Simba vs Young Africans• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#21.8:0.40-1LiveToday · Isamuhyo Stadium, Dar es Salaam2.6:0.2#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.67MARX2.90B36522.70WHMargin at best9.0%Books8Markets35Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 15:01 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.60	2.90	2.70	10.0%
Betano	2.62	2.90	2.62	10.8%
Bet365	2.60	2.90	2.60	11.4%
Betfair	2.55	2.88	2.63	12.0%
1xBet	2.67	2.75	2.60	12.3%
Marathonbet	2.67	2.75	2.60	12.3%
William Hill	2.62	2.62	2.70	13.4%
BetVictor	2.50	2.55	2.45	20.0%
Best of all books	2.67	2.90	2.70	9.0%
Average	2.60	2.78	2.61	12.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

SimbaYoung Africans

Last 10#2Table position#13.00Points per game3.0015Form pts · last 5131.8Goals for · last 52.60.4Goals against · last 50.241Attack rating5933Defence rating6750Form rating5015H2H rating85100Goals model034Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 12:52 UTC

Simba

9W 1D 0L · goals 20:4 · per match 2.0 for, 0.4 against

16 Sep	A	Azam	2-0	W
13 Sep	H	Be Forward Wanderers	6-1	W
6 Sep	A	Be Forward Wanderers	1-0	W
31 Aug	H	Geita Gold	2-0	W
27 Aug	H	Coastal Union	1-0	W
22 Aug	A	Singida Black Stars	2-1	W
19 Aug	A	Pamba Jiji	2-1	W
16 Aug	A	Kagera Sugar	2-0	W
31 Jul	A	Singida Black Stars	2-1	W
28 Jul	A	Jamus	0-0	D

Young Africans

9W 1D 0L · goals 25:4 · per match 2.5 for, 0.4 against

15 Sep	H	Geita Gold	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Gaborone United	2-1	W
5 Sep	A	Gaborone United	1-1	D
31 Aug	A	Fountain Gate	2-0	W
28 Aug	H	Pamba Jiji	2-0	W
24 Aug	H	JKT Tanzania	4-0	W
20 Aug	H	Coastal Union	4-1	W
15 Aug	A	Namungo	3-1	W
30 Jun	A	JKT Tanzania	3-0	W
27 Jun	H	Tabora United	3-0	W

Head to head

3Simba wins

9draws

8Young Africans wins

20 meetings · goals 15:25 · last 10: 1W 5D 4L for Simba

3 May 2026Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba2-2Young Africans
1 Mar 2026Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans0-0Simba
25 Jun 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans2-0Simba
19 Oct 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba0-1Young Africans
20 Apr 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans2-1Simba
5 Nov 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba1-5Young Africans
16 Apr 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba2-0Young Africans
23 Oct 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans1-1Simba
30 Apr 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Young Africans0-0Simba
11 Dec 2021Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Simba0-0Young Africans

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 10 Oct 06:51 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Simba sit 2nd with 18 points from 6 games, while Young Africans are 1st with 18 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16:2	+14	18
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	+9	18
3	Azam	8	5	2	1	13:7	+6	17
4	Mashujaa	7	4	0	3	8:7	+1	12
5	Singida Black Stars	7	3	2	2	14:10	+4	11
6	Dodoma Jiji	7	3	2	2	5:5	0	11
7	Polisi Tanzania	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
8	Mbeya City	7	3	1	3	7:7	0	10
9	JKT Tanzania	7	3	1	3	9:11	-2	10
10	Namungo	8	3	0	5	7:11	-4	9
11	Geita Gold	7	2	1	4	9:12	-3	7
12	Coastal Union	7	2	1	4	6:11	-5	7
13	Tabora United	7	1	3	3	6:7	-1	6
14	Kagera Sugar	7	1	2	4	8:15	-7	5
15	Pamba Jiji	7	1	1	5	8:13	-5	4
16	Fountain Gate	7	1	1	5	3:11	-8	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg134%2.60X32%2.78234%2.61

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 2.60 -2.6%X2.94 → 2.78 -5.4%22.55 → 2.61 +2.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.50	1.50	6.7%
Pinnacle	2.88	1.35	8.8%
1xBet	2.73	1.38	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.73	1.38	9.1%
Betano	2.30	1.50	10.1%
BetVictor	2.05	1.40	20.2%
Best of all books	2.88	1.50	1.4%
Average	2.53	1.42	10.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	2.25	1.55	9.0%
1xBet	2.18	1.58	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.18	1.56	10.0%
BetVictor	1.95	1.45	20.2%
Best of all books	2.25	1.58	7.7%
Average	2.14	1.53	11.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Simba 10%Draw 45%Young Africans 45%

The statistical model rates Simba at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Young Africans at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.60 | 2.78 | 2.61, which imply roughly 36% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Simba are 2nd (18 pts, 11-2 goals), Young Africans 1st (18 pts, 16-2).

Over their last five matches, Simba averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Young Africans averaged 2.6 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Young Africans and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.60	2.78	2.61

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.39	1.36	1.32

Draw no bet

1	2
1.77	1.77

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.14	1.54

1st half

1	X	2
3.46	1.84	3.40

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.12	6.13	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.75
1.5	1.54	2.14
2.5	2.53	1.42
3.5	5.50	1.08
4.5	13.0	1.03
5.5	26.0	1.01

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.16	4.28
1.25	1.36	2.76
1.75	1.71	1.88
2	1.97	1.65
2.25	2.42	1.47
2.75	3.16	1.28
3	4.65	1.12
3.25	5.10	1.10
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.72	1.39
-0.25	2.28	1.53
0	1.84	1.80
+0.25	1.56	2.20
+0.5	1.41	2.64
+0.75	1.26	3.24

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	6.30	1.06
-1	5.20	1.10
-0.75	3.37	1.24
+1	1.10	5.00
+1.25	1.08	5.55
+1.5	1.06	6.10

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
7.5	1.80	2.00