Padova vs Carrarese• Serie B, Italy

#61.0:1.215:15Tomorrow · Stadio Comunale Euganeo, Padua0.4:1.2#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92DAFX3.50B36524.75B365Margin at best1.7%Books10Markets73Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L51.9

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:56 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.90	3.45	4.35	4.6%
Dafabet	1.92	3.50	4.10	5.0%
Pinnacle	1.89	3.31	4.51	5.3%
Betfair	1.91	3.50	3.90	6.6%
Bet365	1.75	3.50	4.75	6.8%
1xBet	1.89	3.34	4.14	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.87	3.34	4.15	7.5%
William Hill	1.91	3.40	3.70	8.8%
BetVictor	1.85	3.40	3.80	9.8%
SBO	1.90	3.07	3.36	15.0%
Best of all books	1.92	3.50	4.75	1.7%
Average	1.88	3.38	4.08	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PadovaCarrarese

Last 10#6Table position#201.40Points per game0.207Form pts · last 511.0Goals for · last 50.41.2Goals against · last 51.271Attack rating2950Defence rating5088Form rating1380H2H rating2077Goals model2373Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Padova

3W 2D 5L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	A	Palermo	1-2	L
12 Sep	H	Ascoli	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Cremonese	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Hellas Verona	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Pisa	1-0	W
15 Aug	A	Udinese	0-1	L
7 Aug	A	Monza	3-3	D
1 Aug	A	Cittadella	2-0	W
25 Jul	H	Ospitaletto	1-3	L
22 Jul	A	Sassuolo	1-4	L

Carrarese

1W 2D 7L · goals 4:11 · per match 0.4 for, 1.1 against

19 Sep	H	Benevento	0-1	L
12 Sep	A	Catanzaro	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Empoli	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Ascoli	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Mantova	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Torino	0-1	L
8 Aug	A	Virtus Entella	1-0	W
26 Jul	A	Napoli	0-2	L
8 May	A	Virtus Entella	1-2	L
1 May	H	Cesena	0-0	D

Head to head

1Padova wins

1draws

0Carrarese wins

2 meetings · goals 1:0 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Padova

10 Feb 2026Serie B	Serie B	Padova1-0Carrarese
31 Aug 2025Serie B	Serie B	Carrarese0-0Padova

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie B table, Padova sit 6th with 7 points from 5 games, while Carrarese are 20th with 1 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.88X28%3.38223%4.08

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.94 → 1.88 -3.1%X3.31 → 3.38 +2.1%23.82 → 4.08 +6.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	1.90	1.95	3.9%
Pinnacle	1.93	1.90	4.4%
SBO	1.89	1.93	4.7%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.90	5.3%
1xBet	1.82	1.92	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.82	1.92	7.0%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.93	1.95	3.1%
Average	1.87	1.91	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Bet365	1.75	2.00	7.1%
William Hill	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.69	2.05	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.69	2.02	8.7%
BetVictor	1.70	2.00	8.8%
Best of all books	1.75	2.07	5.5%
Average	1.72	2.03	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Padova 45%Draw 45%Carrarese 10%

The statistical model rates Padova at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Carrarese at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.38 | 4.08, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Padova win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Padova are 6th (7 pts, 5-6 goals), Carrarese 20th (1 pts, 2-6).

Over their last five matches, Padova averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Carrarese averaged 0.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Padova or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.38	4.08

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.87	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	2.03

1st half

1	X	2
2.44	2.15	4.41

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.67	9.50	2.47

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.58
1.5	1.26	3.59
2.5	1.87	1.91
3.5	3.10	1.34
4.5	6.04	1.11
5.5	11.8	1.03
6.5	22.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.38
1	1.02	7.80
1.25	1.12	4.70
1.75	1.29	3.09
2	1.41	2.74
2.25	1.62	2.21
2.75	2.07	1.71
3	2.43	1.51
3.25	2.61	1.43
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
5	9.50	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.01	1.35
-1	2.61	1.45
-0.75	2.14	1.66
-0.5	1.90	1.90
-0.25	1.63	2.21
0	1.37	2.95

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.33	1.07
-2.25	6.26	1.08
-2	5.83	1.09
-1.75	4.08	1.19
-1.5	3.32	1.30
+0.25	1.29	3.45
+0.5	1.23	4.08
+0.75	1.13	4.96
+1	1.02	7.80
+1.25	1.02	8.28
+1.5	1.02	8.63
+2.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	2.20	1.62

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.5
5.5	1.07	7.50
6.5	1.11	5.13
7.5	1.25	3.38
8.5	1.48	2.45
9.5	1.86	1.88
10.5	2.35	1.52
11.5	3.19	1.28
12.5	4.47	1.15
13.5	6.30	1.10
14.5	8.25	1.05
15.5	10.5	1.03

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.39	2.64
8.75	1.53	2.28
9	1.61	2.25
9.25	1.72	1.98
9.75	1.94	1.75
10	2.05	1.74
10.25	2.20	1.55
10.75	2.52	1.41
11	2.46	1.50
11.25	2.97	1.30