Kagera Sugar vs Fountain Gate• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania

#150.8:2.61-1FT13/09 · Kaitaba Stadium, Bukoba0.2:1.6#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.01AVGX2.95AVG23.44AVGMargin12.7%Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.01 | 2.95 | 3.44. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

Kagera SugarFountain Gate

Last 10#15Table position#140.33Points per game0.671Form pts · last 530.8Goals for · last 50.22.6Goals against · last 51.680Attack rating2038Defence rating6225Form rating7560H2H rating40100Goals model052Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Sep 13:04 UTC

Kagera Sugar

0W 2D 8L · goals 6:21 · per match 0.6 for, 2.1 against

31 Aug	H	Azam	0-2	L
27 Aug	A	Mashujaa	1-2	L
22 Aug	A	Geita Gold	2-6	L
19 Aug	H	Singida Black Stars	1-1	D
16 Aug	H	Simba	0-2	L
22 Jun	A	Simba	0-1	L
18 Jun	A	Namungo	0-0	D
12 May	H	Mashujaa	0-1	L
19 Apr	H	Azam	2-4	L
9 Apr	A	Dodoma Jiji	0-2	L

Fountain Gate

2W 1D 7L · goals 5:16 · per match 0.5 for, 1.6 against

31 Aug	H	Young Africans	0-2	L
28 Aug	H	Mbeya City	0-2	L
25 Aug	A	Namungo	0-1	L
18 Aug	H	Mashujaa	1-0	W
14 Aug	A	Singida Black Stars	0-3	L
30 Jun	H	Singida Black Stars	4-3	W
27 Jun	A	Namungo	0-0	D
24 Jun	H	Mashujaa	0-1	L
18 Jun	H	Young Africans	0-2	L
12 Jun	H	Azam	0-2	L

Head to head

3Kagera Sugar wins

0draws

3Fountain Gate wins

6 meetings · goals 9:8 · last 6: 3W 0D 3L for Kagera Sugar

14 Feb 2025Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar3-0Fountain Gate
27 Sep 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Fountain Gate3-1Kagera Sugar
28 May 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Fountain Gate2-3Kagera Sugar
12 Feb 2024Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar1-0Fountain Gate
17 Jan 2023Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Fountain Gate1-0Kagera Sugar
21 Oct 2022Ligi kuu Bara	Ligi kuu Bara	Kagera Sugar1-2Fountain Gate

Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 8 Oct 13:11 UTC

In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Kagera Sugar sit 15th with 2 points from 6 games, while Fountain Gate are 14th with 4 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Young Africans	6	6	0	0	16:2	+14	18
2	Simba	6	6	0	0	11:2	+9	18
3	Azam	7	4	2	1	11:7	+4	14
4	Singida Black Stars	6	3	1	2	13:9	+4	10
5	Polisi Tanzania	6	3	1	2	9:7	+2	10
6	Mbeya City	6	3	1	2	6:4	+2	10
7	Dodoma Jiji	6	3	1	2	4:4	0	10
8	Mashujaa	6	3	0	3	6:6	0	9
9	Geita Gold	6	2	1	3	9:8	+1	7
10	JKT Tanzania	6	2	1	3	7:10	-3	7
11	Coastal Union	6	2	1	3	6:9	-3	7
12	Tabora United	6	1	3	2	6:6	0	6
13	Namungo	7	2	0	5	6:11	-5	6
14	Fountain Gate	6	1	1	4	2:9	-7	4
15	Kagera Sugar	6	0	2	4	5:14	-9	2
16	Pamba Jiji	6	0	1	5	4:13	-9	1

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.01X30%2.95226%3.44

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.7% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kagera Sugar 45%Draw 45%Fountain Gate 10%

The statistical model rated Kagera Sugar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Fountain Gate at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.01 | 2.95 | 3.44, which imply roughly 49.8% for a Kagera Sugar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Kagera Sugar are 15th (2 pts, 5-14 goals), Fountain Gate 14th (4 pts, 2-9).

Over their last five matches, Kagera Sugar averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Fountain Gate averaged 0.2 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Kagera Sugar or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.