Kapaz vs 
Sumqayıt• Premyer Liqa, Azerbaijan
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 19 Sep 16:15 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.19 | 2.42 | 9.2% |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.13 | 2.45 | 9.8% |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.55 | 11.9% |
| 1xBet | 2.67 | 3.04 | 2.39 | 12.2% |
| Marathonbet | 2.67 | 3.04 | 2.39 | 12.2% |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.50 | 12.7% |
| Best of all books | 2.74 | 3.19 | 2.55 | 7.1% |
| Average | 2.67 | 3.03 | 2.45 | 11.2% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 10:20 UTC
Kapaz
4W 1D 5L · goals 7:13 · per match 0.7 for, 1.3 against
| 20 Sep | H | Sumqayıt | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Qabala | 1-0 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-4 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | Turan | 1-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Sabah FA | 0-2 | L |
| 23 May | H | Neftchi Baku | 0-1 | L |
| 15 May | A | Araz | 0-2 | L |
| 8 May | A | Sabah FA | 1-0 | W |
| 2 May | H | Sumqayıt | 2-1 | W |
| 26 Apr | A | Şamaxı FK | 0-2 | L |
Sumqayıt
2W 2D 6L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against
| 20 Sep | A | Kapaz | 1-1 | D |
| 12 Sep | H | Şamaxı FK | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Turan | 1-2 | L |
| 31 Aug | H | Qarabag | 0-1 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | Neftchi Baku | 1-3 | L |
| 22 May | H | Qarabag | 3-4 | L |
| 17 May | A | Zira | 1-2 | L |
| 9 May | H | Araz | 2-1 | W |
| 2 May | A | Kapaz | 1-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Imisli FK | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
36 meetings · goals 36:44 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Kapaz
| 2 May 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz2-1Sumqayıt |
| 27 Feb 2026Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz3-0Sumqayıt |
| 17 Aug 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sumqayıt3-0Kapaz |
| 11 May 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz1-0Sumqayıt |
| 10 Mar 2025Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sumqayıt3-0Kapaz |
| 20 Dec 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz0-0Sumqayıt |
| 3 Aug 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sumqayıt2-0Kapaz |
| 4 May 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz1-1Sumqayıt |
| 1 Mar 2024Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Sumqayıt1-3Kapaz |
| 14 Dec 2023Premyer Liqa | Premyer Liqa | Kapaz1-1Sumqayıt |
Premyer Liqa tablePremyer Liqasiupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC
In the Premyer Liqa table, Kapaz sit 6th with 10 points from 6 games, while Sumqayıt are 11th with 2 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 18:5 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Sabah FA | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | +13 | 16 |
| 3 | Qarabag | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9:4 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Turan | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | +2 | 11 |
| 5 | Zira | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 | Kapaz | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 7 | Şamaxı FK | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 8:6 | +2 | 9 |
| 8 | Qabala | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 9 | Imisli FK | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 4 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
| 11 | Sumqayıt | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 2 |
| 12 | Araz | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5:15 | -10 | 2 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.5% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.15 | 1.67 | 6.4% |
| Pinnacle | 2.08 | 1.71 | 6.6% |
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 1.67 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 1.67 | 8.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.97 | 1.63 | 12.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.15 | 1.71 | 5.0% |
| Average | 2.06 | 1.67 | 8.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.80 | 1.91 | 7.9% |
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 1.89 | 9.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Marathonbet | 1.78 | 1.86 | 9.9% |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 1.83 | 11.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| Average | 1.79 | 1.86 | 9.6% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Kapaz at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sumqayıt at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.41 | 3.07 | 2.70, which imply roughly 41.5% for a Kapaz win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Kapaz are 6th (10 pts, 6-7 goals), Sumqayıt 11th (2 pts, 4-8).
Over their last five matches, Kapaz averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Sumqayıt averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Kapaz or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.67 | 3.03 | 2.45 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.44 | 1.37 | 1.32 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.87 | 1.78 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.79 | 1.86 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.39 | 2.01 | 3.14 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.06 | 8.60 | 1.92 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.03 | 8.43 |
| 1.5 | 1.32 | 3.03 |
| 2.5 | 2.06 | 1.67 |
| 3.5 | 3.70 | 1.22 |
| 4.5 | 7.63 | 1.05 |
| 5.5 | 13.8 | 1.02 |
| 6.5 | 17.0 | – |
12 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.02 | 7.88 |
| 1 | 1.04 | 7.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 4.00 |
| 1.75 | 1.40 | 2.58 |
| 2 | 1.54 | 2.24 |
| 2.25 | 1.79 | 1.87 |
| 2.75 | 2.33 | 1.50 |
| 3 | 2.94 | 1.32 |
| 3.25 | 3.28 | 1.25 |
| 3.75 | 4.64 | 1.12 |
| 4 | 6.65 | 1.05 |
| 4.25 | 7.10 | 1.04 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.64 | 1.42 |
| -0.25 | 2.29 | 1.53 |
| 0 | 1.94 | 1.76 |
| +0.25 | 1.63 | 2.09 |
| +0.5 | 1.49 | 2.44 |
| +0.75 | 1.33 | 3.00 |
13 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9.40 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 9.30 | 1.01 |
| -1.75 | 8.18 | 1.02 |
| -1.5 | 5.92 | 1.09 |
| -1.25 | 5.41 | 1.11 |
| -1 | 4.80 | 1.14 |
| -0.75 | 3.30 | 1.28 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 4.10 |
| +1.25 | 1.14 | 4.80 |
| +1.5 | 1.12 | 5.30 |
| +1.75 | 1.04 | 7.28 |
| +2 | 1.02 | 9.20 |
| +2.5 | 1.01 | 9.50 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.83 | 1.83 |