Provincial OvallevsReal San Joaquín• Segunda División,Chile
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Provincial Ovalle14th6 pts
Real San Joaquín9th13 pts
Provincial Ovalle14th6 pts
Real San Joaquín9th13 ptsIn the Segunda División table, Provincial Ovalle sit 14th with 6 points from 12 games, while Real San Joaquín are 9th with 13 points from 12 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Provincial Ovalle at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real San Joaquín at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.81 | 3.19 | 2.31, which imply roughly 31.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Segunda División table: Provincial Ovalle are 14th (6 pts, 11-24 goals), Real San Joaquín 9th (13 pts, 16-17).
Over their last five matches, Provincial Ovalle averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Real San Joaquín averaged 2 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real San Joaquín and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Provincial Ovalle vs Real San Joaquín — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Provincial Osorno | 12 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 24 |
| 2 |  Municipal Salamanca | 12 | 5 | 7 | 0 | 22 |
| 3 |  Colchagua | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 22 |
| 4 |  Concón National | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 21 |
| 5 |  Santiago City | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 |  Linares Unido | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 19 |
| 7 |  Trasandino | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 |  General Velásquez | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 16 |
| 9 |  Real San Joaquín | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 10 |  Lota Schwager | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
| 11 |  Colina | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 |
| 12 |  Deportes Rengo | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 11 |
| 13 |  Santiago Morning | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 10 |
| 14 |  Provincial Ovalle | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.81
X
3.19
2
2.31
Double chance
1X
1.51
X2
1.35
12
1.26
Both teams to score
Yes
1.75
No
1.91
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.98
Under 2.5
1.72
Over 1.5
1.30
Under 1.5
2.98
Over 1.75
1.37
Under 1.75
2.66
Over 2
1.48
Under 2
2.33
Over 2.25
1.75
Under 2.25
1.93
Over 2.75
2.21
Under 2.75
1.53
Over 3.5
3.30
Under 3.5
1.24
Over 1
1.04
Under 1
6.85
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.00
Over 3
2.74
Under 3
1.35
Over 3.25
3.05
Under 3.25
1.28
Over 4
5.75
Under 4
1.07
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
10.00
Over 4.5
6.60
Under 4.5
1.06
Over 3.75
4.02
Under 3.75
1.17
Over 4.25
5.94
Under 4.25
1.08
Over 5.5
12.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Draw no bet
1
1.99
2
1.68
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
9.20
1st half
1
3.44
X
2.06
2
2.96
First team to score
Home
2.08
No Goal
8.50
Away
1.94