Neftchi Baku vs Sabah FA• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#13.0:0.80-0FTToday · Palms Sports Arena, Baku2.8:0.2#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.75BTNX3.40B36522.41PINMargin at best7.3%Books10Markets59Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.75	3.25	2.40	8.8%
Pinnacle	2.70	3.26	2.41	9.2%
BetVictor	2.63	3.40	2.38	9.5%
Dafabet	2.70	3.25	2.37	10.0%
Betfair	2.63	3.40	2.30	10.9%
Bet365	2.60	3.40	2.30	11.4%
William Hill	2.62	3.10	2.40	12.1%
1xBet	2.63	3.18	2.34	12.2%
Marathonbet	2.63	3.18	2.34	12.2%
SBO	2.58	3.11	2.26	15.2%
Best of all books	2.75	3.40	2.41	7.3%
Average	2.65	3.25	2.35	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Neftchi BakuSabah FA

Last 10#1Table position#22.29Points per game2.6712Form pts · last 5123.0Goals for · last 52.80.8Goals against · last 50.252Attack rating4820Defence rating8044Form rating5638H2H rating620Goals model10038Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 16:31 UTC

Neftchi Baku

7W 0D 3L · goals 24:10 · per match 2.4 for, 1.0 against

18 Sep	A	Qabala	3-0	W
11 Sep	A	Imisli FK	3-2	W
5 Sep	H	Safa Baku	4-1	W
30 Aug	A	Zira	0-1	L
23 Aug	H	Araz	5-0	W
16 Aug	A	Sumqayıt	3-1	W
30 Jul	A	Dinamo Minsk	1-0	W
22 Jul	H	Dinamo Minsk	2-4	L
13 Jul	H	NK Osijek	0-1	L
10 Jul	A	Radnicki NIS	3-0	W

Sabah FA

7W 0D 3L · goals 25:11 · per match 2.5 for, 1.1 against

19 Sep	H	Imisli FK	3-1	W
14 Sep	A	Safa Baku	3-0	W
10 Sep	A	Manchester United	0-4	L
5 Sep	H	Zira	5-0	W
31 Aug	A	Araz	1-0	W
25 Aug	H	Hapoel Beer Sheva	5-2	W
19 Aug	A	Hapoel Beer Sheva	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	Kapaz	2-0	W
11 Aug	H	Aarhus	4-0	W
5 Aug	A	Aarhus	1-2	L

Head to head

15Neftchi Baku wins

9draws

10Sabah FA wins

34 meetings · goals 42:30 · last 10: 1W 4D 5L for Neftchi Baku

17 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA1-2Neftchi Baku
8 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA2-0Neftchi Baku
14 Sep 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku0-0Sabah FA
24 May 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA1-0Neftchi Baku
23 Apr 2025Cup	Cup	Sabah FA1-1Neftchi Baku
2 Apr 2025Cup	Cup	Neftchi Baku1-2Sabah FA
19 Jan 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku1-1Sabah FA
27 Oct 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Sabah FA0-0Neftchi Baku
18 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku0-2Sabah FA
25 May 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Neftchi Baku0-1Sabah FA

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Neftchi Baku sit 1st with 16 points from 7 games, while Sabah FA are 2nd with 16 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	7	5	1	1	18:5	+13	16
2	Sabah FA	6	5	1	0	14:1	+13	16
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	6:4	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
6	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
7	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.62X27%3.30238%2.35

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.78 → 2.65 -4.7%X3.21 → 3.25 +1.2%22.29 → 2.35 +2.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
SBO	1.74	2.04	6.5%
Pinnacle	1.69	2.11	6.6%
Betano	1.75	1.98	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
1xBet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.02	9.0%
BetVictor	1.63	1.98	11.9%
Best of all books	1.80	2.11	2.9%
Average	1.70	2.03	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
William Hill	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Betano	1.57	2.20	9.1%
1xBet	1.53	2.28	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.53	2.24	10.0%
BetVictor	1.50	2.20	12.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.30	3.4%
Average	1.56	2.23	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Neftchi Baku 10%Draw 45%Sabah FA 45%

The statistical model rated Neftchi Baku at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sabah FA at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.62 | 3.30 | 2.35, which imply roughly 30.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Neftchi Baku are 1st (16 pts, 18-5 goals), Sabah FA 2nd (16 pts, 14-1).

Over their last five matches, Neftchi Baku averaged 3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Sabah FA averaged 2.8 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sabah FA.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	3.25	2.35

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.49	1.37	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.96	1.73

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.56	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
3.26	2.16	2.88

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.02	12.4	1.84

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.1
1.5	1.20	3.98
2.5	1.70	2.03
3.5	2.71	1.40
4.5	5.03	1.13
5.5	9.22	1.04
6.5	12.5	1.01
7.5	19.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.40
1.25	1.08	5.45
1.75	1.24	3.45
2	1.31	3.01
2.25	1.48	2.37
2.75	1.83	1.83
3	2.09	1.62
3.25	2.35	1.48
3.75	3.14	1.27
4	4.20	1.15
4.25	4.60	1.13
4.75	6.25	1.06
5	8.90	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.61	1.42
-0.25	2.28	1.54
0	1.96	1.74
+0.25	1.66	2.04
+0.5	1.52	2.33
+0.75	1.36	2.77

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	9.80	1.01
-1.75	7.13	1.05
-1.5	5.47	1.10
-1.25	4.93	1.13
-1	4.50	1.15
-0.75	3.24	1.29
+1	1.23	3.69
+1.25	1.17	4.22
+1.5	1.14	4.60
+1.75	1.08	6.03
+2.5	1.02	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.08	5.15
6.5	1.27	3.18
7.5	1.56	2.25
8.5	1.99	1.74
9.5	2.57	1.42
10.5	3.62	1.20
11.5	5.50	1.06

6 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.11	4.63
7	1.35	2.81
8	1.73	1.99
9	2.29	1.54
10	3.26	1.25
11	5.07	1.08