Modena vs Empoli• Serie B, Italy

#41.5:0.82-1FT20/09 · Alberto Braglia, Modena0.8:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX3.87PIN26.04PINMargin at best3.0%Books9Markets78Rating63 · 37Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 18 Sep 19:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	1.70	3.60	5.30	5.5%
Pinnacle	1.68	3.61	5.44	5.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.80	5.00	6.2%
Bet365	1.67	3.60	5.25	6.7%
1xBet	1.68	3.64	5.00	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	3.64	5.15	7.5%
William Hill	1.67	3.50	5.00	8.5%
BetVictor	1.65	3.60	4.75	9.4%
SBO	1.60	3.40	4.36	14.8%
Best of all books	1.70	3.80	5.44	3.5%
Average	1.66	3.60	5.03	7.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ModenaEmpoli

Last 10#4Table position#132.00Points per game1.2010Form pts · last 561.5Goals for · last 50.80.8Goals against · last 51.067Attack rating3357Defence rating4354Form rating4671H2H rating290Goals model10063Overall rating37

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:11 UTC

Modena

5W 2D 3L · goals 16:8 · per match 1.6 for, 0.8 against

20 Sep	H	Empoli	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Sudtirol	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Avellino	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Cremonese	3-0	W
22 Aug	A	Benevento	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Venezia	2-3	L
8 Aug	H	Vis Pesaro	0-0	D
1 Aug	A	Trento	1-0	W
28 Jul	A	Cagliari	0-1	L
25 Jul	H	Virtus Bolzano	5-0	W

Empoli

3W 4D 3L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

20 Sep	A	Modena	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	Arezzo	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Carrarese	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Mantova	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Cremonese	1-0	W
17 Aug	A	Pisa	1-1	D
8 Aug	A	Livorno	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Spezia	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Virtus Entella	1-0	W
8 May	A	Monza	2-2	D

Head to head

1Modena wins

1draws

0Empoli wins

2 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Modena

31 Jan 2026Serie B	Serie B	Empoli0-0Modena
24 Oct 2025Serie B	Serie B	Modena2-1Empoli

Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC

In the Serie B table, Modena sit 4th with 10 points from 5 games, while Empoli are 13th with 6 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	10:5	+5	13
2	Sudtirol	5	3	2	0	9:3	+6	11
3	Mantova	5	3	2	0	10:5	+5	11
4	Modena	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
5	Ascoli	5	3	1	1	7:4	+3	10
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
7	Benevento	5	2	1	2	6:5	+1	7
8	Hellas Verona	5	2	1	2	10:7	+3	7
9	Avellino	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Cesena	5	1	4	0	7:6	+1	7
11	Pisa	5	2	1	2	8:8	0	7
12	Arezzo	5	2	0	3	6:13	-7	6
13	Empoli	5	2	0	3	4:6	-2	6
14	Virtus Entella	5	1	2	2	7:6	+1	5
15	Cremonese	5	1	2	2	5:7	-2	5
16	Vicenza Virtus	5	1	2	2	7:10	-3	5
17	Sampdoria	5	1	1	3	5:9	-4	4
18	Catanzaro	5	1	0	4	5:9	-4	3
19	Juve Stabia	5	1	2	2	4:7	-3	1
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.61X25%3.70217%5.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.64 → 1.61 -1.8%X3.67 → 3.70 +0.8%25.27 → 5.56 +5.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.92	1.92	4.2%
Betano	1.88	1.95	4.5%
SBO	1.94	1.88	4.7%
Bet365	1.90	1.90	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.81	1.93	7.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.84	9.0%
Best of all books	1.94	1.95	2.8%
Average	1.87	1.90	5.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.78	1.98	6.7%
William Hill	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.77	1.94	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.77	1.92	8.6%
BetVictor	1.80	1.87	9.0%
Best of all books	1.91	1.98	2.9%
Average	1.81	1.92	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Modena 45%Draw 45%Empoli 10%

The statistical model rated Modena at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Empoli at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.61 | 3.70 | 5.56, which imply roughly 62.1% for a Modena win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie B table: Modena are 4th (10 pts, 8-4 goals), Empoli 13th (6 pts, 4-6).

