Colchagua vs Provincial Osorno• Segunda División, Chile

#30.0:0.82-0FT04/101.0:1.4#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.471XBX3.451XB22.801XBMargin at best5.2%Books5Markets35Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L51.6

Price board · 1X2captured 3 Oct 16:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.43	3.52	2.79	5.4%
Betfair	2.40	3.20	2.80	8.6%
Betano	2.47	3.10	2.75	9.1%
Bet365	2.30	3.25	2.70	11.3%
Marathonbet	2.32	3.12	2.69	12.3%
Best of all books	2.47	3.52	2.80	4.6%
Average	2.38	3.24	2.75	9.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ColchaguaProvincial Osorno

Last 10#3Table position#11.83Points per game2.004Form pts · last 510.0Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.40Attack rating10064Defence rating3620Form rating8050H2H rating5056Goals model4448Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 16:33 UTC

Colchagua

2W 2D 6L · goals 3:10 · per match 0.3 for, 1.0 against

4 Oct	H	Provincial Osorno	2-0	W
13 Sep	A	Concón National	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Linares Unido	0-1	L
1 Sep	H	Municipal Salamanca	0-1	L
22 Aug	A	Trasandino	0-0	D
9 Aug	H	Santiago City	0-1	L
12 Jul	A	Linares Unido	0-4	L
5 Jul	H	Lota Schwager	0-2	L
27 Jun	A	Deportes Rengo	1-0	W
21 Jun	H	Provincial Osorno	0-0	D

Provincial Osorno

2W 4D 4L · goals 11:12 · per match 1.1 for, 1.2 against

4 Oct	A	Colchagua	0-2	L
13 Sep	H	Santiago City	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Municipal Salamanca	1-2	L
29 Aug	H	Trasandino	2-2	D
16 Aug	A	Linares Unido	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	Concón National	1-0	W
12 Jul	A	Lota Schwager	2-2	D
4 Jul	H	General Velásquez	3-0	W
21 Jun	A	Colchagua	0-0	D
6 Jun	H	Linares Unido	1-1	D

Head to head

0Colchagua wins

2draws

0Provincial Osorno wins

2 meetings · goals 2:2 · last 2: 0W 2D 0L for Colchagua

21 Jun 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Colchagua0-0Provincial Osorno
18 Apr 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Provincial Osorno2-2Colchagua

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Colchagua sit 3rd with 22 points from 12 games, while Provincial Osorno are 1st with 24 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg138%2.40X29%3.11233%2.70

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.38 → 2.40 +0.8%X3.24 → 3.10 -4.3%22.75 → 2.70 -1.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.05	1.77	5.3%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Marathonbet	1.98	1.71	9.0%
Betano	2.00	1.65	10.6%
Best of all books	2.05	1.77	5.3%
Average	2.02	1.72	7.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.76	1.91	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.76	1.88	10.0%
Betano	1.78	1.83	10.8%
Best of all books	1.78	1.91	8.5%
Average	1.77	1.87	10.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colchagua 10%Draw 45%Provincial Osorno 45%

The statistical model rated Colchagua at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Provincial Osorno at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.40 | 3.11 | 2.70, which imply roughly 32.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Colchagua are 3rd (22 pts, 15-11 goals), Provincial Osorno 1st (24 pts, 15-5).

Over their last five matches, Colchagua averaged 0 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Provincial Osorno averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Provincial Osorno and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.38	3.24	2.75

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.36	1.48	1.27

Draw no bet

1	2
1.73	1.94

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.77	1.87

1st half

1	X	2
3.06	2.06	3.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.92	8.10	2.09

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.07	5.70
1.5	1.33	2.91
2.5	2.02	1.72
3.5	3.41	1.24
4.5	6.40	1.06

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.04	6.85
1.25	1.18	4.20
1.75	1.38	2.62
2	1.49	2.30
2.25	1.79	1.93
2.75	2.24	1.52
3	2.74	1.35
3.25	3.14	1.30
3.75	4.20	1.18
4	5.85	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.80	1.19
-0.75	2.74	1.35
-0.25	2.00	1.67
0	1.72	1.99
+0.25	1.50	2.28
+0.75	1.26	3.20

6 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.0	1.01
-1.5	4.65	1.12
-1.25	4.25	1.15
+1	1.12	4.70
+1.25	1.11	4.87
+1.5	1.08	5.60