Real San Joaquín vs
Lota Schwager• Segunda División, Chile
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:31 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.61 | 3.62 | 2.54 | 5.3% |
| Betfair | 2.50 | 3.30 | 2.50 | 10.3% |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 3.25 | 2.50 | 10.8% |
| Marathonbet | 2.51 | 3.22 | 2.42 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.61 | 3.62 | 2.54 | 5.3% |
| Average | 2.53 | 3.35 | 2.49 | 9.6% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 19:11 UTC
Real San Joaquín
1W 4D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against
| 27 Sep | A | Colina | 0-1 | L |
| 6 Sep | A | General Velásquez | 1-1 | D |
| 31 Aug | H | Deportes Rengo | 2-5 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | Provincial Ovalle | 1-1 | D |
| 10 Aug | H | Santiago Morning | 2-2 | D |
| 12 Jul | A | Colina | 1-5 | L |
| 5 Jul | H | Trasandino | 1-2 | L |
| 28 Jun | A | Municipal Salamanca | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Jun | A | Provincial Ovalle | 6-1 | W |
| 7 Jun | H | Concón National | 0-1 | L |
Lota Schwager
3W 4D 3L · goals 12:10 · per match 1.2 for, 1.0 against
| 26 Sep | H | Provincial Ovalle | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Aug | A | Colina | 0-0 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Santiago Morning | 1-1 | D |
| 16 Aug | A | Deportes Rengo | 0-1 | L |
| 8 Aug | H | General Velásquez | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Jul | H | Provincial Osorno | 2-2 | D |
| 5 Jul | A | Colchagua | 2-0 | W |
| 28 Jun | A | General Velásquez | 1-2 | L |
| 21 Jun | H | Santiago Morning | 1-1 | D |
| 14 Jun | A | Linares Unido | 1-0 | W |
Head to head
No previous meetings between Real San Joaquín and Lota Schwager on record.
Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC
In the Segunda División table, Real San Joaquín sit 9th with 13 points from 12 games, while Lota Schwager are 10th with 13 points from 12.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 15:5 | +10 | 24 |
| 2 | Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 11:5 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 | Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 15:11 | +4 | 22 |
| 4 | Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 16:10 | +6 | 21 |
| 5 | Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 18:19 | -1 | 20 |
| 6 | Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 16:12 | +4 | 19 |
| 7 | Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 19:17 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 | General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 11:15 | -4 | 16 |
| 9 | Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 10 | Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:14 | +1 | 12 |
| 12 | Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 10:17 | -7 | 11 |
| 13 | Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11:24 | -13 | 6 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.8% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.94 | 1.86 | 5.3% |
| Bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 | 5.3% |
| Betfair | 1.90 | 1.87 | 6.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.88 | 1.79 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 1.95 | 1.87 | 4.8% |
| Average | 1.92 | 1.84 | 6.4% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.67 | 2.10 | 7.5% |
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 2.00 | 9.2% |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 1.97 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.69 | 2.10 | 6.8% |
| Average | 1.68 | 2.02 | 8.8% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Real San Joaquín at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Lota Schwager at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.39, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Real San Joaquín are 9th (13 pts, 16-17 goals), Lota Schwager 10th (13 pts, 11-13).
Over their last five matches, Real San Joaquín averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lota Schwager averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Lota Schwager.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.53 | 3.35 | 2.49 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.43 | 1.41 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.68 | 2.02 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.19 | 2.12 | 3.14 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.98 | 10.3 | 1.96 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 10.0 |
| 1.5 | 1.28 | 3.32 |
| 2.5 | 1.92 | 1.84 |
| 3.5 | 3.27 | 1.29 |
| 4.5 | 6.50 | 1.08 |
| 5.5 | 13.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.01 | 8.50 |
| 1.75 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
| 2 | 1.41 | 2.52 |
| 2.25 | 1.68 | 2.07 |
| 2.75 | 2.12 | 1.58 |
| 3 | 2.59 | 1.39 |
| 3.25 | 2.99 | 1.33 |
| 3.75 | 4.05 | 1.16 |
| 4 | 5.65 | 1.08 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 3.08 | 1.28 |
| -0.25 | 2.18 | 1.56 |
| 0 | 1.87 | 1.83 |
| +0.25 | 1.60 | 2.08 |
| +0.75 | 1.31 | 2.92 |
| +1 | 1.15 | 4.20 |
4 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 5.45 | 1.08 |
| -1 | 4.45 | 1.14 |
| +1.25 | 1.12 | 4.70 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.20 |