Al-Nassr vs
Al Diriyah• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.42 | 5.10 | 6.70 | 5.0% |
| Dafabet | 1.40 | 5.40 | 6.60 | 5.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 5.75 | 6.27 | 5.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 5.52 | 6.72 | 7.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 4.80 | 6.50 | 9.7% |
| Betfair | 1.33 | 5.00 | 6.50 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.32 | 5.05 | 6.15 | 11.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.36 | 4.75 | 5.75 | 12.0% |
| William Hill | 1.35 | 4.80 | 5.80 | 12.1% |
| SBO | 1.33 | 4.72 | 6.18 | 12.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.42 | 5.75 | 6.72 | 2.7% |
| Average | 1.36 | 5.09 | 6.32 | 9.0% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC
Al-Nassr
6W 1D 3L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against
| 15 Sep | A | Al Ain | 0-4 | L |
| 12 Sep | A | Al Khaleej Saihat | 1-1 | D |
| 9 Sep | H | Abha | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Al-Ittihad FC | 1-2 | L |
| 28 Aug | H | Al Taawon | 2-1 | W |
| 25 Aug | A | Al-Ettifaq | 3-2 | W |
| 21 Aug | A | Al Riyadh | 4-0 | W |
| 18 Aug | A | Al Diriyah | 4-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Al-Fateh | 3-0 | W |
| 4 Aug | H | Almeria | 0-2 | L |
Al Diriyah
5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against
| 13 Sep | H | Abha | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Sep | A | Al-Fateh | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Sep | H | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 0-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Al-Ettifaq | 3-0 | W |
| 26 Aug | H | Al Kholood | 1-1 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Al-Hazm | 1-0 | W |
| 18 Aug | H | Al-Nassr | 1-4 | L |
| 13 Aug | H | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 0-1 | L |
| 23 Jul | H | FA 2000 | 2-0 | W |
| 18 Jul | A | Trelleborg | 4-1 | W |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 4:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Al-Nassr
| 18 Aug 2026King's Cup | King's Cup | Al Diriyah1-4Al-Nassr |
Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 9 Oct 17:50 UTC
In the Pro League table, Al-Nassr sit 4th with 16 points from 7 games, while Al Diriyah are 8th with 11 points from 7.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | +13 | 19 |
| 2 | Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 23:5 | +18 | 18 |
| 3 | Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 12:6 | +6 | 17 |
| 4 | Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16:7 | +9 | 16 |
| 5 | Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 20:10 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 | NEOM | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 13:6 | +7 | 15 |
| 7 | Al Kholood | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 8 | Al Diriyah | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 | Al-Ettifaq | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:11 | 0 | 11 |
| 10 | Al-Hazm | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
| 11 | Al Riyadh | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 8 |
| 12 | Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3:10 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 | Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 15 | Al-Faisaly FC | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5:13 | -8 | 3 |
| 16 | Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 | Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4:15 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 | Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.7% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 1.45 | 2.87 | 3.8% |
| Pinnacle | 1.38 | 3.05 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 2.88 | 6.2% |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 2.90 | 8.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.35 | 2.74 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.45 | 3.05 | 1.8% |
| Average | 1.38 | 2.87 | 7.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.57 | 2.38 | 5.7% |
| Betano | 1.62 | 2.22 | 6.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.56 | 2.25 | 8.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 2.25 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 2.21 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.38 | 3.7% |
| Average | 1.58 | 2.25 | 7.9% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Al-Nassr at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al Diriyah at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.36 | 5.09 | 6.32, which imply roughly 73.5% for a Al-Nassr win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Pro League table: Al-Nassr are 4th (16 pts, 16-7 goals), Al Diriyah 8th (11 pts, 7-5).
