Moreirense U23 vs Santa Clara U23• Liga Revelação U23, Portugal

#71.4:1.07-0FTToday1.0:0.6#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.17DAFX3.58PIN23.10BVCMargin at best6.3%Books10Markets53Rating44 · 57Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 08:35 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	2.17	3.40	3.05	8.3%
Betano	2.10	3.45	3.10	8.9%
Pinnacle	2.07	3.58	3.04	9.1%
BetVictor	2.10	3.40	3.10	9.3%
1xBet	2.10	3.34	3.00	10.9%
Betfair	2.05	3.40	3.00	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.08	3.34	2.93	12.1%
Bet365	2.05	3.40	2.90	12.7%
William Hill	2.10	3.25	2.90	12.9%
SBO	2.01	3.02	2.83	18.2%
Best of all books	2.17	3.58	3.10	6.3%
Average	2.08	3.36	2.98	11.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Moreirense U23Santa Clara U23

Last 10#7Table position#131.38Points per game1.507Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.658Attack rating4238Defence rating6344Form rating560H2H rating034Goals model6644Overall rating57

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

Moreirense U23

1W 5D 1L · goals 10:9 · per match 1.4 for, 1.3 against

6 Oct	A	Rio Ave U23	1-1	D
19 Sep	A	Estrela U23	2-2	D
14 Sep	H	Sporting Braga U23	1-1	D
8 Sep	A	Academico Viseu U23	3-1	W
1 Sep	H	Portimonense U23	0-0	D
25 Aug	A	Estoril U23	1-2	L
19 Aug	H	Famalicão U23	2-2	D

Santa Clara U23

3W 5D 2L · goals 14:12 · per match 1.4 for, 1.2 against

6 Oct	A	União Leiria U23	1-1	D
29 Sep	H	Felgueiras U23	2-2	D
22 Sep	H	Portimonense U23	0-0	D
15 Sep	A	Penafiel U23	1-0	W
9 Sep	H	Farense U23	1-0	W
3 Jun	H	Gil Vicente U23	1-2	L
26 May	A	Gil Vicente U23	1-2	L
20 May	A	Benfica U23	3-3	D
16 May	H	Benfica U23	0-0	D
11 May	A	Academico Viseu U23	4-2	W

Head to head

No previous meetings between Moreirense U23 and Santa Clara U23 on record.

Liga Revelação U23 tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 16:20 UTC

In the Liga Revelação U23 table, Moreirense U23 sit 7th with 11 points from 8 games, while Santa Clara U23 are 13th with 9 points from 6.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Academico Viseu U23	8	5	2	1	16:11	+5	17
2	Estoril U23	8	4	4	0	17:12	+5	16
3	Sporting CP U23	8	4	3	1	15:10	+5	15
4	Rio Ave U23	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
5	Vizela U23	7	4	1	2	10:7	+3	13
6	Felgueiras U23	8	3	3	2	14:11	+3	12
7	Moreirense U23	8	2	5	1	17:9	+8	11
8	União Leiria U23	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
9	Famalicão U23	8	3	2	3	15:16	-1	11
10	Farense U23	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
11	Benfica U23	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
12	Sporting Braga U23	8	2	4	2	12:12	0	10
13	Santa Clara U23	6	2	3	1	5:10	-5	9
14	Gil Vicente U23	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leixões U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6
16	Torreense U23	6	1	3	2	9:12	-3	6
17	Marítimo U23	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Penafiel U23	7	0	5	2	9:11	-2	5
19	Estrela U23	8	1	2	5	7:15	-8	5
20	Portimonense U23	8	0	4	4	5:11	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.21X27%3.35232%2.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.95 → 2.08 +6.7%X3.46 → 3.36 -2.9%23.30 → 2.99 -9.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.80	2.00	5.6%
Pinnacle	1.82	1.97	5.7%
SBO	1.80	1.96	6.6%
Betano	1.78	1.93	8.0%
Betfair	1.75	1.95	8.4%
1xBet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
BetVictor	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.78	1.89	9.1%
Best of all books	1.82	2.00	4.9%
Average	1.79	1.94	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.65	2.10	8.2%
William Hill	1.67	2.05	8.7%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
1xBet	1.63	2.10	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.63	2.06	9.9%
Best of all books	1.67	2.20	5.3%
Average	1.64	2.10	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moreirense U23 10%Draw 45%Santa Clara U23 45%

The statistical model rated Moreirense U23 at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Santa Clara U23 at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.21 | 3.35 | 2.81, which imply roughly 29.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Revelação U23 table: Moreirense U23 are 7th (11 pts, 17-9 goals), Santa Clara U23 13th (9 pts, 5-10).

Over their last five matches, Moreirense U23 averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Santa Clara U23 averaged 1 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Santa Clara U23 and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.08	3.36	2.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.29	1.63	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.60	2.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.64	2.10

1st half

1	X	2
2.66	2.16	3.55

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.71	11.9	2.26

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	9.57
1.5	1.23	3.59
2.5	1.79	1.94
3.5	2.93	1.34
4.5	5.64	1.09
5.5	10.1	1.03

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.00
1	1.03	8.00
1.25	1.10	5.05
1.75	1.27	3.22
2	1.37	2.77
2.25	1.58	2.20
2.75	1.99	1.71
3	2.34	1.50
3.25	2.61	1.41
3.75	3.58	1.21
4	4.95	1.11
4.25	5.35	1.09
4.75	7.40	1.03
5	9.00	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.45	1.46
-0.5	2.07	1.69
-0.25	1.83	1.88
0	1.57	2.24
+0.25	1.42	2.58
+0.5	1.38	2.81

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.25	7.78	1.02
-2	8.30	1.02
-1.75	5.36	1.09
-1.5	4.15	1.16
-1.25	3.33	1.27
-1	3.10	1.30
+0.75	1.23	3.49
+1	1.08	5.50
+1.25	1.06	6.05
+1.5	1.05	6.55
+1.75	1.01	8.90
+2	1.01	9.60

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.31	3.01
8.5	1.50	2.35
9	1.66	2.04
9.5	1.92	1.79
10	2.27	1.53
10.5	2.60	1.41
11	2.72	1.38