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Avellino vs Sampdoria• Serie B, Italy

#91.4:1.24-1LiveToday · Partenio-Adriano Lombardi, Avellino1.0:1.8#17

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.81PINX3.30BTN22.86PINMargin at best0.9%Books10Markets71Rating61 · 40Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:28 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.823.052.853.3%
Betano2.653.302.724.8%
Dafabet2.703.302.655.1%
Bet3652.703.102.706.3%
Betfair2.703.002.756.7%
1xBet2.663.082.687.4%
Marathonbet2.673.042.707.4%
BetVictor2.553.202.559.7%
William Hill2.603.002.6210.0%
SBO2.533.092.5611.0%
Best of all books2.823.302.850.9%
Average2.663.122.687.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AvellinoSampdoria
Last 10#9Table position#171.40Points per game0.807Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 51.01.2Goals against · last 51.858Attack rating4260Defence rating4064Form rating3650H2H rating5081Goals model1961Overall rating40

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:32 UTC

Avellino

4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against

19 SepAAscoli1-3L
13 SepHPalermo1-1D
6 SepAModena1-0W
29 AugHVicenza Virtus3-0W
22 AugHArezzo1-2L
14 AugAMonza0-3L
8 AugHTorino1-1D
1 AugALazio3-6L
26 JulASambenedettese5-0W
22 JulHScafatese3-1W

Sampdoria

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

19 SepHCatanzaro2-1W
13 SepAMantova0-2L
7 SepAPalermo1-3L
29 AugHJuve Stabia1-2L
23 AugACesena1-1D
17 AugACremonese0-2L
9 AugAParma2-0W
1 AugHNovara1-2L
23 JulHCagliari0-0D
18 JulHTaverne2-0W

Head to head

1Avellino wins
0draws
1Sampdoria wins

2 meetings · goals 3:3 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for Avellino

22 Mar 2026Serie BSerie BSampdoria2-1Avellino
10 Jan 2026Serie BSerie BAvellino2-1Sampdoria

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 04:11 UTC

In the Serie B table, Avellino sit 9th with 7 points from 5 games, while Sampdoria are 17th with 4 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Palermo541010:5+513
2Sudtirol53209:3+611
3Mantova532010:5+511
4Modena53118:4+410
5Ascoli53117:4+310
6Padova52125:6-17
7Benevento52126:5+17
8Hellas Verona521210:7+37
9Avellino52127:6+17
10Cesena51407:6+17
11Pisa52128:807
12Arezzo52036:13-76
13Empoli52034:6-26
14Virtus Entella51227:6+15
15Cremonese51225:7-25
16Vicenza Virtus51227:10-35
17Sampdoria51135:9-44
18Catanzaro51045:9-43
19Juve Stabia51224:7-31
20Carrarese50142:6-41

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.66X30%3.12235%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 03:519 Oct 14:101 2.66X 3.102 2.65
12.69 → 2.66 -1.1%X3.13 → 3.10 -1.0%22.55 → 2.65 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.111.793.3%
Betano2.001.854.1%
SBO1.981.864.3%
Bet3652.051.755.9%
1xBet1.871.877.0%
Marathonbet1.941.807.1%
Betfair1.901.808.2%
BetVictor1.881.799.1%
Best of all books2.111.870.9%
Average1.971.816.0%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.622.256.2%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.722.056.9%
William Hill1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.652.118.0%
Marathonbet1.702.018.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.802.250.0%
Average1.702.057.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Avellino 45%Draw 45%Sampdoria 10%

The statistical model rates Avellino at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Sampdoria at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.66 | 3.12 | 2.68, which imply roughly 37.6% for a Avellino win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Avellino are 9th (7 pts, 7-6 goals), Sampdoria 17th (4 pts, 5-9).

Over their last five matches, Avellino averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Sampdoria averaged 1 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Avellino or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Confirmed Lineups

Avellino

3-5-2

Coach: A. Nesta

Goalkeeper

  • 50T. Martinelli

Defence

  • 4A. Izzo
  • 23M. Venturi
  • 56P. Enrici

Midfield

  • 2F. Missori
  • 20M. Palumbo
  • 6L. Palmiero
  • 39M. Besaggio
  • 27B. Moruzzi

Attack

  • 9W. Cheddira
  • 10R. Russo
Substitutes (12)
  • 30E. Adamo
  • 18Thomas Berenbruch
  • 14T. Biasci
  • 5A. Di Bitonto
  • 77S. Di Paolo
  • 16G. Faticanti
  • 99A. Favilli
  • 1A. Iannarilli
  • 7L. Pandolfi
  • 3M. Sala
  • 24D. Sounas
  • 44L. Šimić

Sampdoria

4-3-3

Coach: B. Corradi

Goalkeeper

  • 1P. Vindahl

Defence

  • 29A. Di Pardo
  • 3S. Gartenmann
  • 15F. Delli Carri
  • 7M. Cicconi

Midfield

  • 6L. Henderson
  • 45A. Makoumbou
  • 16Y. Verschaeren

Attack

  • 10L. Insigne
  • 9T. Lauritsen
  • 14Yann Karamoh
Substitutes (9)
  • 99G. Tutino
  • 11T. Begić
  • 42Leonardo Cosi
  • 23F. Depaoli
  • 25A. Ferrari
  • 96S. Massolo
  • 43K. Mbabu
  • 12Andrey Krastev
  • 13L. Ravanelli

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.663.122.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.441.441.33

Draw no bet

12
1.861.87

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.702.05

1st half

1X2
3.242.083.26

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.019.002.02

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.17
1.51.293.36
2.51.971.81
3.53.341.29
4.56.651.09
5.513.31.03
6.528.01.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.10
11.027.50
1.251.134.45
1.751.372.93
21.472.55
2.251.722.09
2.752.201.63
32.621.44
3.252.841.37
3.753.841.19
45.281.09
4.255.701.08
59.401.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.641.48
-0.252.271.61
01.881.89
+0.251.612.24
+0.51.482.66
+0.751.323.25
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.512.01.02
-1.757.101.04
-1.55.541.11
-1.254.901.13
-14.581.17
-0.753.301.31
+11.164.64
+1.251.134.96
+1.51.115.56
+1.751.067.28
+21.019.70
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
3.51.452.62
4.51.752.02
5.52.621.45

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.8
4.51.058.75
5.51.066.60
6.51.184.20
7.51.372.82
8.51.692.07
9.52.131.66
10.52.721.40
11.53.811.21
12.55.401.12
13.57.331.06
14.510.51.03
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
7.251.263.38
7.751.352.84
81.462.57
8.251.512.38
8.751.672.05
91.901.90
9.251.901.82
9.752.121.58
102.451.50
10.252.031.68