OddsFilter

Provincial Ovalle vs Deportes Rengo• Segunda División, Chile

#140.8:0.61-5FT03/10 · Estadio Diaguita2.0:1.0#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.951XBX3.741XB23.75BFRMargin at best4.7%Books5Markets35Rating48 · 52 levelExp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 2 Oct 16:31 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet2.463.562.745.2%
Betano2.453.202.728.8%
Betfair2.303.302.7010.8%
Marathonbet2.343.162.6412.3%
Bet3652.303.202.6212.9%
Best of all books2.463.562.745.2%
Average2.373.282.689.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Provincial OvalleDeportes Rengo
Last 10#14Table position#120.50Points per game0.928Form pts · last 5110.8Goals for · last 52.00.6Goals against · last 51.029Attack rating7163Defence rating3842Form rating5864H2H rating3635Goals model6548Overall rating52

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 3 Oct 19:11 UTC

Provincial Ovalle

3W 3D 4L · goals 10:15 · per match 1.0 for, 1.5 against

26 SepALota Schwager2-1W
7 SepHColina1-0W
30 AugASantiago Morning0-0D
22 AugHReal San Joaquín1-1D
16 AugAGeneral Velásquez0-1L
4 JulHColina2-1W
26 JunASantiago City2-3L
21 JunHReal San Joaquín1-6L
8 JunHTrasandino1-1D
30 MayAConcón National0-1L

Deportes Rengo

4W 3D 3L · goals 15:13 · per match 1.5 for, 1.3 against

6 SepHSantiago Morning2-2D
31 AugAReal San Joaquín5-2W
22 AugHGeneral Velásquez1-1D
16 AugHLota Schwager1-0W
8 AugAColina1-0W
12 JulAGeneral Velásquez0-2L
4 JulHSantiago Morning3-1W
27 JunHColchagua0-1L
20 JunALinares Unido1-3L
6 JunHLota Schwager1-1D

Head to head

2Provincial Ovalle wins
1draws
1Deportes Rengo wins

4 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Provincial Ovalle

18 Jul 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle2-1Deportes Rengo
3 Mar 2025Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónDeportes Rengo1-1Provincial Ovalle
19 Oct 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónProvincial Ovalle2-1Deportes Rengo
25 May 2024Segunda DivisiónSegunda DivisiónDeportes Rengo1-0Provincial Ovalle

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Provincial Ovalle sit 14th with 6 points from 12 games, while Deportes Rengo are 12th with 11 points from 12.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Provincial Osorno1266015:5+1024
2Municipal Salamanca1257011:5+622
3Colchagua1264215:11+422
4Concón National1263316:10+621
5Santiago City1255218:19-120
6Linares Unido1261516:12+419
7Trasandino1253419:17+218
8General Velásquez1251611:15-416
9Real San Joaquín1234516:17-113
10Lota Schwager1234511:13-213
11Colina1233615:14+112
12Deportes Rengo1232710:17-711
13Santiago Morning122469:14-510
14Provincial Ovalle1213811:24-136

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X27%3.41225%3.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

2 Oct 18:513 Oct 14:111 1.88X 3.432 3.57
12.37 → 1.88 -20.7%X3.28 → 3.43 +4.6%22.68 → 3.57 +33.2%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.001.815.2%
Bet3652.001.805.6%
Betano1.931.788.0%
Marathonbet1.931.759.0%
Best of all books2.001.815.2%
Average1.961.796.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet1.721.969.2%
Marathonbet1.721.9310.0%
Betano1.701.9310.6%
Best of all books1.721.969.2%
Average1.711.949.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Provincial Ovalle 35%Draw 35%Deportes Rengo 30%

The statistical model rated Provincial Ovalle at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Deportes Rengo at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.41 | 3.56, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Provincial Ovalle win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Provincial Ovalle are 14th (6 pts, 11-24 goals), Deportes Rengo 12th (11 pts, 10-17).

Over their last five matches, Provincial Ovalle averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Deportes Rengo averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Provincial Ovalle or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.373.282.68

Double chance

1XX212
1.381.481.27

Draw no bet

12
1.731.95

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.711.94

1st half

1X2
3.042.103.35

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.928.702.09

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.066.00
1.51.303.05
2.51.971.79
3.53.241.27
4.55.981.08
10 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.037.20
1.751.352.74
21.462.38
2.251.732.00
2.752.171.55
32.661.37
3.253.031.32
3.754.051.16
45.551.08
4.255.941.08

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.821.18
-0.752.781.34
-0.252.011.66
01.751.97
+0.251.522.24
+0.751.273.14
6 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.801.01
-1.54.701.12
-1.254.251.15
+11.134.55
+1.251.114.79
+1.51.095.40