Ascoli vs 
Avellino• Serie B, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.59. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:52 UTC
Ascoli
5W 1D 4L · goals 15:12 · per match 1.5 for, 1.2 against
| 19 Sep | H | Avellino | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Padova | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Benevento | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Carrarese | 1-1 | D |
| 23 Aug | A | Hellas Verona | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Genoa | 1-4 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Potenza | 3-1 | W |
| 2 Aug | H | Lazio | 1-2 | L |
| 26 Jul | A | Frosinone | 0-1 | L |
| 7 Jun | H | Union Brescia | 3-0 | W |
Avellino
4W 2D 4L · goals 19:17 · per match 1.9 for, 1.7 against
| 19 Sep | A | Ascoli | 1-3 | L |
| 13 Sep | H | Palermo | 1-1 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Modena | 1-0 | W |
| 29 Aug | H | Vicenza Virtus | 3-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Arezzo | 1-2 | L |
| 14 Aug | A | Monza | 0-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | Torino | 1-1 | D |
| 1 Aug | A | Lazio | 3-6 | L |
| 26 Jul | A | Sambenedettese | 5-0 | W |
| 22 Jul | H | Scafatese | 3-1 | W |
Head to head
4 meetings · goals 6:3 · last 4: 2W 2D 0L for Ascoli
| 5 May 2018Serie B | Serie B | Ascoli1-1Avellino |
| 16 Dec 2017Serie B | Serie B | Avellino1-1Ascoli |
| 25 Apr 2017Serie B | Serie B | Ascoli2-0Avellino |
| 3 Dec 2016Serie B | Serie B | Avellino1-2Ascoli |
Serie B tableSerie Bupdated 9 Oct 22:40 UTC
In the Serie B table, Ascoli sit 5th with 10 points from 5 games, while Avellino are 9th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palermo | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Sudtirol | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | +6 | 11 |
| 3 | Mantova | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 | Modena | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Ascoli | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | +3 | 10 |
| 6 | Padova | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 7 | Benevento | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 | Hellas Verona | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | +3 | 7 |
| 9 | Avellino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Cesena | 5 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 11 | Pisa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Arezzo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 6 |
| 13 | Empoli | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Virtus Entella | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 5 |
| 15 | Cremonese | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Vicenza Virtus | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:10 | -3 | 5 |
| 17 | Sampdoria | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 |
| 18 | Catanzaro | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Juve Stabia | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 1 |
| 20 | Carrarese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.2% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Ascoli at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Avellino at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.59, which imply roughly 48.1% for a Ascoli win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Serie B table: Ascoli are 5th (10 pts, 7-4 goals), Avellino 9th (7 pts, 7-6).
Over their last five matches, Ascoli averaged 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Avellino averaged 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Ascoli or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Ascoli
3-5-2Coach: Francesco Tomei
Goalkeeper
- 1S. Vitale
Defence
- 62T. Milanese
- 30M. Curado
- 33N. Rizzo
Midfield
- 7A. Silipo
- 8G. Corradini
- 4S. Damiani
- 77D. Bolsius
- 19A. Guiébré
Attack
- 99Matteo Brunori
- 15S. D'Uffizi
Substitutes (11)
- 13G. Acampora
- 9A. Chakir
- 45G. Crespi
- 21G. De Pieri
- 32F. Gattoni
- 35G. Gori
- 3M. Nicoletti
- 14A. Oliveri
- 11S. Perciun
- 27M. Ricci
- 18L. Lo Scalzo
Avellino
4-3-1-2Coach: A. Nesta
Goalkeeper
- 50T. Martinelli
Defence
- 23M. Venturi
- 4A. Izzo
- 56P. Enrici
- 27B. Moruzzi
Midfield
- 8L. Di Maggio
- 2F. Missori
- 39M. Besaggio
- 20M. Palumbo
Attack
- 9W. Cheddira
- 10R. Russo
Substitutes (12)
- 24D. Sounas
- 3M. Sala
- 7L. Pandolfi
- 6L. Palmiero
- 1A. Iannarilli
- 99A. Favilli
- 16G. Faticanti
- 5A. Di Bitonto
- 14T. Biasci
- 30E. Adamo
- 18Thomas Berenbruch
- 77S. Di Paolo