Zira vs Şamaxı FK• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#51.0:1.613:00Tomorrow · Zira Stadium, Zira1.4:0.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80B365X3.45DAF24.65PINMargin at best6.0%Books9Markets60Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.74	3.33	4.65	9.0%
Betano	1.75	3.40	4.40	9.3%
BetVictor	1.73	3.30	4.60	9.8%
Dafabet	1.73	3.45	4.30	10.0%
1xBet	1.76	3.24	4.32	10.8%
Betfair	1.73	3.30	4.40	10.8%
William Hill	1.75	3.20	4.40	11.1%
Bet365	1.80	3.20	4.10	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.74	3.24	4.20	12.1%
Best of all books	1.80	3.45	4.65	6.0%
Average	1.75	3.30	4.37	10.4%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ZiraŞamaxı FK

Last 10#5Table position#71.67Points per game1.507Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.41.6Goals against · last 50.642Attack rating5827Defence rating7344Form rating5671H2H rating2966Goals model3452Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

Zira

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	A	Turan	0-1	L
13 Sep	H	Qarabag	1-1	D
5 Sep	A	Sabah FA	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-0	W
22 Aug	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
16 Aug	H	Safa Baku	2-0	W
30 Jul	H	Paide	1-1	D
23 Jul	A	Paide	0-1	L
16 Jul	A	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-0	W
8 Jul	H	Torpedo Kutaisi	3-0	W

Şamaxı FK

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

20 Sep	H	Araz	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
4 Sep	A	Kapaz	4-1	W
29 Aug	A	Qabala	0-0	D
23 Aug	A	Turan	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Qarabag	1-3	L
21 May	A	Qabala	1-3	L
16 May	H	Turan	3-2	W
10 May	A	Neftchi Baku	0-3	L
3 May	H	Sabah FA	0-3	L

Head to head

17Zira wins

9draws

8Şamaxı FK wins

34 meetings · goals 51:34 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for Zira

7 Apr 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira1-1Şamaxı FK
13 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK2-1Zira
19 Sep 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira2-1Şamaxı FK
30 Mar 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira3-0Şamaxı FK
24 Jan 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK1-2Zira
4 Dec 2024Cup	Cup	Zira3-1Şamaxı FK
2 Nov 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-2Zira
25 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Zira0-1Şamaxı FK
6 May 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Şamaxı FK0-3Zira
25 Mar 2023Friendlies Clubs	Friendlies Clubs	Zira0-0Şamaxı FK

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Zira sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Şamaxı FK are 7th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	7	5	1	1	18:5	+13	16
2	Sabah FA	6	5	1	0	14:1	+13	16
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	6:4	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
6	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
7	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.75X27%3.30221%4.37

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.76 → 1.75 -0.6%X3.26 → 3.30 +1.2%24.32 → 4.37 +1.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.64	6.4%
Betano	2.12	1.65	7.8%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
1xBet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.10	1.63	9.0%
BetVictor	2.02	1.60	12.0%
Best of all books	2.20	1.67	5.3%
Average	2.13	1.63	8.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.05	1.73	6.6%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Betano	1.98	1.70	9.3%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.72	10.0%
BetVictor	1.93	1.67	11.7%
Best of all books	2.05	1.80	4.3%
Average	1.95	1.73	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Zira 45%Draw 45%Şamaxı FK 10%

The statistical model rates Zira at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Şamaxı FK at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.75 | 3.30 | 4.37, which imply roughly 57.1% for a Zira win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Zira are 5th (10 pts, 7-8 goals), Şamaxı FK 7th (9 pts, 8-6).

Over their last five matches, Zira averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Şamaxı FK averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Zira or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.75	3.30	4.37

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	1.90	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.30	3.15

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.73

1st half

1	X	2
2.39	2.04	4.87

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.62	8.40	2.67

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.88
1.5	1.36	2.88
2.5	2.13	1.63
3.5	3.90	1.21
4.5	7.82	1.05
5.5	16.3	1.01
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.50
1	1.04	6.75
1.25	1.18	3.85
1.75	1.44	2.47
2	1.59	2.13
2.25	1.85	1.82
2.75	2.43	1.45
3	3.13	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	4.89	1.11
4	7.10	1.04
4.25	7.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	3.19	1.30
-1.25	2.78	1.36
-1	2.41	1.48
-0.75	1.97	1.73
-0.5	1.72	2.01
-0.25	1.51	2.34

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	7.00	1.06
-2.25	6.50	1.07
-2	6.08	1.09
-1.75	4.10	1.18
0	1.29	3.29
+0.25	1.22	3.75
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.09	5.99
+1	1.05	7.50
+1.25	1.03	7.40
+1.5	1.02	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.14	4.22
6.5	1.37	2.72
7.5	1.73	2.01
8.5	2.21	1.58
9.5	3.01	1.30
10.5	4.44	1.12
11.5	7.10	1.01

7 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.01	7.08
6	1.19	3.74
7	1.49	2.39
8	1.95	1.76
9	2.68	1.38
10	4.04	1.16
11	6.62	1.03