Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Chiangmai United• Thai League 2, Thailand

#91.8:1.43-1FTToday · Pitchaya Stadium, Nong Bua Lam Phu1.4:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.70WHX3.85DAF24.60DAFMargin at best6.5%Books9Markets43Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 04:43 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.73	3.80	4.40	6.8%
BetVictor	1.70	3.80	4.10	9.5%
Pinnacle	1.70	3.63	4.10	10.8%
1xBet	1.65	3.68	4.35	10.8%
Betfair	1.67	3.80	4.00	11.2%
Betano	1.70	3.60	4.05	11.3%
Bet365	1.67	3.80	3.90	11.8%
Marathonbet	1.63	3.68	4.25	12.1%
William Hill	1.70	3.60	3.80	12.9%
Best of all books	1.73	3.80	4.40	6.8%
Average	1.68	3.71	4.11	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nong Bua PitchayaChiangmai United

Last 10#9Table position#51.60Points per game1.808Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 51.41.4Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4436Defence rating6447Form rating5380H2H rating2061Goals model3957Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 08:40 UTC

Nong Bua Pitchaya

4W 3D 3L · goals 19:16 · per match 1.9 for, 1.6 against

11 Oct	A	Chanthaburi	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Satun	4-3	W
16 Sep	A	Uttaradit	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Muangthong United	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Kasetsart FC	2-0	W
23 May	A	Pattani	1-2	L
16 May	H	Pattani	2-1	W
9 May	H	Police Tero	3-1	W
3 May	A	Police Tero	1-2	L
25 Apr	H	Rasi Salai United	3-3	D

Chiangmai United

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:12 · per match 1.6 for, 1.2 against

10 Oct	H	Kasetsart FC	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Muangthong United	0-1	L
15 Sep	H	Khon Kaen United	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Esan Pattaya	0-1	L
25 Apr	A	Kasetsart FC	4-3	W
18 Apr	H	Nong Bua Pitchaya	3-0	W
4 Apr	H	Rasi Salai United	1-2	L
21 Mar	A	Khon Kaen United	1-2	L
14 Mar	H	Trat FC	0-1	L

Head to head

7Nong Bua Pitchaya wins

3draws

2Chiangmai United wins

12 meetings · goals 18:12 · last 10: 7W 2D 1L for Nong Bua Pitchaya

18 Apr 2026Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Chiangmai United3-0Nong Bua Pitchaya
13 Dec 2025Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Nong Bua Pitchaya1-0Chiangmai United
28 Jan 2024Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Nong Bua Pitchaya2-1Chiangmai United
16 Sep 2023Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Chiangmai United1-3Nong Bua Pitchaya
20 Mar 2022Thai League 1	Thai League 1	Chiangmai United1-3Nong Bua Pitchaya
6 Nov 2021Thai League 1	Thai League 1	Nong Bua Pitchaya3-1Chiangmai United
14 Feb 2021Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Nong Bua Pitchaya0-0Chiangmai United
7 Nov 2020FA Cup	FA Cup	Nong Bua Pitchaya1-0Chiangmai United
12 Sep 2020Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Chiangmai United0-0Nong Bua Pitchaya
27 Jul 2019Thai League 2	Thai League 2	Chiangmai United2-3Nong Bua Pitchaya

Thai League 2 tableThai Division 1updated 14 Oct 15:10 UTC

In the Thai League 2 table, Nong Bua Pitchaya sit 9th with 8 points from 5 games, while Chiangmai United are 5th with 9 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Uttaradit	5	3	2	0	11:7	+4	11
2	Chainat	5	3	1	1	7:5	+2	10
3	Phrae United	6	3	1	2	7:6	+1	10
4	Satun	5	3	0	2	12:9	+3	9
5	Chiangmai United	5	3	0	2	7:4	+3	9
6	Khon Kaen United	5	3	0	2	7:4	+3	9
7	Kanchanaburi	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9
8	Muang Loei United	6	2	2	2	10:7	+3	8
9	Nong Bua Pitchaya	5	2	2	1	9:7	+2	8
10	Nakhon Pathom	5	1	4	0	4:3	+1	7
11	Police Tero	6	2	1	3	5:7	-2	7
12	Muangthong United	6	2	1	3	3:6	-3	7
13	Nakhon Ratchasima FC	6	1	3	2	9:10	-1	6
14	Chanthaburi	5	1	2	2	5:5	0	5
15	Songkhla	5	1	2	2	6:7	-1	5
16	Esan Pattaya	5	1	2	2	3:8	-5	5
17	Mahasarakham United	5	0	3	2	5:9	-4	3
18	Kasetsart FC	5	0	1	4	0:8	-8	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.68X24%3.69222%4.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.68 0.0%X3.67 → 3.72 +1.4%24.21 → 4.14 -1.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Pinnacle	1.57	2.24	8.3%
1xBet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
BetVictor	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.17	9.0%
Betano	1.57	2.15	10.2%
Best of all books	1.60	2.30	6.0%
Average	1.58	2.21	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.62	2.15	8.2%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.58	2.20	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nong Bua Pitchaya 45%Draw 45%Chiangmai United 10%

The statistical model rated Nong Bua Pitchaya at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Chiangmai United at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.68 | 3.69 | 4.02, which imply roughly 59.5% for a Nong Bua Pitchaya win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Thai League 2 table: Nong Bua Pitchaya are 9th (8 pts, 9-7 goals), Chiangmai United 5th (9 pts, 7-4).

Over their last five matches, Nong Bua Pitchaya averaged 1.8 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Chiangmai United averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.68	3.71	4.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.18	1.98	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.58	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.29	4.38

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.54	15.0	2.49

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	13.0
1.5	1.15	4.52
2.5	1.58	2.21
3.5	2.44	1.46
4.5	4.50	1.15
5.5	8.33	1.05

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1.75	1.18	3.90
2	1.26	3.33
2.25	1.43	2.55
2.75	1.73	1.96
3	1.93	1.74
3.25	2.18	1.57
3.75	2.85	1.34
4	3.74	1.19

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.73	1.37
-1.25	2.52	1.44
-1	2.17	1.59
-0.75	1.87	1.83
-0.5	1.67	2.03
-0.25	1.47	2.42

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3	8.50	1.01
-2.5	5.40	1.09
-2	4.60	1.13
-1.75	3.34	1.24
0	1.27	3.19
+0.25	1.20	3.70
+1	1.01	8.80
+1.5	1.03	8.70

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
10	1.80	2.00
10.5	2.00	1.74