Karela vs Hearts of Oak• Premier League, Ghana

#111.7:2.01-0FT26/09 · Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu2.0:0.3#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10B365X3.80B36522.50WHMargin6.9%Books5Markets30Rating35 · 65Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 06:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.32	2.82	3.10	10.8%
1xBet	2.29	2.80	3.17	10.9%
Betfair	2.20	2.88	3.25	10.9%
Bet365	2.30	2.80	3.10	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.27	2.80	3.08	12.2%
Best of all books	2.32	2.88	3.25	8.6%
Average	2.28	2.82	3.14	11.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KarelaHearts of Oak

Last 10#11Table position#61.20Points per game1.606Form pts · last 5101.7Goals for · last 52.02.0Goals against · last 50.345Attack rating5514Defence rating8630Form rating7038H2H rating6241Goals model5935Overall rating65

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 1 Oct 14:11 UTC

Karela

4W 2D 4L · goals 11:13 · per match 1.1 for, 1.3 against

26 Sep	H	Hearts of Oak	1-0	W
20 Sep	A	Aduana Stars	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Bechem United	3-1	W
6 Sep	A	Samartex	1-3	L
24 May	H	Nations	0-1	L
17 May	H	Swedru All Blacks	1-0	W
10 May	A	Vision	0-3	L
6 May	A	Hearts of Oak	0-0	D
3 May	H	Young Apostles	2-1	W
12 Apr	H	Heart of Lions	2-2	D

Hearts of Oak

4W 3D 3L · goals 11:6 · per match 1.1 for, 0.6 against

26 Sep	A	Karela	0-1	L
20 Sep	H	Bechem United	0-0	D
13 Sep	A	Bibiani Gold Stars	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Berekum Chelsea	4-0	W
24 May	H	Medeama	4-2	W
17 May	A	Samartex	0-1	L
10 May	H	Aduana Stars	0-0	D
6 May	H	Karela	0-0	D
3 May	A	Nations	1-0	W
11 Apr	A	Vision	0-1	L

Head to head

4Karela wins

8draws

2Hearts of Oak wins

14 meetings · goals 13:8 · last 10: 3W 5D 2L for Karela

6 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Hearts of Oak0-0Karela
7 Dec 2025Premier League	Premier League	Karela2-0Hearts of Oak
20 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Hearts of Oak0-0Karela
17 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Karela0-1Hearts of Oak
13 Apr 2024Premier League	Premier League	Hearts of Oak3-1Karela
4 Nov 2023Premier League	Premier League	Karela1-1Hearts of Oak
25 Mar 2023Premier League	Premier League	Karela3-0Hearts of Oak
13 Nov 2022Premier League	Premier League	Hearts of Oak0-0Karela
30 May 2022Premier League	Premier League	Hearts of Oak1-1Karela
22 Jan 2022Premier League	Premier League	Karela1-0Hearts of Oak

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 06:51 UTC

In the Premier League table, Karela sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games, while Hearts of Oak are 6th with 8 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Medeama	5	3	2	0	9:4	+5	11
2	Samartex	5	3	2	0	7:3	+4	11
3	Port City	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	3	0	2	4:5	-1	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	2	2	1	6:2	+4	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	2	2	1	6:5	+1	8
8	Asante Kotoko	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8
9	Ashanti Gold	5	2	1	2	8:7	+1	7
10	Bechem United	5	2	1	2	4:6	-2	7
11	Karela	5	2	0	3	6:7	-1	6
12	Vision	5	1	3	1	6:5	+1	6
13	Swedru All Blacks	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Debibi United	5	1	1	3	6:6	0	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
17	Young Apostles	5	1	0	4	2:9	-7	3
18	Dreams	5	0	2	3	5:9	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.42X29%3.28244%2.12

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.28 → 3.42 +50.0%X2.82 → 3.28 +16.3%23.14 → 2.12 -32.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.75	1.40	7.8%
1xBet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.62	1.38	10.6%
Best of all books	2.75	1.40	7.8%
Average	2.66	1.39	9.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.56	10.0%
Best of all books	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Average	2.18	1.57	9.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Karela 10%Draw 45%Hearts of Oak 45%

The statistical model rated Karela at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hearts of Oak at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.42 | 3.28 | 2.12, which imply roughly 30.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Karela are 11th (6 pts, 6-7 goals), Hearts of Oak 6th (8 pts, 6-2).

Over their last five matches, Karela averaged 1.7 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Hearts of Oak averaged 2 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Hearts of Oak.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.28	2.82	3.14

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.28	1.50	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.61	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.18	1.57

1st half

1	X	2
3.10	1.81	4.08

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	5.53	2.39

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.08	5.55
1.5	1.55	2.21
2.5	2.66	1.39
3.5	5.25	1.09
4.5	13.0	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	4.95
1	1.14	4.33
1.25	1.35	2.80
1.75	1.71	1.94
2	1.99	1.66
2.25	2.33	1.48
2.75	3.20	1.26
3	4.45	1.14

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.92	1.18
-0.75	2.74	1.35
-0.25	1.94	1.75
0	1.59	2.15
+0.25	1.40	2.56
+0.75	1.18	3.90

4 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	4.90	1.11
-1.25	4.45	1.14
+1	1.06	6.15
+1.5	1.03	7.20