Mashujaa vs Polisi Tanzania• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#81.0:1.22-1FTToday · Lake Tanganyika Stadium, Kigoma1.6:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.341XBX3.111XB22.681XBMargin at best12.2%Books1Markets9Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 08:32 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.34	3.11	2.68	12.2%
Best of all books	2.34	3.11	2.68	12.2%
Average	2.34	3.11	2.68	12.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MashujaaPolisi Tanzania

Last 10#8Table position#51.50Points per game1.676Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.238Attack rating6250Defence rating5040Form rating600H2H rating064Goals model3648Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 07:11 UTC

Mashujaa

5W 0D 5L · goals 9:9 · per match 0.9 for, 0.9 against

9 Sep	H	Singida Black Stars	2-1	W
4 Sep	A	Dodoma Jiji	0-1	L
27 Aug	H	Kagera Sugar	2-1	W
23 Aug	A	Mbeya City	1-2	L
18 Aug	A	Fountain Gate	0-1	L
15 Aug	A	Coastal Union	1-0	W
30 Jun	H	Tanzania Prisons	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	KMC	2-0	W
24 Jun	A	Fountain Gate	1-0	W
16 Jun	A	Azam	0-2	L

Polisi Tanzania

6W 1D 3L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against

12 Sep	H	Mbeya City	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Coastal Union	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	Singida Black Stars	2-4	L
25 Aug	A	Dodoma Jiji	1-0	W
20 Aug	H	JKT Tanzania	2-0	W
15 Aug	H	Azam	1-1	D
16 Jul	A	Tanzania Prisons	0-1	L
12 Jul	H	Tanzania Prisons	4-0	W
5 Jul	H	Mbeya Kwanza	3-1	W
28 Jun	A	Mbeya Kwanza	4-0	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Mashujaa and Polisi Tanzania on record.

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 8 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Mashujaa sit 8th with 9 points from 6 games, while Polisi Tanzania are 5th with 10 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16:2	+14	18
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	+9	18
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	+4	14
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	13:9	+4	10
5	Polisi Tanzania	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	+2	10
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
9	Geita Gold	6	2	1	3	9:8	+1	7
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
12	Tabora United	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
14	Fountain Gate	6	1	1	4	2:9	-7	4
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	5:14	-9	2
16	Pamba Jiji	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.34X29%3.11233%2.68

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.68 → 2.34 -12.7%X3.11 → 3.11 0.0%22.34 → 2.68 +14.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.30	1.52	9.3%
Best of all books	2.30	1.52	9.3%
Average	2.30	1.52	9.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Best of all books	1.97	1.71	9.2%
Average	1.97	1.71	9.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Mashujaa 10%Draw 45%Polisi Tanzania 45%

The statistical model rated Mashujaa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Polisi Tanzania at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.34 | 3.11 | 2.68, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Mashujaa are 8th (9 pts, 6-6 goals), Polisi Tanzania 5th (10 pts, 9-7).

Over their last five matches, Mashujaa averaged 1 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Polisi Tanzania averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Polisi Tanzania.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.34	3.11	2.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.33	1.44	1.25

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.97	1.71

1st half

1	X	2
2.96	2.07	3.31

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.38	2.73
2	1.69	2.00
2.5	2.30	1.52
3	3.78	1.21

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	1.71	1.96