Penafiel U23 vs Benfica U23• Liga Revelação U23, Portugal

#181.0:1.42-0LiveToday1.8:1.0#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.05DAFX3.70BTN22.12PINMargin at best7.0%Books10Markets53Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.95	3.55	2.18	7.9%
Betano	2.87	3.70	2.12	9.0%
Pinnacle	2.98	3.53	2.12	9.1%
BetVictor	2.90	3.50	2.15	9.6%
Betfair	2.80	3.60	2.15	10.0%
Bet365	2.80	3.70	2.10	10.4%
1xBet	2.93	3.45	2.09	11.0%
Marathonbet	2.86	3.45	2.07	12.3%
William Hill	2.90	3.25	2.10	12.9%
SBO	2.67	3.14	2.05	18.1%
Best of all books	2.98	3.70	2.18	6.5%
Average	2.87	3.49	2.11	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Penafiel U23Benfica U23

Last 10#18Table position#110.71Points per game1.433Form pts · last 591.0Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 51.036Attack rating6442Defence rating5825Form rating750H2H rating043Goals model5737Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

Penafiel U23

0W 5D 2L · goals 9:11 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against

29 Sep	A	Rio Ave U23	0-1	L
19 Sep	A	Sporting CP U23	1-1	D
15 Sep	H	Santa Clara U23	0-1	L
7 Sep	A	Sporting Braga U23	3-3	D
1 Sep	H	Leixões U23	1-1	D
18 Aug	H	Marítimo U23	2-2	D
11 Aug	A	Portimonense U23	2-2	D

Benfica U23

3W 4D 3L · goals 14:13 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

25 Sep	A	Marítimo U23	3-1	W
19 Sep	H	Torreense U23	3-0	W
14 Sep	A	União Leiria U23	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Vizela U23	0-1	L
2 Sep	H	Academico Viseu U23	1-2	L
25 Aug	A	Sporting CP U23	1-4	L
20 Aug	H	Rio Ave U23	0-0	D
20 May	H	Santa Clara U23	3-3	D
16 May	A	Santa Clara U23	0-0	D
11 May	H	Sporting Braga U23	1-1	D

Head to head

No previous meetings between Penafiel U23 and Benfica U23 on record.

Liga Revelação U23 tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 16:20 UTC

In the Liga Revelação U23 table, Penafiel U23 sit 18th with 5 points from 7 games, while Benfica U23 are 11th with 10 points from 7.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Academico Viseu U23	8	5	2	1	16:11	+5	17
2	Estoril U23	8	4	4	0	17:12	+5	16
3	Sporting CP U23	8	4	3	1	15:10	+5	15
4	Rio Ave U23	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
5	Vizela U23	7	4	1	2	10:7	+3	13
6	Felgueiras U23	8	3	3	2	14:11	+3	12
7	Moreirense U23	8	2	5	1	17:9	+8	11
8	União Leiria U23	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
9	Famalicão U23	8	3	2	3	15:16	-1	11
10	Farense U23	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
11	Benfica U23	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
12	Sporting Braga U23	8	2	4	2	12:12	0	10
13	Santa Clara U23	6	2	3	1	5:10	-5	9
14	Gil Vicente U23	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leixões U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6
16	Torreense U23	6	1	3	2	9:12	-3	6
17	Marítimo U23	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Penafiel U23	7	0	5	2	9:11	-2	5
19	Estrela U23	8	1	2	5	7:15	-8	5
20	Portimonense U23	8	0	4	4	5:11	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.87X26%3.49243%2.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.96 → 2.89 -2.4%X3.52 → 3.49 -0.9%22.09 → 2.08 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Pinnacle	1.63	2.22	6.4%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
BetVictor	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Best of all books	1.65	2.22	5.7%
Average	1.62	2.16	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
BetVictor	1.50	2.40	8.3%
Betano	1.57	2.22	8.7%
William Hill	1.53	2.30	8.8%
1xBet	1.52	2.32	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.27	9.8%
Best of all books	1.57	2.40	5.4%
Average	1.54	2.29	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Penafiel U23 10%Draw 45%Benfica U23 45%

The statistical model rates Penafiel U23 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Benfica U23 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.87 | 3.49 | 2.11, which imply roughly 28.7% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Revelação U23 table: Penafiel U23 are 18th (5 pts, 9-11 goals), Benfica U23 11th (10 pts, 10-9).

Over their last five matches, Penafiel U23 averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Benfica U23 averaged 1.8 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica U23.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.87	3.49	2.11

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.59	1.33	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.12	1.65

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
3.31	2.28	2.62

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.09	14.0	1.77

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.4
1.5	1.17	4.18
2.5	1.62	2.16
3.5	2.52	1.44
4.5	4.54	1.15
5.5	8.06	1.03

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.95
1	1.02	8.65
1.25	1.08	5.65
1.75	1.20	3.70
2	1.26	3.34
2.25	1.44	2.53
2.75	1.77	1.94
3	1.99	1.70
3.25	2.23	1.55
3.75	2.92	1.31
4	3.72	1.20
4.25	4.05	1.17
4.75	5.35	1.09
5	7.30	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.73	1.41
-0.25	2.49	1.46
0	2.17	1.61
+0.25	1.86	1.86
+0.5	1.65	2.13
+0.75	1.47	2.46

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	7.00	1.06
-1.5	5.43	1.11
-1.25	5.00	1.12
-1	4.65	1.14
-0.75	3.30	1.28
+1	1.31	3.11
+1.25	1.25	3.41
+1.5	1.21	3.79
+1.75	1.14	4.83
+2	1.07	6.73
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.03	7.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.38	2.70
9	1.50	2.36
9.5	1.73	1.99
10	1.97	1.77
10.5	2.25	1.54
11	2.77	1.37