Over their last five matches, Al-Nassr averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Al Diriyah averaged 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Al-Nassr or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Confirmed Lineups
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Coach: A. Postecoglou
Goalkeeper
- 24Bento
Defence
- 12Nawaf Boushal
- 3M. Simakan
- 26Íñigo Martínez
- 70Awad Aman
Midfield
- 21K. Coman
- 11Samú Costa
- 17Abdullah Al Khaibari
- 10S. Mané
Attack
- 79João Félix
- 7Cristiano Ronaldo
Substitutes (9)
- 94A. Sufyani
- 23Ayman Yahya
- 50Majed Qasheesh
- 60Saad Haqawi
- 4Nader Al Sharari
- 6Saad Al Nasser
- 22Abdulhadi Ali Al Alwan
- 9Abdullah Al Hamdan
- 14Sami Al Naji
Al Diriyah
Coach: Bruno Lage
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.36 | 5.09 | 6.32 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.91 | 1.13 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.14 | 5.16 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.58 | 2.25 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.78 | 2.73 | 5.61 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.37 | 24.5 | 2.97 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.02 | 17.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.10 | 6.18 |
| 2.5 | 1.38 | 2.87 |
| 3.5 | 2.01 | 1.76 |
| 4.5 | 3.23 | 1.31 |
| 5.5 | 5.85 | 1.11 |
| 6.5 | 10.7 | 1.05 |
| 7.5 | 20.2 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 41.0 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 13.0 |
| 1.75 | 1.09 | 5.30 |
| 2 | 1.11 | 4.90 |
| 2.25 | 1.23 | 3.42 |
| 2.75 | 1.47 | 2.51 |
| 3 | 1.57 | 2.26 |
| 3.25 | 1.82 | 1.94 |
| 3.75 | 2.27 | 1.58 |
| 4 | 2.66 | 1.43 |
| 4.25 | 2.81 | 1.33 |
| 4.75 | 3.68 | 1.20 |
| 5 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 5.25 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| 6 | 8.80 | 1.01 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.70 | 1.42 |
| -1.75 | 2.30 | 1.59 |
| -1.5 | 1.99 | 1.78 |
| -1.25 | 1.80 | 1.97 |
| -1 | 1.55 | 2.35 |
| -0.75 | 1.46 | 2.59 |
15 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -4 | 9.60 | 1.01 |
| -3.5 | 5.91 | 1.10 |
| -3.25 | 6.00 | 1.12 |
| -3 | 5.32 | 1.11 |
| -2.75 | 3.93 | 1.20 |
| -2.5 | 3.28 | 1.29 |
| -2.25 | 3.00 | 1.34 |
| -0.5 | 1.39 | 3.04 |
| -0.25 | 1.25 | 3.56 |
| 0 | 1.13 | 5.02 |
| +0.25 | 1.11 | 5.45 |
| +0.5 | 1.12 | 6.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.03 | 7.40 |
| +1 | 1.01 | 9.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.02 | 10.4 |
Cards in match
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 3.5 | 1.60 | 2.25 |
| 4.5 | 2.15 | 1.65 |
| 5.5 | 3.15 | 1.33 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 4.5 | 1.03 | 10.8 |
| 5.5 | 1.06 | 7.80 |
| 6.5 | 1.11 | 5.32 |
| 7.5 | 1.24 | 3.53 |
| 8.5 | 1.46 | 2.52 |
| 9.5 | 1.79 | 1.94 |
| 10.5 | 2.26 | 1.57 |
| 11.5 | 2.97 | 1.33 |
| 12.5 | 4.08 | 1.18 |
| 13.5 | 5.60 | 1.11 |
| 14.5 | 7.45 | 1.05 |
| 15.5 | 10.0 | 1.03 |
15 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | 1.12 | 4.12 |
| 8 | 1.26 | 2.90 |
| 8.25 | 1.36 | 2.82 |
| 8.75 | 1.47 | 2.39 |
| 9 | 1.57 | 2.25 |
| 9.25 | 1.66 | 2.09 |
| 9.75 | 1.84 | 1.82 |
| 10 | 2.00 | 1.74 |
| 10.25 | 2.11 | 1.63 |
| 10.75 | 2.38 | 1.46 |
| 11 | 2.53 | 1.39 |
| 11.25 | 2.83 | 1.36 |
| 12 | 3.27 | 1.20 |
| 13 | 4.32 | 1.10 |
| 14 | 5.49 | 1.05 |