Şamaxı FK7th6 pts
Araz11th2 pts
Şamaxı FK7th6 pts
Araz11th2 ptsIn the Premyer Liqa table, Şamaxı FK sit 7th with 6 points from 5 games, while Araz are 11th with 2 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Şamaxı FK at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Araz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.16 | 3.83, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Şamaxı FK win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Şamaxı FK are 7th (6 pts, 6-5 goals), Araz 11th (2 pts, 4-11).
Over their last five matches, Şamaxı FK averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Araz averaged 0.8 scored and 2.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Şamaxı FK or draw.
Şamaxı FK vs Araz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Neftchi Baku | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 15 |
| 2 |  Sabah FA | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 |
| 3 |  Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |  Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11 |
| 5 |  Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 |  Kapaz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Şamaxı FK | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 9 |  Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 |
| 10 |  Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 |
| 11 |  Araz | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 |  Sumqayıt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.10
X
3.01
2
3.30
Double chance
1X
1.26
X2
1.60
12
1.29
Both teams to score
Yes
1.78
No
1.89
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
3.14
Over 2.5
2.01
Under 2.5
1.73
Over 3.5
3.48
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
8.10
Over 4.5
6.87
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
13.75
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
17.00
Over 1.75
1.36
Under 1.75
2.79
Over 2
1.48
Under 2
2.39
Over 2.25
1.73
Under 2.25
1.96
Over 2.75
2.28
Under 2.75
1.55
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
7.70
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
7.10
Over 1.25
1.16
Under 1.25
4.14
Over 3
2.78
Under 3
1.36
Over 3.25
3.11
Under 3.25
1.29
Over 3.75
4.25
Under 3.75
1.15
Over 4
6.00
Under 4
1.06
Over 4.25
6.40
Under 4.25
1.05
Draw no bet
1
1.53
2
2.40
Asian handicap
Home 0.5
1.30
Away 0.5
1.67
1st half
1
2.76
X
2.00
2
3.97
First team to score
Home
1.74
No Goal
8.45
Away
2.34
Corners 2-Way
Over 6.5
1.23
Under 6.5
3.42