Fuerte San Francisco vs Firpo• Primera Division, El-Salvador

#110.6:1.40-3FT01/101.8:0.6#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.80MARX4.361XB21.55BTNMargin at best4.7%Books5Markets40Rating26 · 74Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 29 Sep 16:29 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.65	4.11	1.59	4.9%
Betano	5.40	3.70	1.57	9.2%
Betfair	5.50	3.75	1.53	10.2%
Marathonbet	5.40	3.64	1.51	12.2%
Bet365	4.75	3.60	1.57	12.5%
Best of all books	5.65	4.11	1.59	4.9%
Average	5.34	3.76	1.55	9.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Fuerte San FranciscoFirpo

Last 10#11Table position#10.80Points per game2.003Form pts · last 5110.6Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.625Attack rating7530Defence rating7017Form rating830H2H rating10051Goals model4926Overall rating74

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 22:40 UTC

Fuerte San Francisco

1W 3D 6L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

4 Oct	A	Inter	1-1	D
1 Oct	H	Firpo	0-3	L
27 Sep	A	Platense	0-0	D
24 Sep	A	Alianza	2-2	D
19 Sep	A	Inca Aruba	1-2	L
13 Sep	H	Municipal Limeño	0-2	L
5 Sep	H	FAS	0-1	L
30 Aug	A	Águila	1-4	L
23 Aug	A	Atletico Balboa	0-1	L
15 Aug	H	Isidro Metapán	1-0	W

Firpo

4W 2D 4L · goals 15:14 · per match 1.5 for, 1.4 against

4 Oct	A	Alianza	2-2	D
1 Oct	A	Fuerte San Francisco	3-0	W
27 Sep	H	Águila	2-0	W
24 Sep	H	Cacahuatique	0-0	D
20 Sep	H	Atletico Balboa	3-1	W
18 Sep	A	CD Olimpia	0-3	L
13 Sep	H	Isidro Metapán	1-2	L
11 Sep	H	CD Olimpia	0-3	L
6 Sep	H	Inter	3-0	W
30 Aug	A	FAS	1-3	L

Head to head

1Fuerte San Francisco wins

2draws

12Firpo wins

15 meetings · goals 8:28 · last 10: 0W 2D 8L for Fuerte San Francisco

30 Jul 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo4-0Fuerte San Francisco
5 Apr 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-2Firpo
8 Feb 2026Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo1-0Fuerte San Francisco
19 Oct 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco1-4Firpo
17 Aug 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo3-0Fuerte San Francisco
11 May 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo1-1Fuerte San Francisco
8 May 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-0Firpo
13 Apr 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-1Firpo
16 Feb 2025Primera Division	Primera Division	Firpo1-0Fuerte San Francisco
3 Nov 2024Primera Division	Primera Division	Fuerte San Francisco0-2Firpo

Primera Division tablePrimera Division: Aperturaupdated 12 Oct 01:10 UTC

In the Primera Division table, Fuerte San Francisco sit 11th with 12 points from 15 games, while Firpo are 1st with 28 points from 14.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Firpo	14	8	4	2	26:11	+15	28
2	FAS	13	8	3	2	24:12	+12	27
3	Isidro Metapán	13	8	2	3	20:12	+8	26
4	Inter	14	5	7	2	19:12	+7	22
5	Águila	14	5	5	4	22:18	+4	20
6	Platense	15	5	4	6	19:20	-1	19
7	Alianza	13	4	6	3	20:19	+1	18
8	Municipal Limeño	15	5	2	8	21:22	-1	17
9	Inca Aruba	15	4	4	7	13:27	-14	16
10	Atletico Balboa	14	3	4	7	15:22	-7	13
11	Fuerte San Francisco	15	2	6	7	11:24	-13	12
12	Cacahuatique	15	2	5	8	15:26	-11	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.26X23%3.90260%1.51

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.34 → 5.35 +0.2%X3.76 → 3.87 +2.9%21.55 → 1.49 -3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	2.00	1.81	5.2%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betfair	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Best of all books	2.05	1.81	4.0%
Average	1.96	1.78	7.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.71	9.8%
Betano	1.90	1.72	10.8%
Best of all books	1.95	1.74	8.8%
Average	1.93	1.72	9.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Fuerte San Francisco 10%Draw 45%Firpo 45%

The statistical model rated Fuerte San Francisco at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Firpo at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.26 | 3.90 | 1.51, which imply roughly 25.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera Division table: Fuerte San Francisco are 11th (12 pts, 11-24 goals), Firpo 1st (28 pts, 26-11).

Over their last five matches, Fuerte San Francisco averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Firpo averaged 1.8 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Firpo and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.34	3.76	1.55

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.23	1.10	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
3.68	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.72

1st half

1	X	2
5.66	2.18	2.14

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
3.05	9.63	1.46

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.06	6.10
1.5	1.30	3.09
2.5	1.96	1.78
3.5	3.24	1.27
4.5	5.95	1.08

10 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.22	4.01
1.75	1.34	2.78
2	1.44	2.42
2.25	1.72	2.01
2.75	2.17	1.55
3	2.70	1.36
3.25	3.10	1.31
3.75	4.25	1.15
4	5.95	1.07

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.78	1.34
+0.75	1.99	1.72
+1	1.72	1.97
+1.25	1.50	2.28
+1.5	1.39	2.59
+1.75	1.27	3.14

7 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	10.0	1.01
-1	9.00	1.02
-0.25	4.75	1.12
0	4.15	1.16
+2	1.14	4.45
+2.25	1.10	5.06
+2.5	1.09	5.30