NEOM vs Al-Fateh• Pro League, Saudi-Arabia

#61.4:0.64-2FT13/09 · King Khalid Sports City, Tabuk0.4:0.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62AVGX3.85AVG24.53AVGMargin9.8%Books5Markets79Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Sep 19:21 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.70	3.96	4.36	7.0%
Pinnacle	1.70	4.03	4.26	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.82	4.20	11.0%
Bet365	1.65	3.75	4.10	11.7%
William Hill	1.67	3.60	4.00	12.7%
Best of all books	1.70	4.03	4.36	6.6%
Average	1.67	3.83	4.18	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NEOMAl-Fateh

Last 10#6Table position#172.14Points per game0.389Form pts · last 531.4Goals for · last 50.40.6Goals against · last 50.878Attack rating2257Defence rating4375Form rating2520H2H rating8087Goals model1360Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

NEOM

8W 0D 2L · goals 21:8 · per match 2.1 for, 0.8 against

13 Sep	H	Al-Fateh	4-2	W
7 Sep	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	2-0	W
3 Sep	H	Al Khaleej Saihat	3-0	W
28 Aug	A	Al Riyadh	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Al-Qadisiyah FC	0-2	L
21 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	2-0	W
18 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	3-1	W
14 Aug	H	Al-Fayha	2-1	W
31 Jul	A	Las Palmas	1-0	W
27 Jul	H	Al-Arabi SC	4-1	W

Al-Fateh

0W 4D 6L · goals 4:17 · per match 0.4 for, 1.7 against

13 Sep	A	NEOM	2-4	L
9 Sep	H	Al Diriyah	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	Al Taawon	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Al-Ittihad FC	0-0	D
26 Aug	A	Al-Faisaly FC	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Al-Ettifaq	0-1	L
19 Aug	A	Al Ula	0-3	L
15 Aug	A	Al-Nassr	0-3	L
25 Jul	A	Mallorca	0-3	L
21 May	A	Al Kholood	0-0	D

Head to head

0NEOM wins

1draws

1Al-Fateh wins

2 meetings · goals 2:3 · last 2: 0W 1D 1L for NEOM

2 May 2026Pro League	Pro League	Al-Fateh2-2NEOM
10 Jan 2026Pro League	Pro League	NEOM0-1Al-Fateh

Pro League tableSaudi Professional Leagueupdated 9 Oct 19:53 UTC

In the Pro League table, NEOM sit 6th with 15 points from 7 games, while Al-Fateh are 17th with 3 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al-Qadisiyah FC	8	6	1	1	21:8	+13	19
2	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	7	6	0	1	23:5	+18	18
3	Al-Ittihad FC	7	5	2	0	12:6	+6	17
4	Al-Nassr	7	5	1	1	16:7	+9	16
5	Al-Ahli Jeddah	8	5	0	3	20:10	+10	15
6	NEOM	7	5	0	2	13:6	+7	15
7	Al Kholood	8	3	3	2	12:15	-3	12
8	Al Diriyah	7	3	2	2	7:5	+2	11
9	Al-Ettifaq	7	3	2	2	11:11	0	11
10	Al-Hazm	7	2	2	3	7:9	-2	8
11	Al Riyadh	7	2	2	3	8:16	-8	8
12	Al-Fayha	7	1	3	3	7:11	-4	6
13	Al Khaleej Saihat	7	0	5	2	3:10	-7	5
14	Al Shabab	7	0	4	3	6:11	-5	4
15	Al-Faisaly FC	7	0	3	4	5:13	-8	3
16	Al Taawon	7	0	3	4	3:12	-9	3
17	Al-Fateh	8	0	3	5	4:15	-11	3
18	Abha	7	0	2	5	5:13	-8	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg156%1.62X24%3.85220%4.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.59	2.30	6.4%
1xBet	1.59	2.28	6.8%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.59	2.28	6.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.57	2.23	8.5%
William Hill	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.19	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Average	1.57	2.22	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

NEOM 45%Draw 45%Al-Fateh 10%

The statistical model rated NEOM at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Fateh at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.62 | 3.85 | 4.53, which imply roughly 61.7% for a NEOM win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Pro League table: NEOM are 6th (15 pts, 13-6 goals), Al-Fateh 17th (3 pts, 4-15).

