Taguatinga EC vs Luziânia• Brasiliense B, Brazil

#21.8:0.32-0FT03/100.8:2.3#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.48B365X4.301XB27.201XBMargin at best4.7%Books3Markets42Rating75 · 25Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 17:52 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.32	5.02	10.5	5.2%
Bet365	1.36	4.20	7.50	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.26	4.50	9.40	12.2%
Best of all books	1.36	5.02	10.5	3.0%
Average	1.31	4.57	9.13	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Taguatinga ECLuziânia

Last 10#2Table position#52.17Points per game1.1710Form pts · last 541.8Goals for · last 50.80.3Goals against · last 52.370Attack rating3090Defence rating1069Form rating31100H2H rating077Goals model2375Overall rating25

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 17 Oct 05:30 UTC

Taguatinga EC

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:5 · per match 1.3 for, 0.5 against

10 Oct	A	Legião	1-1	D
3 Oct	H	Luziânia	2-0	W
27 Sep	H	Planaltina DF	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	GREVAL	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Canaa EC	1-0	W
29 Aug	A	Candango	4-0	W
20 Oct	H	Legião	0-1	L
13 Oct	A	Legião	1-1	D
5 Oct	H	Legião	1-0	W
29 Sep	H	Sobradinho EC	1-1	D

Luziânia

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

26 Sep	A	Canaa EC	1-2	L
20 Sep	H	GREVAL	0-6	L
12 Sep	A	Legião	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Planaltina DF	2-1	W
11 Oct	H	Planaltina DF	0-1	L
4 Oct	H	Candango	2-0	W
27 Sep	A	Brasília	1-2	L
21 Sep	A	ARUC	0-0	D
14 Sep	H	Cruzeiro FC	0-0	D
6 Sep	A	GREVAL	4-0	W

Head to head

1Taguatinga EC wins

0draws

0Luziânia wins

1 meeting · goals 2:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Taguatinga EC

8 Sep 2024Brasiliense B

Brasiliense B

Taguatinga EC2-1Luziânia

Brasiliense B tableBrasiliense 2: Regular seasonupdated 16 Oct 23:30 UTC

In the Brasiliense B table, Taguatinga EC sit 2nd with 13 points from 6 games, while Luziânia are 5th with 7 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Canaa EC	6	4	1	1	11:3	+8	13
2	Taguatinga EC	6	4	1	1	10:2	+8	13
3	Legião	6	2	4	0	10:7	+3	10
4	Planaltina DF	6	2	1	3	7:7	0	7
5	Luziânia	6	2	1	3	10:11	-1	7
6	GREVAL	6	1	3	2	11:10	+1	6
7	Candango	6	0	1	5	1:20	-19	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg163%1.45X23%3.97214%6.50

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.31 → 1.45 +10.7%X4.57 → 3.97 -13.1%29.13 → 6.50 -28.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.02	1.80	5.1%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.80	4.3%
Average	2.02	1.75	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	2.50	1.45	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.50	1.43	9.9%
Best of all books	2.50	1.45	9.0%
Average	2.50	1.44	9.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Taguatinga EC 50%Draw 50%Luziânia 0%

The statistical model rated Taguatinga EC at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Luziânia at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.45 | 3.97 | 6.50, which imply roughly 69% for a Taguatinga EC win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Brasiliense B table: Taguatinga EC are 2nd (13 pts, 10-2 goals), Luziânia 5th (7 pts, 10-11).

Over their last five matches, Taguatinga EC averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Luziânia averaged 0.8 scored and 2.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Taguatinga EC or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.31	4.57	9.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.04	2.95	1.13

Draw no bet

1	2
1.11	6.00

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.50	1.44

1st half

1	X	2
1.83	2.27	9.27

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.25	8.70	4.80

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.31	3.07
2.5	2.02	1.75
3.5	3.45	1.25
4.5	7.10	1.05

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.40
1.25	1.17	4.30
1.75	1.37	2.66
2	1.49	2.30
2.25	1.77	1.95
2.75	2.24	1.52
3	2.78	1.34
3.25	3.21	1.29
4	6.05	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2	2.83	1.33
-1.75	2.27	1.52
-1.5	1.98	1.70
-1.25	1.75	1.93
-1	1.46	2.38
-0.75	1.34	2.78

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.30	1.03
-3	6.50	1.05
-2.5	3.50	1.22
-2.25	3.20	1.26
-0.25	1.15	4.30
0	1.03	7.40