Heart of Lions vs Dreams• Premier League, Ghana

#150.8:2.21-2FTToday · Kpandu stadium, Kpandu0.8:1.2#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.71DAFX3.40WH25.351XBMargin at best6.6%Books7Markets45Rating39 · 62Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Nov 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.71	3.40	5.00	7.9%
1xBet	1.61	3.32	5.35	10.9%
Betano	1.70	3.25	4.65	11.1%
Betfair	1.62	3.40	5.00	11.1%
Bet365	1.67	3.40	4.50	11.5%
William Hill	1.62	3.40	4.75	12.2%
Marathonbet	1.59	3.32	5.20	12.2%
Best of all books	1.71	3.40	5.35	6.6%
Average	1.65	3.36	4.92	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Heart of LionsDreams

Last 10#15Table position#181.10Points per game0.703Form pts · last 550.8Goals for · last 50.82.2Goals against · last 51.250Attack rating5035Defence rating6538Form rating6329H2H rating7150Goals model5039Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Nov 06:40 UTC

Heart of Lions

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:16 · per match 1.0 for, 1.6 against

8 Nov	A	Hearts of Oak	0-3	L
1 Nov	H	Bechem United	2-1	W
25 Oct	A	Bibiani Gold Stars	1-2	L
17 Oct	H	Berekum Chelsea	0-2	L
11 Oct	A	Medeama	1-3	L
4 Oct	H	Ashanti Gold	3-2	W
27 Sep	A	Young Apostles	2-1	W
19 Sep	H	Swedru All Blacks	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Asante Kotoko	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Aduana Stars	0-0	D

Dreams

1W 4D 5L · goals 9:15 · per match 0.9 for, 1.5 against

8 Nov	H	Debibi United	1-1	D
1 Nov	A	Basake Holy Stars	1-0	W
25 Oct	H	Vision	1-3	L
18 Oct	A	Port City	1-1	D
11 Oct	A	Karela	0-1	L
3 Oct	H	Hearts of Oak	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Bechem United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Medeama	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Bibiani Gold Stars	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Berekum Chelsea	1-3	L

Head to head

3Heart of Lions wins

3draws

3Dreams wins

9 meetings · goals 8:11 · last 9: 3W 3D 3L for Heart of Lions

15 Mar 2026Cup	Cup	Dreams1-1Heart of Lions
11 Jan 2026Premier League	Premier League	Dreams3-0Heart of Lions
14 Sep 2025Premier League	Premier League	Heart of Lions1-0Dreams
19 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Heart of Lions1-2Dreams
1 Dec 2024Cup	Cup	Dreams0-0Heart of Lions
23 Sep 2024Premier League	Premier League	Dreams2-2Heart of Lions
19 May 2024Premier League	Premier League	Dreams1-2Heart of Lions
7 Jan 2024Cup	Cup	Heart of Lions0-2Dreams
4 Jan 2024Premier League	Premier League	Heart of Lions1-0Dreams

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Nov 06:40 UTC

In the Premier League table, Heart of Lions sit 15th with 11 points from 10 games, while Dreams are 18th with 7 points from 10.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Medeama	10	6	3	1	16:8	+8	21
2	Hearts of Oak	10	6	2	2	12:3	+9	20
3	Port City	10	5	3	2	12:7	+5	18
4	Samartex	10	5	3	2	11:7	+4	18
5	Aduana Stars	10	5	2	3	9:5	+4	17
6	Bechem United	10	5	1	4	14:12	+2	16
7	Ashanti Gold	10	4	3	3	12:10	+2	15
8	Swedru All Blacks	10	4	2	4	9:8	+1	14
9	Berekum Chelsea	10	4	2	4	12:12	0	14
10	Asante Kotoko	10	3	4	3	11:12	-1	13
11	Basake Holy Stars	10	4	0	6	5:10	-5	12
12	Bibiani Gold Stars	10	3	2	5	8:10	-2	11
13	Karela	10	3	2	5	8:11	-3	11
14	Debibi United	10	3	2	5	9:13	-4	11
15	Heart of Lions	10	3	2	5	10:16	-6	11
16	Vision	10	2	5	3	11:11	0	11
17	Young Apostles	10	2	2	6	5:13	-8	8
18	Dreams	10	1	4	5	9:15	-6	7

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.65X27%3.36218%4.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.65 -1.8%X3.30 → 3.36 +1.8%24.80 → 4.92 +2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.30	1.60	6.0%
Pinnacle	1.88	1.83	7.8%
1xBet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.77	9.1%
Betano	2.20	1.55	10.0%
Best of all books	2.30	1.83	-1.9%
Average	2.04	1.70	7.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
Best of all books	1.88	1.80	8.7%
Average	1.87	1.78	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heart of Lions 10%Draw 45%Dreams 45%

The statistical model rated Heart of Lions at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Dreams at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.36 | 4.92, which imply roughly 29.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Heart of Lions are 15th (11 pts, 10-16 goals), Dreams 18th (7 pts, 9-15).

Over their last five matches, Heart of Lions averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Dreams averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Dreams.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.36	4.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.04	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.27	3.35

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.78

1st half

1	X	2
2.22	2.05	5.46

2nd half

1	X	2
1.98	2.43	4.87

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.56	15.3	44.0
HT X	4.08	4.72	9.22
HT 2	25.0	16.5	7.85

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.53	7.25	3.07

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.45
1.5	1.29	3.07
2.5	2.04	1.70
3.5	3.14	1.27
4.5	6.00	1.10
5.5	13.0	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.05	6.55
1.25	1.18	3.90
1.75	1.33	2.83
2	1.50	2.34
2.25	1.67	2.02
2.75	2.13	1.59
3	2.55	1.41
3.25	2.83	1.34
3.75	3.84	1.18
4	5.20	1.10

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.63	1.39
-1.25	2.35	1.48
-1	2.06	1.65
-0.75	1.81	1.88
-0.5	1.64	2.06
-0.25	1.40	2.59

5 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.00	1.10
-2	4.30	1.15
-1.75	3.20	1.26
0	1.20	3.72
+0.25	1.14	4.35

Latest Premier League results

8 Nov	Bechem United 2-1 Samartex
8 Nov	Medeama 1-0 Swedru All Blacks
8 Nov	Hearts of Oak 3-0 Heart of Lions
6 Nov	Karela 0-0 Vision
1 Nov	Young Apostles 0-0 Karela
1 Nov	Heart of Lions 2-1 Bechem United