Over their last five matches, NEOM averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Al-Fateh averaged 0.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : NEOM or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

NEOM

4-4-2

Coach: C. Galtier

Goalkeeper

1M. Bułka

Defence

5M. Sarr
44N. Zézé
27Islam Hawsawi

Midfield

15Abdulmalik Al Oyayari
77Muhannad Al Saad
18Ala Al Hajji
72A. Koné
70Haroune Camara

Attack

14Khalil Al Absi
91A. Lacazette

Substitutes (9)

19Mohannad Abu Taha
22A. Al Anzi
4Khalifah Al Dawsari
55Muhammad Al Dosari
8Faisal Al Ghamdi
6A. Al Hassan
33Abdulrahman Dagriri
7G. Masouras
23V. Vada

Al-Fateh

4-2-3-1

Coach: Khaled Al Atawi

Goalkeeper

1A. Šemper

Defence

4Ziyad Al Jari
16Abdulelah Al Khaibari

Midfield

87Sattam Al Tumbukti
8M. Lixandru
6Ali Al Hassan
28Z. Youssouf
80faisal abdulwahed al

Attack

11M. Batna
10L. Haraslín
9W. Kanga

Substitutes (9)

21Ramos Jefferson
19Robin Kelder
20H. Essadak
7Fahad Al Zubaidi
63Montadhar Al Shqaq
49Saad Al Sharfa
25M. Al Sahihi
22Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
94Waleed Al Anzi

Match Statistics

NEOMAl-Fateh

432Passes accurate223

15Shots insidebox9

6Shots outsidebox4

7Blocked Shots4

9Free Kicks12

6Shots on Goal7

5Goalkeeper Saves2

8Shots off Goal2

3Offsides1

475Total passes280

21Total Shots13

2Yellow Cards1

11Corner Kicks3

13Fouls10

0Red Cards0

62%Ball Possession38%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.67	3.83	4.18

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	2.05	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.30

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.22

1st half

1	X	2
2.16	2.40	4.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.57	15.6	2.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	13.9
1.5	1.16	4.43
2.5	1.59	2.28
3.5	2.43	1.49
4.5	4.26	1.17
5.5	8.20	1.04
6.5	19.0	1.02
7.5	34.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	9.00
1.25	1.06	6.10
1.75	1.17	3.96
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.44	2.57
2.75	1.70	2.00
3	1.91	1.77
3.25	2.19	1.61
3.75	2.78	1.34
4	3.50	1.22
4.25	3.88	1.18
4.75	5.25	1.09
5	7.20	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.78	1.40
-1.25	2.47	1.50
-1	2.15	1.64
-0.75	1.85	1.86
-0.5	1.67	2.17
-0.25	1.47	2.49

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	9.90	1.01
-3	9.15	1.02
-2.75	6.57	1.07
-2.5	5.18	1.12
-2.25	4.72	1.14
-2	4.35	1.16
-1.75	3.41	1.28
0	1.29	3.26
+0.25	1.23	3.71
+0.5	1.23	4.05
+0.75	1.11	5.45
+1	1.02	8.20

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.62	2.20

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.04	6.75
6.5	1.15	4.25
7.5	1.33	2.83
8.5	1.63	2.14
9.5	2.02	1.69
10.5	2.65	1.40
11.5	3.80	1.19
12.5	3.82	1.14
13.5	4.89	1.07

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.05	5.32
7	1.15	3.79
7.25	1.26	3.20
7.75	1.37	2.71
8	1.33	2.77
8.25	1.52	2.30
8.75	1.71	1.97
9	1.80	1.98
9.25	1.91	1.72
9.75	2.19	1.54
10	2.21	1.61
10.25	2.56	1.40
11	2.78	1.33
12	3.59	1.17
13	4.72	1.08