Colina vs Real San Joaquín• Segunda División, Chile

#111.2:1.01-0FT27/091.4:2.8#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.75BTNX3.83PIN24.20BFRMargin at best7.1%Books4Markets39Rating62 · 38Exp. goals L53.2

Price board · 1X2captured 26 Sep 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betfair	1.95	3.30	3.60	9.4%
1xBet	1.91	3.34	3.49	10.9%
Bet365	1.95	3.30	3.30	11.9%
Marathonbet	1.89	3.34	3.40	12.3%
Best of all books	1.95	3.34	3.60	9.0%
Average	1.92	3.32	3.45	11.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

ColinaReal San Joaquín

Last 10#11Table position#91.00Points per game1.084Form pts · last 531.2Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 52.846Attack rating5474Defence rating2657Form rating43100H2H rating047Goals model5362Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 19:41 UTC

Colina

2W 2D 6L · goals 10:11 · per match 1.0 for, 1.1 against

27 Sep	H	Real San Joaquín	1-0	W
7 Sep	A	Provincial Ovalle	0-1	L
29 Aug	H	Lota Schwager	0-0	D
17 Aug	A	Santiago Morning	1-2	L
8 Aug	H	Deportes Rengo	0-1	L
12 Jul	H	Real San Joaquín	5-1	W
4 Jul	A	Provincial Ovalle	1-2	L
27 Jun	A	Concón National	1-1	D
21 Jun	H	Municipal Salamanca	1-2	L
6 Jun	A	Santiago City	0-1	L

Real San Joaquín

1W 4D 5L · goals 14:19 · per match 1.4 for, 1.9 against

27 Sep	A	Colina	0-1	L
6 Sep	A	General Velásquez	1-1	D
31 Aug	H	Deportes Rengo	2-5	L
22 Aug	A	Provincial Ovalle	1-1	D
10 Aug	H	Santiago Morning	2-2	D
12 Jul	A	Colina	1-5	L
5 Jul	H	Trasandino	1-2	L
28 Jun	A	Municipal Salamanca	0-0	D
21 Jun	A	Provincial Ovalle	6-1	W
7 Jun	H	Concón National	0-1	L

Head to head

2Colina wins

0draws

0Real San Joaquín wins

2 meetings · goals 6:1 · last 2: 2W 0D 0L for Colina

12 Jul 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Colina5-1Real San Joaquín
10 May 2026Segunda División	Segunda División	Real San Joaquín0-1Colina

Segunda División tableRegular Seasonupdated 10 Oct 20:31 UTC

In the Segunda División table, Colina sit 11th with 12 points from 12 games, while Real San Joaquín are 9th with 13 points from 12.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Provincial Osorno	12	6	6	0	15:5	+10	24
2	Municipal Salamanca	12	5	7	0	11:5	+6	22
3	Colchagua	12	6	4	2	15:11	+4	22
4	Concón National	12	6	3	3	16:10	+6	21
5	Santiago City	12	5	5	2	18:19	-1	20
6	Linares Unido	12	6	1	5	16:12	+4	19
7	Trasandino	12	5	3	4	19:17	+2	18
8	General Velásquez	12	5	1	6	11:15	-4	16
9	Real San Joaquín	12	3	4	5	16:17	-1	13
10	Lota Schwager	12	3	4	5	11:13	-2	13
11	Colina	12	3	3	6	15:14	+1	12
12	Deportes Rengo	12	3	2	7	10:17	-7	11
13	Santiago Morning	12	2	4	6	9:14	-5	10
14	Provincial Ovalle	12	1	3	8	11:24	-13	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg153%1.69X25%3.64222%4.02

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.93 → 1.71 -11.4%X3.32 → 3.64 +9.6%23.45 → 3.98 +15.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.90	1.87	6.1%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.87	4.8%
Average	1.90	1.82	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
1xBet	1.73	1.95	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.73	1.92	9.9%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.71	1.99	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Colina 45%Draw 45%Real San Joaquín 10%

The statistical model rated Colina at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Real San Joaquín at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.69 | 3.64 | 4.02, which imply roughly 59.2% for a Colina win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Segunda División table: Colina are 11th (12 pts, 15-14 goals), Real San Joaquín 9th (13 pts, 16-17).

Over their last five matches, Colina averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Real San Joaquín averaged 1.4 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Colina or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.93	3.32	3.45

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.21	1.70	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.44	2.62

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.71	1.99

1st half

1	X	2
2.53	2.12	4.03

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.64	11.5	2.35

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	10.8
1.5	1.26	3.35
2.5	1.90	1.83
3.5	3.27	1.27
4.5	6.40	1.09
5.5	13.0	1.02

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	8.50
1.75	1.31	2.92
2	1.41	2.52
2.25	1.65	2.04
2.75	2.13	1.59
3	2.59	1.39
3.25	2.92	1.31
3.75	4.05	1.16
4	5.65	1.08
4.25	5.73	1.09

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	2.83	1.33
-0.75	2.19	1.54
-0.5	2.00	1.80
-0.25	1.66	2.01
0	1.42	2.56
+0.25	1.31	2.92

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.10	1.02
-2	7.10	1.04
-1.5	3.58	1.21
-1.25	3.20	1.26
+0.75	1.14	4.45
+1	1.04	7.10
+1.5	1.02	8.20