QarabagvsSafa Baku• Premyer Liqa,Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Qarabag3rd10 pts
Safa Baku10th3 pts
Qarabag3rd10 pts
Safa Baku10th3 ptsIn the Premyer Liqa table, Qarabag sit 3rd with 10 points from 4 games, while Safa Baku are 10th with 3 points from 5 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Qarabag at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Safa Baku at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.11 | 7.38 | 15.26, which imply roughly 90.1% for a Qarabag win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Qarabag are 3rd (10 pts, 8-4 goals), Safa Baku 10th (3 pts, 2-10).
Over their last five matches, Qarabag averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Safa Baku averaged 0.4 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Qarabag.
Qarabag vs Safa Baku — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Sabah FA | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 12 |
| 2 |  Neftchi Baku | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 3 |  Qarabag | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 4 |  Zira | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 |
| 5 |  Turan | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 |  Kapaz | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 7 |  Şamaxı FK | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 |  Qabala | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 9 |  Imisli FK | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 |  Safa Baku | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 |
| 11 |  Araz | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 12 |  Sumqayıt | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.11
X
7.60
2
16.32
Double chance
1X
1.02
X2
5.13
12
1.05
Both teams to score
Yes
2.10
No
1.63
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.08
Under 1.5
6.38
Over 2.5
1.34
Under 2.5
2.93
Over 3.5
1.86
Under 3.5
1.84
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
19.25
Over 8.5
17.00
Over 4.5
2.95
Under 4.5
1.34
Over 7.5
12.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
4.99
Under 5.5
1.13
Over 6.5
8.50
Under 6.5
1.05
Over 1.75
1.08
Under 1.75
5.70
Over 2
1.09
Under 2
5.30
Over 2.25
1.20
Under 2.25
3.68
Over 2.75
1.37
Under 2.75
2.71
Over 3
1.47
Under 3
2.38
Over 3.25
1.65
Under 3.25
2.04
Over 3.75
2.01
Under 3.75
1.66
Over 4
2.32
Under 4
1.49
Over 4.25
2.61
Under 4.25
1.40
Over 4.75
3.28
Under 4.75
1.25
Over 5
4.20
Under 5
1.16
Over 5.25
4.45
Under 5.25
1.14
Over 6
7.90
Under 6
1.02
Over 1
1.01
Under 1
13.00
Draw no bet
1
1.03
2
9.68
Asian handicap
Home
1.02
Away
15.00
1st half
1
1.43
X
3.05
2
11.73
First team to score
Home
1.17
No Goal
21.50
Away
4.75