OddsFilter

Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#170.8:1.40-4FTToday · Maydan Tamweel Al Oula, Al-Hasa2.2:2.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

16.20BTNX5.21PIN21.48DAFMargin at best2.9%Books10Markets92Rating42 · 58Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet5.805.001.484.8%
Betano6.204.801.475.0%
Pinnacle5.985.211.435.8%
1xBet6.195.211.406.8%
Betfair5.505.001.409.6%
BetVictor5.754.751.409.9%
Bet3655.504.201.4411.4%
William Hill5.504.501.4011.8%
Marathonbet5.704.801.3611.9%
SBO5.324.511.3912.9%
Best of all books6.205.211.482.9%
Average5.744.801.428.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
Last 10#17Table position#50.38Points per game1.883Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 52.21.4Goals against · last 52.027Attack rating7359Defence rating4133Form rating6750H2H rating5042Goals model5842Overall rating58

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 14:01 UTC

Al-Fateh

0W 4D 6L · goals 4:17 · per match 0.4 for, 1.7 against

13 SepANEOM2-4L
9 SepHAl Diriyah1-2L
5 SepAAl Taawon0-0D
29 AugHAl-Ittihad FC0-0D
26 AugAAl-Faisaly FC1-1D
22 AugHAl-Ettifaq0-1L
19 AugAAl Ula0-3L
15 AugAAl-Nassr0-3L
25 JulAMallorca0-3L
21 MayAAl Kholood0-0D

Al-Ahli Jeddah

5W 1D 4L · goals 20:14 · per match 2.0 for, 1.4 against

19 SepAMamelodi Sundowns1-2L
14 SepHPakhtakor1-1D
11 SepHAl-Hazm3-1W
8 SepAAl-Qadisiyah FC2-3L
4 SepHAl Riyadh5-0W
1 SepAAl-Hilal Saudi FC0-3L
29 AugAAl Kholood1-3L
26 AugHAuckland1-0W
22 AugHAbha4-0W
17 AugAAl Anwar2-1W

Head to head

6Al-Fateh wins
2draws
10Al-Ahli Jeddah wins

18 meetings · goals 20:30 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Al-Fateh

6 May 2026Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Ahli Jeddah3-1Al-Fateh
26 Dec 2025Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Fateh2-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
7 Feb 2025Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Ahli Jeddah2-0Al-Fateh
27 Aug 2024Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Fateh1-0Al-Ahli Jeddah
2 Mar 2024Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Ahli Jeddah1-1Al-Fateh
2 Sep 2023Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Fateh5-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
11 Feb 2022Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Fateh0-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
17 Sep 2021Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Ahli Jeddah1-1Al-Fateh
20 Mar 2021Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Fateh4-1Al-Ahli Jeddah
22 Dec 2020Pro LeaguePro LeagueAl-Ahli Jeddah1-0Al-Fateh

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 9 Oct 17:50 UTC

In the Pro League table, Al-Fateh sit 17th with 3 points from 8 games, while Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th with 15 points from 8.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Al-Qadisiyah FC861121:8+1319
2Al-Hilal Saudi FC760123:5+1818
3Al-Ittihad FC752012:6+617
4Al-Nassr751116:7+916
5Al-Ahli Jeddah850320:10+1015
6NEOM750213:6+715
7Al Kholood833212:15-312
8Al Diriyah73227:5+211
9Al-Ettifaq732211:11011
10Al-Hazm72237:9-28
11Al Riyadh72238:16-88
12Al-Fayha71337:11-46
13Al Khaleej Saihat70523:10-75
14Al Shabab70436:11-54
15Al-Faisaly FC70345:13-83
16Al Taawon70343:12-93
17Al-Fateh80354:15-113
18Abha70255:13-82

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.36X20%4.64263%1.47

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:019 Oct 11:101 5.73X 4.782 1.42
15.96 → 5.73 -3.9%X4.91 → 4.78 -2.6%21.40 → 1.42 +1.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Betano1.402.955.3%
Pinnacle1.363.115.7%
Bet3651.363.105.8%
Betfair1.363.105.8%
BetVictor1.333.107.4%
1xBet1.332.8310.5%
Marathonbet1.332.8310.5%
Best of all books1.403.113.6%
Average1.353.007.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.502.555.9%
Bet3651.502.506.7%
Betano1.522.427.1%
BetVictor1.452.558.2%
1xBet1.492.428.4%
Marathonbet1.492.389.1%
William Hill1.442.509.4%
Best of all books1.522.555.0%
Average1.482.477.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al-Fateh 10%Draw 45%Al-Ahli Jeddah 45%

The statistical model rated Al-Fateh at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Ahli Jeddah at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.36 | 4.64 | 1.47, which imply roughly 21.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Pro League table: Al-Fateh are 17th (3 pts, 4-15 goals), Al-Ahli Jeddah 5th (15 pts, 20-10).

