Empoli vs Palermo• Serie B, Italy

#130.8:1.213:00Tomorrow · Stadio Carlo Castellani, Empoli2.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.85BTNX3.70BFR21.97PINMargin at best3.8%Books10Markets76Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.94	3.49	2.00	4.0%
Betano	3.60	3.60	2.02	5.1%
Dafabet	3.55	3.60	2.03	5.2%
Bet365	3.60	3.60	1.95	6.8%
1xBet	3.68	3.48	1.96	6.9%
Marathonbet	3.68	3.48	1.94	7.5%
Betfair	3.70	3.50	1.91	8.0%
BetVictor	3.50	3.50	1.93	9.0%
William Hill	3.50	3.30	1.95	10.2%
SBO	3.10	3.14	1.97	14.9%
Best of all books	3.94	3.60	2.03	2.4%
Average	3.58	3.47	1.97	7.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

EmpoliPalermo

Last 10#13Table position#11.20Points per game2.606Form pts · last 5130.8Goals for · last 52.01.2Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7145Defence rating5532Form rating6829H2H rating7139Goals model6137Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Empoli

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	A	Modena	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Arezzo	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Carrarese	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Mantova	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Cremonese	1-0	W
17 Aug	A	Pisa	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Livorno	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Spezia	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Virtus Entella	1-0	W
8 May	A	Monza	2-2	D

Palermo

7W 2D 1L · goals 20:10 · per match 2.0 for, 1.0 against

19 Sep	H	Padova	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Avellino	1-1	D
7 Sep	H	Sampdoria	3-1	W
3 Sep	H	Mantova	5-2	W
30 Aug	A	Arezzo	3-2	W
23 Aug	H	Juve Stabia	1-0	W
17 Aug	H	Lecce	2-0	W
11 Aug	A	Juventus	0-2	L
7 Aug	A	Melbourne City	2-0	W
29 Jul	H	Iraklis 1908	1-1	D

Head to head

4Empoli wins

3draws

3Palermo wins

10 meetings · goals 16:11 · last 10: 4W 3D 3L for Empoli

7 Feb 2026Serie B	Serie B	Palermo3-2Empoli
7 Dec 2025Serie B	Serie B	Empoli1-3Palermo
2 Feb 2018Serie B	Serie B	Empoli4-0Palermo
9 Sep 2017Serie B	Serie B	Palermo3-3Empoli
28 May 2017Serie A	Serie A	Palermo2-1Empoli
7 Jan 2017Serie A	Serie A	Empoli1-0Palermo
19 Mar 2016Serie A	Serie A	Empoli0-0Palermo
2 Nov 2015Serie A	Serie A	Palermo0-1Empoli
1 Mar 2015Serie A	Serie A	Palermo0-0Empoli
5 Oct 2014Serie A	Serie A	Empoli3-0Palermo

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie B table, Empoli sit 13th with 6 points from 5 games, while Palermo are 1st with 13 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.58X27%3.48248%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.87	2.00	3.5%
Betano	1.80	2.05	4.3%
SBO	1.77	2.05	5.3%
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
Marathonbet	1.75	2.01	6.9%
BetVictor	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Best of all books	1.87	2.05	2.3%
Average	1.78	2.01	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
William Hill	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.62	2.16	8.0%
BetVictor	1.62	2.15	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.62	2.13	8.7%
Best of all books	1.70	2.16	5.1%
Average	1.65	2.13	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Empoli 10%Draw 45%Palermo 45%

The statistical model rates Empoli at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Palermo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.58 | 3.48 | 1.95, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Empoli are 13th (6 pts, 4-6 goals), Palermo 1st (13 pts, 10-5).

Over their last five matches, Empoli averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Palermo averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Palermo.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.59	3.47	1.97

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.80	1.26	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
2.60	1.44

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.13

1st half

1	X	2
4.04	2.21	2.49

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.32	12.5	1.66

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	10.8
1.5	1.22	3.90
2.5	1.78	2.01
3.5	2.93	1.37
4.5	5.58	1.12
5.5	10.3	1.04
6.5	20.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	7.50
1.25	1.09	5.30
1.75	1.25	3.35
2	1.35	3.02
2.25	1.56	2.37
2.75	1.94	1.81
3	2.29	1.57
3.25	2.50	1.48
3.75	3.29	1.28
4	4.45	1.14
4.25	4.80	1.12
4.75	6.74	1.05
5	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.64	1.43
+0.25	2.10	1.68
+0.5	1.84	1.98
+0.75	1.61	2.23
+1	1.41	2.83
+1.25	1.33	3.13

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	13.0	1.01
-1.5	8.07	1.03
-1.25	7.50	1.03
-1	6.87	1.06
-0.75	4.50	1.15
-0.5	3.68	1.29
-0.25	3.15	1.33
+1.5	1.26	3.49
+1.75	1.16	4.35
+2	1.08	6.37
+2.25	1.06	6.83
+2.5	1.05	7.23
+3.5	1.01	13.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.44	2.65
4.5	1.84	1.84
5.5	2.57	1.47

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.3
5.5	1.06	7.25
6.5	1.11	5.37
7.5	1.24	3.54
8.5	1.46	2.52
9.5	1.83	1.92
10.5	2.27	1.57
11.5	2.99	1.33
12.5	4.12	1.18
13.5	5.75	1.10
14.5	7.65	1.05
15.5	10.8	1.03

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.31	2.92
8.25	1.34	2.92
8.75	1.45	2.48
9	1.56	2.31
9.25	1.62	2.15
9.75	1.82	1.86
10	2.00	1.79
10.25	2.06	1.66
10.75	2.33	1.48
11	2.57	1.46
11.25	2.74	1.38