Dreams vs Medeama• Premier League, Ghana

#181.5:3.02-2FT23/09 · Tuba Astro Turf, Accra1.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.62BFRX4.00WH26.041XBMargin at best3.3%Books4Markets38Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 00:25 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.91	3.10	3.80	10.9%
1xBet	1.90	3.18	3.72	11.0%
Bet365	1.90	3.20	3.60	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.14	3.84	12.2%
Best of all books	1.91	3.20	3.84	9.6%
Average	1.89	3.16	3.74	11.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

DreamsMedeama

Last 10#18Table position#10.40Points per game2.202Form pts · last 551.5Goals for · last 51.03.0Goals against · last 51.075Attack rating2514Defence rating860Form rating10060H2H rating4024Goals model7644Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 12:51 UTC

Dreams

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:14 · per match 1.7 for, 1.4 against

27 Sep	A	Bechem United	0-1	L
23 Sep	H	Medeama	2-2	D
20 Sep	H	Bibiani Gold Stars	2-3	L
13 Sep	A	Berekum Chelsea	1-3	L
31 May	H	Nations	1-1	D
24 May	A	Basake Holy Stars	4-1	W
17 May	H	Bibiani Gold Stars	3-1	W
10 May	A	Berekum Chelsea	0-1	L
6 May	A	Bechem United	2-1	W
3 May	H	Asante Kotoko	2-0	W

Medeama

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

23 Sep	A	Dreams	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Vision	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	TP Mazembe	1-3	L
6 Sep	H	TP Mazembe	0-1	L
12 Aug	A	ASEC Mimosas	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	SOA	1-2	L
27 May	H	Basake Holy Stars	2-1	W
24 May	A	Hearts of Oak	2-4	L
17 May	H	Heart of Lions	5-2	W
10 May	A	Basake Holy Stars	1-0	W

Head to head

10Dreams wins

2draws

6Medeama wins

18 meetings · goals 28:24 · last 10: 6W 1D 3L for Dreams

18 Apr 2026Cup	Cup	Dreams3-2Medeama
22 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Dreams2-1Medeama
10 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Medeama2-1Dreams
30 Aug 2025Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Dreams4-2Medeama
11 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Medeama4-0Dreams
9 Nov 2024Premier League	Premier League	Dreams1-0Medeama
24 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Medeama0-0Dreams
22 Oct 2023Premier League	Premier League	Dreams2-1Medeama
26 Apr 2023Premier League	Premier League	Medeama3-2Dreams
8 Jan 2023Premier League	Premier League	Dreams4-0Medeama

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 10 Oct 06:51 UTC

In the Premier League table, Dreams sit 18th with 2 points from 5 games, while Medeama are 1st with 11 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Medeama	5	3	2	0	9:4	+5	11
2	Samartex	5	3	2	0	7:3	+4	11
3	Port City	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
4	Aduana Stars	5	3	1	1	6:3	+3	10
5	Basake Holy Stars	5	3	0	2	4:5	-1	9
6	Hearts of Oak	5	2	2	1	6:2	+4	8
7	Heart of Lions	5	2	2	1	6:5	+1	8
8	Asante Kotoko	5	2	2	1	6:6	0	8
9	Ashanti Gold	5	2	1	2	8:7	+1	7
10	Bechem United	5	2	1	2	4:6	-2	7
11	Karela	5	2	0	3	6:7	-1	6
12	Vision	5	1	3	1	6:5	+1	6
13	Swedru All Blacks	5	1	2	2	3:4	-1	5
14	Debibi United	5	1	1	3	6:6	0	4
15	Bibiani Gold Stars	5	1	1	3	4:7	-3	4
16	Berekum Chelsea	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
17	Young Apostles	5	1	0	4	2:9	-7	3
18	Dreams	5	0	2	3	5:9	-4	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.50X24%3.73217%5.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.89 → 1.51 -20.1%X3.16 → 3.71 +17.4%23.74 → 5.13 +37.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.12	1.58	10.5%
Marathonbet	2.35	1.47	10.6%
Best of all books	2.40	1.65	2.3%
Average	2.27	1.55	8.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.09	1.61	10.0%
Best of all books	2.10	1.76	4.4%
Average	2.04	1.67	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dreams 10%Draw 45%Medeama 45%

The statistical model rated Dreams at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Medeama at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.50 | 3.73 | 5.17, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Dreams are 18th (2 pts, 5-9 goals), Medeama 1st (11 pts, 9-4).

Over their last five matches, Dreams averaged 1.5 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Medeama averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Medeama and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.89	3.16	3.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.20	1.74	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	1.99	4.51

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.69	6.95	2.64

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	7.73
1.5	1.40	2.70
2.5	2.27	1.55
3.5	4.50	1.14
4.5	9.00	1.03

8 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	7.05
1	1.06	6.25
1.25	1.23	3.55
1.75	1.49	2.31
2	1.68	1.98
2.25	1.96	1.70
2.75	2.66	1.38
3	3.52	1.22

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.89	1.34
-0.75	2.19	1.54
-0.5	1.98	1.82
-0.25	1.62	2.05
0	1.36	2.70
+0.25	1.27	3.18

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.85	1.01
-2	7.80	1.02
-1.75	4.97	1.11
-1.5	3.79	1.19
-1.25	3.30	1.25
+1	1.02	8.60