Sudtirol vs Ascoli• Serie B, Italy

#21.8:0.613:00Tomorrow · Stadio Druso, Bozen1.4:0.8#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.61PINX3.30BFR23.05BTNMargin at best1.4%Books10Markets69Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	2.64	3.09	2.99	3.7%
Betano	2.62	3.10	2.90	4.9%
Dafabet	2.47	3.30	2.90	5.3%
Bet365	2.40	3.20	3.00	6.3%
Betfair	2.40	3.25	2.88	7.2%
1xBet	2.50	3.05	2.88	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.50	3.05	2.88	7.5%
BetVictor	2.38	3.20	2.75	9.6%
William Hill	2.40	3.10	2.80	9.6%
SBO	2.27	2.98	2.67	15.1%
Best of all books	2.64	3.30	3.00	1.5%
Average	2.46	3.13	2.86	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SudtirolAscoli

Last 10#2Table position#52.20Points per game2.007Form pts · last 5101.8Goals for · last 51.40.6Goals against · last 50.856Attack rating4457Defence rating4352Form rating4864H2H rating3677Goals model2361Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Sudtirol

4W 4D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

2 Oct	H	Wacker Innsbruck	2-3	L
20 Sep	A	Arezzo	4-1	W
15 Sep	A	Genoa	0-1	L
12 Sep	H	Modena	1-1	D
5 Sep	H	Catanzaro	2-0	W
30 Aug	A	Benevento	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Virtus Entella	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Catanzaro	2-2	D
7 Aug	H	Virtus Verona	1-0	W
25 Jul	H	1. FC Kaiserslautern	0-0	D

Ascoli

5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against

19 Sep	H	Avellino	3-1	W
12 Sep	A	Padova	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Benevento	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Carrarese	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Hellas Verona	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Genoa	1-4	L
8 Aug	H	Potenza	3-1	W
2 Aug	H	Lazio	1-2	L
26 Jul	A	Frosinone	0-1	L
7 Jun	H	Union Brescia	3-0	W

Head to head

2Sudtirol wins

1draws

1Ascoli wins

4 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Sudtirol

4 Feb 2024Serie B	Serie B	Ascoli1-2Sudtirol
2 Sep 2023Serie B	Serie B	Sudtirol3-1Ascoli
15 Apr 2023Serie B	Serie B	Ascoli1-0Sudtirol
27 Nov 2022Serie B	Serie B	Sudtirol2-2Ascoli

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie B table, Sudtirol sit 2nd with 11 points from 5 games, while Ascoli are 5th with 10 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.45X30%3.13232%2.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.40 → 2.45 +2.1%X3.08 → 3.13 +1.6%22.97 → 2.86 -3.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.08	1.81	3.3%
Betano	2.00	1.85	4.1%
SBO	1.99	1.83	4.9%
Bet365	2.00	1.80	5.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.80	5.6%
1xBet	1.90	1.84	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.90	1.84	7.0%
BetVictor	1.92	1.76	8.9%
Best of all books	2.08	1.85	2.1%
Average	1.97	1.82	5.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.75	2.00	7.1%
Betano	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.67	2.08	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.05	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.71	2.05	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sudtirol 45%Draw 45%Ascoli 10%

The statistical model rates Sudtirol at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Ascoli at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.45 | 3.13 | 2.86, which imply roughly 40.8% for a Sudtirol win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Sudtirol are 2nd (11 pts, 9-3 goals), Ascoli 5th (10 pts, 7-4).

Over their last five matches, Sudtirol averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Ascoli averaged 1.4 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Sudtirol or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.46	3.13	2.86

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.51	1.33

Draw no bet

1	2
1.71	2.05

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	2.06	3.48

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.94	8.85	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	8.94
1.5	1.29	3.35
2.5	1.97	1.82
3.5	3.35	1.29
4.5	6.68	1.09
5.5	13.3	1.03
6.5	24.7	1.01

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.02	7.68
1	1.04	7.10
1.25	1.14	4.39
1.75	1.34	2.97
2	1.47	2.55
2.25	1.72	2.07
2.75	2.19	1.63
3	2.65	1.44
3.25	2.84	1.37
3.75	3.74	1.19
4	5.05	1.10
4.25	5.40	1.09
5	9.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.94	1.37
-0.5	2.48	1.54
-0.25	2.10	1.71
0	1.75	2.02
+0.25	1.52	2.42
+0.5	1.42	2.85

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.90	1.02
-1.75	6.23	1.08
-1.5	4.79	1.14
-1.25	4.37	1.17
-1	4.01	1.21
+0.75	1.27	3.56
+1	1.14	5.15
+1.25	1.11	5.41
+1.5	1.10	5.82
+1.75	1.03	7.40
+2.5	1.02	12.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.65	2.15
4.5	2.22	1.61
5.5	3.25	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.04	9.50
5.5	1.08	6.40
6.5	1.18	4.17
7.5	1.36	2.83
8.5	1.67	2.09
9.5	2.12	1.65
10.5	2.76	1.38
11.5	3.81	1.21
12.5	5.37	1.11
13.5	7.20	1.06
14.5	9.75	1.03
15.5	11.8	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.37	2.66
8	1.50	2.46
8.25	1.55	2.28
8.75	1.72	1.95
9	1.91	1.87
9.25	1.96	1.74
9.75	2.26	1.55
10	2.49	1.49
10.25	2.60	1.41
10.75	3.05	1.28