Polisi Tanzania vs 
Mbeya City• Ligi kuu Bara, Tanzania
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.86. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 07:11 UTC
Polisi Tanzania
6W 1D 3L · goals 20:9 · per match 2.0 for, 0.9 against
| 12 Sep | H | Mbeya City | 2-0 | W |
| 6 Sep | H | Coastal Union | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Singida Black Stars | 2-4 | L |
| 25 Aug | A | Dodoma Jiji | 1-0 | W |
| 20 Aug | H | JKT Tanzania | 2-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Azam | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Jul | A | Tanzania Prisons | 0-1 | L |
| 12 Jul | H | Tanzania Prisons | 4-0 | W |
| 5 Jul | H | Mbeya Kwanza | 3-1 | W |
| 28 Jun | A | Mbeya Kwanza | 4-0 | W |
Mbeya City
5W 4D 1L · goals 11:3 · per match 1.1 for, 0.3 against
| 4 Sep | A | Tabora United | 0-0 | D |
| 28 Aug | A | Fountain Gate | 2-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Mashujaa | 2-1 | W |
| 19 Aug | H | Dodoma Jiji | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Geita Gold | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Jul | A | Tanzania Prisons | 0-0 | D |
| 5 Jul | H | Tanzania Prisons | 2-0 | W |
| 30 Jun | H | Tabora United | 0-0 | D |
| 27 Jun | A | Dodoma Jiji | 1-1 | D |
| 24 Jun | A | Pamba Jiji | 2-0 | W |
Head to head
8 meetings · goals 3:8 · last 8: 0W 4D 4L for Polisi Tanzania
| 23 Feb 2023Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Polisi Tanzania0-1Mbeya City |
| 14 Oct 2022Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City3-1Polisi Tanzania |
| 15 May 2022Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City0-0Polisi Tanzania |
| 27 Dec 2021Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Polisi Tanzania0-0Mbeya City |
| 21 Apr 2021Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Polisi Tanzania0-1Mbeya City |
| 5 Nov 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City1-1Polisi Tanzania |
| 10 Jul 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Mbeya City2-1Polisi Tanzania |
| 3 Jan 2020Ligi kuu Bara | Ligi kuu Bara | Polisi Tanzania0-0Mbeya City |
Ligi kuu Bara tableLigi kuu Baraupdated 8 Oct 13:11 UTC
In the Ligi kuu Bara table, Polisi Tanzania sit 5th with 10 points from 6 games, while Mbeya City are 6th with 10 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Young Africans | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 16:2 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 | Simba | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 11:2 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 | Azam | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 | Singida Black Stars | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:9 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 | Polisi Tanzania | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:7 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 | Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Mashujaa | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | Geita Gold | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9:8 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | JKT Tanzania | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
| 11 | Coastal Union | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
| 12 | Tabora United | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 6 |
| 13 | Namungo | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 |
| 14 | Fountain Gate | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
| 15 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5:14 | -9 | 2 |
| 16 | Pamba Jiji | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 12.7% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Polisi Tanzania at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Mbeya City at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 2.80 | 2.86, which imply roughly 35.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Ligi kuu Bara table: Polisi Tanzania are 5th (10 pts, 9-7 goals), Mbeya City 6th (10 pts, 6-4).
Over their last five matches, Polisi Tanzania averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Mbeya City averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Mbeya City and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.