Concón National vs Provincial Osorno• Segunda División, Chile

#41.4:1.420:00Today0.8:1.8#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.22BTNX3.30B36523.05BTNMargin at best8.1%Books9Markets43Rating60 · 41Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.22	3.30	3.05	8.1%
Betano	2.22	3.25	3.05	8.6%
BetVictor	2.20	3.13	3.10	9.7%
Pinnacle	2.16	3.22	3.02	10.5%
Betfair	2.15	3.25	3.00	10.6%
1xBet	2.21	3.14	2.95	11.0%
Bet365	2.10	3.30	3.00	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.19	3.14	2.88	12.2%
William Hill	2.20	3.00	2.90	13.3%
Best of all books	2.22	3.30	3.10	7.6%
Average	2.18	3.19	2.99	10.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Concón NationalProvincial Osorno

Last 10#4Table position#11.75Points per game2.009Form pts · last 511.4Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 51.864Attack rating3656Defence rating4490Form rating1038H2H rating6259Goals model4160Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 17:10 UTC

Concón National

5W 1D 4L · goals 13:12 · per match 1.3 for, 1.2 against

13 Sep	H	Colchagua	1-0	W
5 Sep	A	Santiago City	0-3	L
29 Aug	H	Linares Unido	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Municipal Salamanca	2-0	W
16 Aug	H	Trasandino	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	Provincial Osorno	0-1	L
11 Jul	H	Santiago City	4-2	W
5 Jul	A	Municipal Salamanca	0-1	L
27 Jun	H	Colina	1-1	D
7 Jun	A	Real San Joaquín	1-0	W

Provincial Osorno

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	A	Colchagua	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Santiago City	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Municipal Salamanca	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Trasandino	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Linares Unido	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Concón National	1-0	W
12 Jul	A	Lota Schwager	2-2	D
4 Jul	H	General Velásquez	3-0	W
21 Jun	A	Colchagua	0-0	D
6 Jun	H	Linares Unido	1-1	D

Head to head

1Concón National wins

2draws

2Provincial Osorno wins

5 meetings · goals 9:9 · last 5: 1W 2D 2L for Concón National

8 Aug 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Osorno1-0Concón National
23 Aug 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Concón National2-2Provincial Osorno
5 Apr 2025Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Osorno1-3Concón National
16 Aug 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Concón National3-3Provincial Osorno
6 Apr 2024Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Osorno2-1Concón National

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 16:52 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Concón National sit 4th with 21 points from 12 games, while Provincial Osorno are 1st with 24 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.18X28%3.18230%2.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 8.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.10 → 2.18 +3.8%X3.30 → 3.18 -3.6%23.00 → 2.99 -0.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Pinnacle	2.04	1.71	7.5%
Betano	2.02	1.72	7.6%
1xBet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.02	1.68	9.0%
BetVictor	1.99	1.70	9.1%
Best of all books	2.08	1.73	5.9%
Average	2.03	1.70	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
BetVictor	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Betano	1.80	1.88	8.7%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
William Hill	1.75	1.91	9.5%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.86	9.9%
Best of all books	1.80	1.91	7.9%
Average	1.78	1.89	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Concón National 45%Draw 45%Provincial Osorno 10%

The statistical model rates Concón National at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Provincial Osorno at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.18 | 3.18 | 2.99, which imply roughly 45.9% for a Concón National win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Concón National are 4th (21 pts, 16-10 goals), Provincial Osorno 1st (24 pts, 15-5).

Over their last five matches, Concón National averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Provincial Osorno averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Concón National or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.18	3.19	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.31	1.56	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.19

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.78	1.89

1st half

1	X	2
2.84	2.03	3.64

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.81	8.80	2.21

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.05
1.5	1.32	3.03
2.5	2.03	1.70
3.5	3.58	1.23
4.5	6.35	1.08
5.5	17.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	7.50
1.25	1.16	4.14
1.75	1.39	2.64
2	1.52	2.29
2.25	1.78	1.91
2.75	2.30	1.51
3	2.88	1.33
3.25	3.20	1.26
3.75	4.20	1.15
4	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.57	1.43
-0.5	2.15	1.64
-0.25	1.89	1.81
0	1.59	2.20
+0.25	1.43	2.56
+0.5	1.36	2.98

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.02
-2	8.50	1.01
-1.75	5.25	1.16
-1.5	4.37	1.17
-1.25	3.95	1.20
-1	3.45	1.26
+0.75	1.23	3.62
+1	1.10	5.57
+1.25	1.10	5.83
+1.5	1.07	6.55

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.74	2.01
9	1.98	1.82