Arezzo vs Cremonese• Serie B, Italy

#121.2:2.617:30Today · Stadio Città di Arezzo, Arezzo1.0:1.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.14PINX3.30BFR22.46PINMargin at best2.8%Books10Markets74Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:48 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.22	3.06	2.49	3.9%
Dafabet	3.00	3.25	2.45	4.9%
Betano	3.20	3.00	2.47	5.1%
1xBet	2.94	3.10	2.46	6.9%
Bet365	3.00	3.20	2.35	7.1%
Marathonbet	2.92	3.10	2.44	7.5%
Betfair	3.00	3.00	2.40	8.3%
William Hill	3.00	3.00	2.38	8.7%
BetVictor	2.88	3.13	2.38	8.7%
SBO	2.71	2.94	2.27	15.0%
Best of all books	3.22	3.25	2.49	2.0%
Average	2.99	3.08	2.41	7.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ArezzoCremonese

Last 10#12Table position#151.20Points per game1.003Form pts · last 5111.2Goals for · last 51.02.6Goals against · last 51.455Attack rating4535Defence rating6555Form rating450H2H rating10036Goals model6440Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC

Arezzo

3W 1D 6L · goals 10:20 · per match 1.0 for, 2.0 against

27 Sep	A	Lazio	0-2	L
20 Sep	H	Sudtirol	1-4	L
11 Sep	A	Empoli	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Hellas Verona	0-5	L
30 Aug	H	Palermo	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	Avellino	2-1	W
14 Aug	A	Cagliari	0-1	L
9 Aug	H	Union Brescia	2-0	W
30 Jul	A	Parma	1-1	D
29 Jul	H	Albinoleffe	1-3	L

Cremonese

5W 3D 2L · goals 13:9 · per match 1.3 for, 0.9 against

2 Oct	A	Juventus	1-0	W
26 Sep	A	Monza	3-2	W
19 Sep	H	Virtus Entella	0-0	D
12 Sep	A	Cesena	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	Padova	3-1	W
1 Sep	A	Parma	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Modena	0-3	L
22 Aug	A	Empoli	0-1	L
17 Aug	H	Sampdoria	2-0	W
1 Aug	H	Lumezzane	0-0	D

Head to head

0Arezzo wins

0draws

3Cremonese wins

3 meetings · goals 2:8 · last 3: 0W 0D 3L for Arezzo

30 Sep 2020Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Cremonese4-0Arezzo
26 Feb 2017Serie C	Serie C	Arezzo0-1Cremonese
9 Oct 2016Serie C	Serie C	Cremonese3-2Arezzo

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie B table, Arezzo sit 12th with 6 points from 5 games, while Cremonese are 15th with 5 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.96X30%3.12239%2.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.89 → 2.96 +2.4%X3.08 → 3.12 +1.3%22.44 → 2.40 -1.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.10	1.78	3.8%
Pinnacle	2.17	1.73	3.9%
SBO	2.09	1.73	5.7%
Betfair	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Bet365	2.10	1.70	6.4%
1xBet	2.02	1.74	7.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.74	7.0%
BetVictor	2.01	1.69	8.9%
Best of all books	2.17	1.78	2.3%
Average	2.08	1.72	6.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.75	2.05	5.9%
Betano	1.72	2.05	6.9%
1xBet	1.76	1.96	7.8%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.93	8.6%
Best of all books	1.91	2.05	1.1%
Average	1.79	1.95	7.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arezzo 10%Draw 45%Cremonese 45%

The statistical model rates Arezzo at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cremonese at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.96 | 3.12 | 2.40, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Arezzo are 12th (6 pts, 6-13 goals), Cremonese 15th (5 pts, 5-7).

Over their last five matches, Arezzo averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Cremonese averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cremonese.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.99	3.08	2.41

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.53	1.36	1.34

Draw no bet

1	2
2.09	1.69

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.79	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
3.57	2.03	3.06

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.13	8.20	1.93

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.25
1.5	1.33	3.13
2.5	2.08	1.72
3.5	3.68	1.25
4.5	7.32	1.07
5.5	14.8	1.02
6.5	28.2	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.03	7.30
1	1.05	6.70
1.25	1.17	4.05
1.75	1.41	2.74
2	1.54	2.36
2.25	1.81	1.97
2.75	2.35	1.56
3	2.81	1.38
3.25	3.12	1.31
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	5.90	1.07
4.25	6.25	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	3.02	1.38
-0.25	2.50	1.50
0	2.10	1.70
+0.25	1.73	2.05
+0.5	1.57	2.39
+0.75	1.38	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	12.0	1.02
-1.75	7.88	1.02
-1.5	6.38	1.08
-1.25	5.67	1.09
-1	5.32	1.13
-0.75	3.68	1.26
+1	1.21	3.93
+1.25	1.18	4.40
+1.5	1.14	4.91
+1.75	1.08	6.46
+2	1.02	9.40
+2.5	1.03	10.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.40	2.80
3.5	1.84	1.84
4.5	2.29	1.59

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.03	10.3
4.5	1.07	6.14
5.5	1.15	4.26
6.5	1.34	2.88
7.5	1.65	2.09
8.5	2.12	1.63
9.5	2.84	1.35
10.5	3.92	1.18
11.5	5.45	1.09
12.5	8.00	1.06
13.5	10.5	1.03
14.5	12.0	1.01

15 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.06	5.15
6	1.18	3.49
6.75	1.34	2.72
7	1.41	2.48
7.25	1.52	2.31
7.75	1.75	2.01
8	1.89	1.87
8.25	1.96	1.72
8.75	2.24	1.51
9	2.41	1.44
9.25	2.62	1.36
9.75	3.04	1.23
10	3.20	1.21
11	4.35	1.10
12	5.60	1.04