Araz vs Kapaz• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan

#121.0:2.60-2FT09/10 · Shamakhi City Stadium, Shamakhi0.8:1.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX3.60PIN22.981XBMargin at best7.8%Books8Markets56Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 09:55 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	2.15	3.50	2.95	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.12	3.60	2.93	9.1%
Dafabet	2.13	3.50	2.90	10.0%
1xBet	2.11	3.34	2.98	10.9%
Betfair	2.10	3.50	2.88	10.9%
Bet365	2.10	3.40	2.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.09	3.34	2.90	12.3%
William Hill	2.10	3.30	2.90	12.4%
Best of all books	2.15	3.60	2.98	7.8%
Average	2.11	3.43	2.92	10.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArazKapaz

Last 10#12Table position#60.29Points per game1.671Form pts · last 571.0Goals for · last 50.82.6Goals against · last 51.456Attack rating4435Defence rating6513Form rating8871H2H rating29100Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 10:20 UTC

Araz

2W 2D 6L · goals 11:18 · per match 1.1 for, 1.8 against

20 Sep	A	Şamaxı FK	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Turan	2-2	D
6 Sep	A	Qarabag	2-3	L
31 Aug	H	Sabah FA	0-1	L
23 Aug	A	Neftchi Baku	0-5	L
15 Aug	H	Imisli FK	0-0	D
23 May	H	Zira	3-2	W
15 May	H	Kapaz	2-0	W
9 May	A	Sumqayıt	1-2	L
2 May	H	Imisli FK	0-1	L

Kapaz

4W 1D 5L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against

20 Sep	H	Sumqayıt	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Qabala	1-0	W
4 Sep	H	Şamaxı FK	1-4	L
30 Aug	H	Turan	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Sabah FA	0-2	L
23 May	H	Neftchi Baku	0-1	L
15 May	A	Araz	0-2	L
8 May	A	Sabah FA	1-0	W
2 May	H	Sumqayıt	2-1	W
26 Apr	A	Şamaxı FK	0-2	L

Head to head

8Araz wins

2draws

4Kapaz wins

14 meetings · goals 15:8 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Araz

15 May 2026Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz2-0Kapaz
9 Dec 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz2-0Kapaz
4 Dec 2025Cup	Cup	Araz0-1Kapaz
12 Sep 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-2Araz
13 Apr 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-0Araz
10 Feb 2025Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz0-0Kapaz
22 Nov 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz0-2Araz
13 Sep 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz1-0Kapaz
5 Apr 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Araz1-2Kapaz
5 Feb 2024Premyer Liqa	Premyer Liqa	Kapaz3-1Araz

Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premyer Liqa table, Araz sit 12th with 2 points from 7 games, while Kapaz are 6th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Neftchi Baku	7	5	1	1	18:5	+13	16
2	Sabah FA	6	5	1	0	14:1	+13	16
3	Qarabag	5	4	1	0	9:4	+5	13
4	Turan	6	3	2	1	6:4	+2	11
5	Zira	6	3	1	2	7:8	-1	10
6	Kapaz	6	3	1	2	6:7	-1	10
7	Şamaxı FK	6	2	3	1	8:6	+2	9
8	Qabala	6	1	1	4	2:7	-5	4
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4
10	Safa Baku	6	1	0	5	2:11	-9	3
11	Sumqayıt	5	0	2	3	4:8	-4	2
12	Araz	7	0	2	5	5:15	-10	2

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.11X26%3.44231%2.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.05 → 2.11 +2.9%X3.15 → 3.44 +9.2%23.31 → 2.92 -11.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.68	2.12	6.7%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Betano	1.70	2.02	8.3%
1xBet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.01	8.9%
Best of all books	1.70	2.12	6.0%
Average	1.68	2.06	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.53	2.38	7.4%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
William Hill	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
1xBet	1.57	2.20	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.57	2.16	10.0%
Best of all books	1.60	2.38	4.5%
Average	1.57	2.23	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Araz 45%Draw 45%Kapaz 10%

The statistical model rated Araz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kapaz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.44 | 2.92, which imply roughly 47.4% for a Araz win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Araz are 12th (2 pts, 5-15 goals), Kapaz 6th (10 pts, 6-7).

Over their last five matches, Araz averaged 1 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Kapaz averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Araz or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	3.44	2.92

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.61	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.57	2.23

1st half

1	X	2
2.67	2.21	3.50

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.78	13.3	2.10

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.86
1.5	1.20	3.91
2.5	1.68	2.06
3.5	2.69	1.39
4.5	4.86	1.13
5.5	8.75	1.05
6.5	12.0	1.01
7.5	19.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.57
1	1.02	8.30
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.26	3.33
2	1.30	3.07
2.25	1.50	2.37
2.75	1.86	1.83
3	2.15	1.60
3.25	2.44	1.46
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.25	1.06
5	8.80	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.45	1.47
-0.5	2.11	1.68
-0.25	1.86	1.86
0	1.60	2.21
+0.25	1.45	2.53
+0.5	1.38	2.94

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.02
-2.25	7.30	1.03
-2	7.50	1.03
-1.75	5.06	1.12
-1.5	3.93	1.19
-1.25	3.46	1.25
-1	3.12	1.31
+0.75	1.24	3.52
+1	1.12	5.18
+1.25	1.10	5.65
+1.5	1.08	6.00
+1.75	1.02	8.00
+2	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.37	2.77
8	1.48	2.40
8.5	1.80	1.89
9	1.97	1.71
9.5	2.28	1.53
10	2.09	1.63
10.5	2.39	1.48