6.57	1.07
-3.25	6.23	1.08
-3	5.83	1.09
-2.75	4.22	1.17
-2.5	3.38	1.26
-2.25	3.09	1.31
-0.5	1.35	3.14
-0.25	1.20	3.83
0	1.09	5.97
+0.25	1.07	6.60
+0.5	1.10	7.00

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.65	2.15

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.03	6.62
6.5	1.19	3.95
7.5	1.40	2.69
8.5	1.73	2.00
9.5	2.20	1.59
10.5	2.96	1.33
11.5	4.07	1.19
12.5	6.56	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.32
6	1.04	6.03
6.25	1.11	4.65
6.75	1.20	3.66
7	1.22	3.46
7.25	1.32	2.94
7.75	1.46	2.47
8	1.52	2.32
8.25	1.64	2.12
8.75	1.84	1.86
9	1.97	1.79
9.25	2.08	1.66
9.75	2.39	1.49
10	2.65	1.39
10.25	2.80	1.35
10.75	3.32	1.24
11	3.88	1.17
11.25	4.06	1.15
11.75	4.97	1.09
12	6.12	1.04
12.25	6.34	1.03