Over their last five matches, Al-Fateh averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Al-Ahli Jeddah averaged 2.2 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Al-Fateh

4-3-3

Coach: Khaled Al Atawi

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Šemper

Defence

  • 22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
  • 3K. Boateng
  • 17M. Saâdane
  • 78Abdulaziz Al Suwailem

Midfield

  • 6Ali Al Hassan
  • 8M. Lixandru
  • 28Z. Youssouf

Attack

  • 11M. Batna
  • 9W. Kanga
  • 10L. Haraslín
Substitutes (8)
  • 49Saad Al Sharfa
  • 25M. Al Sahihi
  • 88Othman Al-Othma
  • 7Fahad Al Zubaidi
  • 18Abdulaziz Al Fawaz
  • 94Waleed Al Anzi
  • 80Faisal Al Abdulwahed
  • 87Sattam Al Tumbukti

Al-Ahli Jeddah

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Pusic

Goalkeeper

  • 1Abdulrahman Al Sanbi

Defence

  • 15Saeed Baattia
  • 28M. Demiral
  • 5Mohammed Bakor
  • 31Saad Yaslam

Midfield

  • 6V. Atangana Edoa
  • 30Ziyad Al Johani
  • 7Trincão
  • 20Matheus Gonçalves
  • 13Galeno

Attack

  • 17I. Toney
Substitutes (9)
  • 9Feras Al Brikan
  • 47Waheb Saleh
  • 62Abdullah Abdo
  • 11Meshal Al Mutairi
  • 19A. Bondarenko
  • 46Rayane Hamidou
  • 21Abdullah Radif
  • 8E. Spertsyan
  • 29Mohammed Yousef

Match Statistics

Al-FatehAl-Ahli Jeddah
0.45Expected Goals2.21
221Passes accurate390
4Shots insidebox11
1Shots outsidebox6
1Blocked Shots1
17Free Kicks20
1Shots on Goal11
7Goalkeeper Saves1
3Shots off Goal5
1Offsides1
270Total passes453
5Total Shots17
4Yellow Cards1
3Corner Kicks4
20Fouls17
0Red Cards0
38%Ball Possession62%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
5.744.801.42

Double chance

1XX212
2.671.111.15

Draw no bet

12
4.561.17

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.482.47

1st half

1X2
5.262.691.84

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.7926.01.40

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0117.5
1.51.096.54
2.51.353.00
3.51.921.84
4.53.081.33
5.55.551.12
6.510.31.05
7.518.71.01
8.541.0–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0113.0
1.751.075.80
21.095.30
2.251.213.58
2.751.442.59
31.532.36
3.251.762.00
3.752.181.64
42.521.47
4.252.781.34
4.753.721.20
54.901.11
5.255.251.09
69.00–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
+0.52.811.44
+0.752.441.50
+12.161.64
+1.251.881.89
+1.51.692.11
+1.751.542.41
15 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.901.02
-19.001.02
-0.56.001.12
-0.255.321.11
04.771.14
+0.253.391.27
+21.372.91
+2.251.313.18
+2.51.253.48
+2.751.164.30
+31.095.93
+3.251.086.32
+3.51.066.50
+41.0511.5
+4.51.0412.5

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.622.20
4.52.221.62
5.53.201.32

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.0211.3
5.51.068.00
6.51.105.40
7.51.233.58
8.51.452.54
9.51.761.97
10.52.231.58
11.52.921.34
12.54.021.19
13.55.401.11
14.57.401.06
15.59.751.03
15 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.094.52
81.213.20
8.251.362.82
8.751.482.36
91.532.34
9.251.672.08
9.751.851.81
101.961.81
10.252.111.63
10.752.411.45
112.301.48
11.252.861.34
122.951.26
133.901.14
145.021.07