Qarabag1st3 pts
Kapaz11th0 pts
Qarabag1st3 pts
Kapaz11th0 ptsIn the Premyer Liqa table, Qarabag sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, while Kapaz are 11th with 0 points from 1 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Qarabag at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Kapaz at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.20 | 5.84 | 10.93, which imply roughly 83.3% for a Qarabag win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Premyer Liqa table: Qarabag are 1st (3 pts, 3-1 goals), Kapaz 11th (0 pts, 0-2).
Over their last five matches, Qarabag averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kapaz averaged 0 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Qarabag.
Qarabag vs Kapaz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Qarabag | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 |  Neftchi Baku | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 |  Zira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 |  Sabah FA | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Turan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Imisli FK | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Araz | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Qabala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 9 |  Şamaxı FK | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 |  Sumqayıt | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 |  Kapaz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 |  Safa Baku | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.20
X
5.84
2
10.93
Double chance
1X
1.04
X2
3.85
12
1.09
Both teams to score
Yes
1.97
No
1.72
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.13
Under 1.5
5.26
Over 2.5
1.47
Under 2.5
2.44
Over 3.5
2.19
Under 3.5
1.59
Over 0.5
1.01
Under 0.5
15.75
Over 8.5
21.00
Over 4.5
3.66
Under 4.5
1.24
Over 7.5
15.00
Under 7.5
1.01
Over 5.5
6.92
Under 5.5
1.08
Over 6.5
10.00
Under 6.5
1.03
Over 1.75
1.14
Under 1.75
4.84
Over 2
1.16
Under 2
4.45
Over 2.25
1.32
Under 2.25
3.02
Over 2.75
1.57
Under 2.75
2.21
Over 3
1.73
Under 3
1.97
Over 3.25
1.94
Under 3.25
1.74
Over 3.75
2.44
Under 3.75
1.46
Over 4
2.85
Under 4
1.36
Over 4.25
3.23
Under 4.25
1.29
Over 4.75
3.92
Under 4.75
1.18
Over 5
5.55
Under 5
1.10
Over 5.25
5.55
Under 5.25
1.08
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
11.00
Draw no bet
1
1.05
2
8.02
Asian handicap
Home
1.02
Away
9.10
1st half
1
1.60
X
2.74
2
8.81
First team to score
Home
1.22
No Goal
19.00
Away
4.15
Corners 2-Way
Over 13
7.29
Under 13
1.01