Over their last five matches, Modena averaged 1.5 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Empoli averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Modena or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Modena

3-5-2

Coach: D. Galloppa

Goalkeeper

1L. Chichizola

Defence

77D. Tonoli
6S. Nador
20B. Nieling

Midfield

7F. Zampano
10G. Caso
16G. Brugman
42A. Bianco
27Paulo Azzi

Attack

72G. Olzer
70G. Ambrosino

Substitutes (12)

8S. Santoro
9D. Montevago
26A. Imputato
23F. Folino
22L. Consiglio
17K. Bozhanaj
32W. Acquah
33Stênio
34Diego Ronco
11A. Belotti
29L. Bacchin
28D. Adorni

Empoli

3-4-2-1

Coach: G. Pagliuca

Goalkeeper

12J. Seghetti

Defence

91N. Corrado
6S. Romagnoli
33C. Cauz

Midfield

15J. Ceesay
8L. Magnino
21Gerard Yepes
98K. Zedadka
39E. Biondini
10E. Saporiti

Attack

11S. Shpendi

Substitutes (11)

57L. Belardinelli
36D. Bembnista
40R. Berizzi
5D. Degli Innocenti
44L. Deli
20F. Distefano
13E. Filippis
38M. Huqi
28G. Indragoli
1S. Perisan
77B. Popov

Match Statistics

ModenaEmpoli

463Passes accurate286

14Shots insidebox5

8Shots outsidebox4

6Blocked Shots3

10Free Kicks11

8Shots on Goal4

3Goalkeeper Saves6

8Shots off Goal2

6Offsides0

531Total passes345

22Total Shots9

2Yellow Cards2

3Corner Kicks2

11Fouls11

0Red Cards0

60%Ball Possession40%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.60	5.03

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.15	2.15	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.25	3.67

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.81	1.92

1st half

1	X	2
2.21	2.20	5.18

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.52	9.75	2.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	9.75
1.5	1.26	3.55
2.5	1.87	1.90
3.5	3.12	1.33
4.5	6.04	1.11
5.5	11.5	1.03
6.5	22.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.73
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.12	4.80
1.75	1.31	3.15
2	1.40	2.76
2.25	1.64	2.19
2.75	2.06	1.71
3	2.42	1.51
3.25	2.66	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.63	1.13
4.25	4.95	1.11
5	8.55	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.82	1.39
-1.25	2.50	1.49
-1	2.18	1.66
-0.75	1.84	1.92
-0.5	1.66	2.19
-0.25	1.44	2.63

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-3	9.70	1.01
-2.75	6.62	1.05
-2.5	5.51	1.11
-2.25	4.93	1.13
-2	4.48	1.15
-1.75	3.45	1.28
0	1.23	3.73
+0.25	1.18	4.32
+0.5	1.17	5.00
+0.75	1.08	6.43
+1	1.02	8.75
+1.5	1.02	9.90

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.83	1.83
5.5	2.17	1.64

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
4.5	1.03	10.0
5.5	1.08	6.90
6.5	1.14	4.73
7.5	1.29	3.13
8.5	1.54	2.32
9.5	1.93	1.80
10.5	2.48	1.47
11.5	3.46	1.24
12.5	4.90	1.13
13.5	7.00	1.08
14.5	9.00	1.04
15.5	11.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
7.75	1.30	2.97
8.25	1.43	2.51
8.75	1.59	2.15
9	1.74	2.06
9.25	1.79	1.89
9.75	2.03	1.68
10	2.07	1.72
10.25	2.33	1.49
10.75	2.69	1.36
11.25	2.92	1.31