Sumqayıt vs Qabala• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#110.8:1.615:30Tomorrow · Mehdi Huseynzade Stadium, Sumqayit0.4:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.42BTNX3.05BTN22.92PINMargin at best8.4%Books9Markets55Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
BetVictor	2.38	3.10	2.88	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.41	2.99	2.92	9.2%
Betano	2.37	3.05	2.90	9.5%
Dafabet	2.33	3.10	2.90	9.7%
Bet365	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
Betfair	2.38	3.00	2.80	11.1%
William Hill	2.40	2.80	2.90	11.9%
1xBet	2.36	3.02	2.73	12.1%
Marathonbet	2.36	3.02	2.73	12.1%
Best of all books	2.41	3.10	2.92	8.0%
Average	2.37	3.01	2.84	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SumqayıtQabala

Last 10#11Table position#80.40Points per game0.672Form pts · last 540.8Goals for · last 50.41.6Goals against · last 51.267Attack rating3343Defence rating5733Form rating6793H2H rating7100Goals model059Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

Sumqayıt

2W 2D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

20 Sep	A	Kapaz	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Şamaxı FK	1-1	D
6 Sep	A	Turan	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Qarabag	0-1	L
16 Aug	H	Neftchi Baku	1-3	L
22 May	H	Qarabag	3-4	L
17 May	A	Zira	1-2	L
9 May	H	Araz	2-1	W
2 May	A	Kapaz	1-2	L
25 Apr	A	Imisli FK	2-0	W

Qabala

4W 2D 4L · goals 10:10 · per match 1.0 for, 1.0 against

18 Sep	H	Neftchi Baku	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Kapaz	0-1	L
4 Sep	H	Imisli FK	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Şamaxı FK	0-0	D
22 Aug	H	Safa Baku	0-1	L
14 Aug	A	Turan	0-1	L
28 May	H	Mingəçevir	2-0	W
21 May	H	Şamaxı FK	3-1	W
15 May	A	Karvan	2-1	W
9 May	H	Qarabag	1-1	D

Head to head

10Sumqayıt wins

16draws

27Qabala wins

53 meetings · goals 41:74 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Sumqayıt

19 Apr 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt1-0Qabala
20 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt0-0Qabala
7 Nov 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala0-2Sumqayıt
25 May 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt1-0Qabala
23 Jan 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala0-1Sumqayıt
29 Oct 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt0-0Qabala
19 Aug 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala1-2Sumqayıt
23 Apr 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt2-3Qabala
18 Feb 2023Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Qabala2-1Sumqayıt
29 Nov 2022Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sumqayıt1-1Qabala

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Sumqayıt sit 11th with 2 points from 5 games, while Qabala are 8th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	7	5	1	1	18:5	+13	16
2	Sabah FA	6	5	1	0	14:1	+13	16
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	6:4	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
6	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
7	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.38X30%2.98232%2.83

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.4% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Pinnacle	2.20	1.64	6.4%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Betano	2.15	1.60	9.0%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
BetVictor	2.05	1.58	12.1%
Best of all books	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Average	2.17	1.60	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.87	1.87	7.0%
Bet365	1.91	1.80	7.9%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Betano	1.87	1.80	9.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.76	10.0%
BetVictor	1.80	1.78	11.7%
Best of all books	1.91	1.87	5.8%
Average	1.87	1.81	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sumqayıt 45%Draw 45%Qabala 10%

The statistical model rates Sumqayıt at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Qabala at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 2.98 | 2.83, which imply roughly 42% for a Sumqayıt win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Sumqayıt are 11th (2 pts, 4-8 goals), Qabala 8th (4 pts, 2-7).

Over their last five matches, Sumqayıt averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Qabala averaged 0.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sumqayıt or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.37	3.01	2.84

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.35	1.49	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.69	1.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.87	1.81

1st half

1	X	2
3.08	1.98	3.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	7.75	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.58
1.5	1.37	2.82
2.5	2.17	1.60
3.5	4.05	1.20
4.5	7.98	1.05
5.5	15.7	1.01
6.5	17.0	–

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.04	6.80
1	1.06	6.10
1.25	1.22	3.50
1.75	1.47	2.39
2	1.64	2.07
2.25	1.90	1.76
2.75	2.51	1.43
3	3.26	1.27
3.25	3.72	1.20
3.75	5.20	1.10
4	7.50	1.03
4.25	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.82	1.35
-0.5	2.34	1.52
-0.25	2.02	1.69
0	1.69	2.01
+0.25	1.48	2.38
+0.5	1.39	2.86

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.60	1.01
-1.75	6.63	1.07
-1.5	5.00	1.13
-1.25	4.53	1.15
-1	4.00	1.20
+0.75	1.25	3.41
+1	1.12	5.23
+1.25	1.10	5.73
+1.5	1.08	6.23
+1.75	1.02	8.30

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.15
6.5	1.27	3.18
7.5	1.56	2.25
8.5	1.99	1.74
9.5	2.57	1.42
10.5	3.62	1.20
11.5	5.50	1.06

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.11	4.63
7	1.35	2.81
8	1.76	2.01
9	2.29	1.54
10	3.26	1.25
11	5.07	1.08