Farense U23 vs União Leiria U23• Liga Revelação U23, Portugal

#101.4:1.61-2FTToday0.8:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.13DAFX3.45BTN23.261XBMargin at best6.6%Books10Markets52Rating61 · 39Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 08:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.13	3.40	3.20	7.6%
Pinnacle	2.10	3.35	3.17	9.0%
Betano	2.07	3.45	3.15	9.0%
BetVictor	2.10	3.30	3.20	9.2%
1xBet	2.01	3.28	3.26	10.9%
Betfair	2.00	3.30	3.25	11.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	1.99	3.28	3.18	12.2%
William Hill	2.05	3.00	3.20	13.4%
SBO	1.96	3.01	2.98	17.8%
Best of all books	2.13	3.45	3.26	6.6%
Average	2.05	3.28	3.16	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Farense U23União Leiria U23

Last 10#10Table position#81.38Points per game1.387Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.264Attack rating3643Defence rating5764Form rating3664H2H rating3662Goals model3861Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

Farense U23

5W 3D 2L · goals 16:14 · per match 1.6 for, 1.4 against

21 Sep	A	Vizela U23	0-2	L
15 Sep	H	Leixões U23	1-1	D
9 Sep	A	Santa Clara U23	0-1	L
1 Sep	H	Famalicão U23	4-3	W
25 Aug	A	Portimonense U23	2-1	W
18 Aug	H	Estoril U23	1-1	D
11 Aug	A	Sporting Braga U23	3-2	W
28 Apr	A	Portimonense U23	2-1	W
21 Apr	H	Estoril U23	1-1	D
14 Apr	A	Marítimo U23	2-1	W

União Leiria U23

5W 2D 3L · goals 15:10 · per match 1.5 for, 1.0 against

6 Oct	H	Santa Clara U23	1-1	D
21 Sep	H	Gil Vicente U23	0-1	L
14 Sep	H	Benfica U23	1-2	L
8 Sep	A	Estrela U23	0-2	L
1 Sep	H	Marítimo U23	2-0	W
25 Aug	A	Leixões U23	2-1	W
11 Aug	A	Sporting CP U23	1-1	D
28 Apr	H	Rio Ave U23	1-0	W
21 Apr	A	Vizela U23	3-0	W
8 Apr	H	Portimonense U23	4-2	W

Head to head

2Farense U23 wins

1draws

1União Leiria U23 wins

4 meetings · goals 2:1 · last 4: 2W 1D 1L for Farense U23

24 Mar 2026Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	União Leiria U230-0Farense U23
24 Feb 2026Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Farense U231-0União Leiria U23
15 Dec 2025Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	União Leiria U230-1Farense U23
30 Sep 2025Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Farense U230-1União Leiria U23

Liga Revelação U23 tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 16:20 UTC

In the Liga Revelação U23 table, Farense U23 sit 10th with 11 points from 8 games, while União Leiria U23 are 8th with 11 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Academico Viseu U23	8	5	2	1	16:11	+5	17
2	Estoril U23	8	4	4	0	17:12	+5	16
3	Sporting CP U23	8	4	3	1	15:10	+5	15
4	Rio Ave U23	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
5	Vizela U23	7	4	1	2	10:7	+3	13
6	Felgueiras U23	8	3	3	2	14:11	+3	12
7	Moreirense U23	8	2	5	1	17:9	+8	11
8	União Leiria U23	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
9	Famalicão U23	8	3	2	3	15:16	-1	11
10	Farense U23	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
11	Benfica U23	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
12	Sporting Braga U23	8	2	4	2	12:12	0	10
13	Santa Clara U23	6	2	3	1	5:10	-5	9
14	Gil Vicente U23	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leixões U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6
16	Torreense U23	6	1	3	2	9:12	-3	6
17	Marítimo U23	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Penafiel U23	7	0	5	2	9:11	-2	5
19	Estrela U23	8	1	2	5	7:15	-8	5
20	Portimonense U23	8	0	4	4	5:11	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg144%2.05X27%3.28229%3.16

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.04 → 2.05 +0.5%X3.28 → 3.28 0.0%23.23 → 3.16 -2.2%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Pinnacle	1.94	1.85	5.6%
SBO	1.93	1.83	6.5%
Betfair	1.91	1.80	7.9%
Betano	1.93	1.78	8.0%
1xBet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
BetVictor	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.78	9.1%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.92	1.81	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.73	2.00	7.8%
William Hill	1.73	1.95	9.1%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Betano	1.78	1.88	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.00	6.2%
Average	1.74	1.95	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Farense U23 45%Draw 45%União Leiria U23 10%

The statistical model rated Farense U23 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and União Leiria U23 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.05 | 3.28 | 3.16, which imply roughly 48.8% for a Farense U23 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Revelação U23 table: Farense U23 are 10th (11 pts, 12-13 goals), União Leiria U23 8th (11 pts, 9-9).

Over their last five matches, Farense U23 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; União Leiria U23 averaged 0.8 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Farense U23 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.05	3.28	3.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.27	1.64	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
1.53	2.34

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.74	1.95

1st half

1	X	2
2.62	2.09	3.81

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.75	10.1	2.27

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	8.51
1.5	1.27	3.30
2.5	1.92	1.81
3.5	3.27	1.27
4.5	6.52	1.07
5.5	13.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.55
1.75	1.35	2.84
2	1.44	2.50
2.25	1.68	2.04
2.75	2.16	1.60
3	2.59	1.41
3.25	2.93	1.33
3.75	4.10	1.16
4	5.75	1.07
4.25	6.15	1.06

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1	3.07	1.30
-0.75	2.38	1.49
-0.5	2.05	1.69
-0.25	1.79	1.92
0	1.51	2.36
+0.25	1.37	2.75

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.90	1.01
-2.25	8.38	1.01
-2	7.90	1.02
-1.75	5.15	1.10
-1.5	3.94	1.17
-1.25	3.50	1.22
+0.5	1.33	3.10
+0.75	1.16	4.10
+1	1.05	6.40
+1.25	1.04	6.95
+1.5	1.03	7.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.31	3.05
8.5	1.49	2.38
9	1.64	2.06
9.5	1.87	1.86
10	2.23	1.55
10.5	2.55	1.43
11	2.77	1.37