Pafos1st7 pts
AEL3rd6 pts
Pafos1st7 pts
AEL3rd6 ptsIn the 1. Division table, Pafos sit 1st with 7 points from 3 games, while AEL are 3rd with 6 points from 3 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Pafos at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and AEL at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.23 | 7.16, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Pafos win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Division table: Pafos are 1st (7 pts, 4-0 goals), AEL 3rd (6 pts, 4-7).
Over their last five matches, Pafos averaged 1.3 goals scored and 0 conceded per game; AEL averaged 1.3 scored and 2.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Pafos or draw.
Pafos vs AEL — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Pafos | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 2 |  AEK Larnaca | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 |  AEL | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
| 4 |  Omonia 29is Maiou | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 5 |  Omonia Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 6 |  Apollon Limassol | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 7 |  Omonia Aradippou | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 |  Aris | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 |  Anorthosis | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 10 |  Olympiakos | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 |  Apoel Nicosia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
| 12 |  Karmiotissa | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| 13 |  Nea Salamis | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 |  Krasava Ypsonas | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.32
X
4.55
2
9.15
Double chance
1X
1.04
X2
3.19
12
1.16
Both teams to score
Yes
2.04
No
1.70
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.21
Under 1.5
3.87
Over 2.5
1.71
Under 2.5
2.08
Over 3.5
2.67
Under 3.5
1.40
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
11.10
Over 4.5
4.71
Under 4.5
1.14
Over 7.5
21.00
Over 5.5
8.38
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
11.75
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.23
Under 1.75
3.42
Over 2
1.30
Under 2
2.99
Over 2.25
1.52
Under 2.25
2.39
Over 2.75
1.88
Under 2.75
1.84
Under 1
9.30
Over 1.25
1.09
Under 1.25
5.30
Over 3
2.14
Under 3
1.61
Over 3.25
2.41
Under 3.25
1.48
Over 3.75
3.14
Under 3.75
1.27
Over 4
4.15
Under 4
1.16
Over 4.25
4.50
Under 4.25
1.13
Over 4.75
6.15
Under 4.75
1.06
Over 5
8.70
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.10
2
6.40
Asian handicap
Away 3.75
1.02
1st half
1
1.78
X
2.36
2
7.95
First team to score
Home
1.30
No Goal
12.13
Away
3.83