Benevento vs Cesena• Serie B, Italy

#71.2:1.013:00Tomorrow · Stadio Ciro Vigorito, Benevento1.4:1.2#10

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96PINX3.70BFR24.20BTNMargin at best1.9%Books10Markets75Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.96	3.62	3.94	4.0%
Betano	1.91	3.50	4.20	4.7%
Dafabet	1.96	3.60	3.85	4.8%
Bet365	1.91	3.40	4.10	6.2%
Betfair	1.85	3.70	3.90	6.7%
1xBet	1.86	3.58	3.95	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.84	3.58	3.96	7.5%
William Hill	1.91	3.30	3.75	9.3%
BetVictor	1.87	3.50	3.60	9.8%
SBO	1.91	3.11	3.28	15.0%
Best of all books	1.96	3.70	4.20	1.9%
Average	1.90	3.49	3.85	7.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

BeneventoCesena

Last 10#7Table position#101.40Points per game1.407Form pts · last 571.2Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.246Attack rating5455Defence rating4550Form rating5050H2H rating5042Goals model5847Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Benevento

4W 2D 4L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

2 Oct	A	Frosinone	1-2	L
19 Sep	A	Carrarese	1-0	W
11 Sep	H	Hellas Verona	3-1	W
5 Sep	A	Ascoli	0-1	L
30 Aug	H	Sudtirol	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Modena	1-2	L
14 Aug	A	Fiorentina	1-4	L
9 Aug	H	Ravenna	5-3	W
1 Aug	A	Frosinone	2-2	D
31 Jul	A	Vis Pesaro	2-1	W

Cesena

4W 5D 1L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

18 Sep	A	Juve Stabia	1-1	D
12 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Mantova	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Virtus Entella	2-1	W
23 Aug	H	Sampdoria	1-1	D
17 Aug	A	Sassuolo	0-3	L
8 Aug	A	Forli	0-0	D
5 Aug	H	Vis Pesaro	3-0	W
1 Aug	H	Fossombrone	3-0	W
25 Jul	H	Athletic Carpi	1-0	W

Head to head

1Benevento wins

0draws

1Cesena wins

2 meetings · goals 3:5 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Benevento

25 Apr 2017Serie B	Serie B	Cesena4-1Benevento
5 Dec 2016Serie B	Serie B	Benevento2-1Cesena

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Serie B table, Benevento sit 7th with 7 points from 5 games, while Cesena are 10th with 7 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg149%1.90X27%3.49224%3.85

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.87 → 1.90 +1.6%X3.48 → 3.49 +0.3%23.91 → 3.85 -1.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.83	2.05	3.4%
Betano	1.80	2.05	4.3%
SBO	1.84	1.98	4.9%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.80	2.00	5.6%
1xBet	1.77	1.98	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.98	7.0%
BetVictor	1.77	1.91	8.9%
Best of all books	1.85	2.05	2.8%
Average	1.80	1.99	5.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Betano	1.65	2.15	7.1%
Bet365	1.70	2.05	7.6%
William Hill	1.70	2.05	7.6%
1xBet	1.66	2.09	8.1%
BetVictor	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.66	2.06	8.8%
Best of all books	1.73	2.15	4.3%
Average	1.68	2.08	7.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Benevento 10%Draw 45%Cesena 45%

The statistical model rates Benevento at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cesena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.49 | 3.85, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Benevento are 7th (7 pts, 6-5 goals), Cesena 10th (7 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Benevento averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Cesena averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cesena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.90	3.49	3.85

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.22	1.89	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.39	2.81

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.68	2.08

1st half

1	X	2
2.43	2.20	4.32

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	12.0	2.44

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	10.4
1.5	1.23	3.84
2.5	1.80	1.99
3.5	2.96	1.36
4.5	5.65	1.12
5.5	10.9	1.05
6.5	22.2	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.06	7.00
1.25	1.10	5.20
1.75	1.25	3.29
2	1.37	2.94
2.25	1.58	2.31
2.75	2.00	1.78
3	2.31	1.56
3.25	2.60	1.45
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.60	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
4.75	7.15	1.05
5	8.40	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.00	1.37
-1	2.64	1.47
-0.75	2.14	1.67
-0.5	1.91	1.90
-0.25	1.62	2.20
0	1.38	2.83

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	12.0	1.02
-2.5	6.68	1.07
-2.25	6.33	1.08
-2	5.83	1.09
-1.75	4.05	1.19
-1.5	3.33	1.30
+0.25	1.29	3.36
+0.5	1.27	3.85
+0.75	1.13	5.05
+1	1.02	7.90
+1.25	1.01	8.48
+1.5	1.02	8.83

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.62	2.20
4.5	2.22	1.61
5.5	3.25	1.31

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.02	11.3
5.5	1.06	8.00
6.5	1.09	5.70
7.5	1.21	3.75
8.5	1.41	2.65
9.5	1.72	2.02
10.5	2.16	1.62
11.5	2.81	1.37
12.5	3.85	1.20
13.5	5.25	1.12
14.5	7.10	1.06
15.5	9.50	1.04

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
8.25	1.33	2.97
8.75	1.44	2.51
9	1.53	2.39
9.25	1.61	2.17
9.75	1.79	1.89
10	1.96	1.83
10.25	2.02	1.68
10.75	2.28	1.50
11	2.52	1.47
11.25	2.70	1.39