Famalicão U23 vs Estrela U23• Liga Revelação U23, Portugal

#91.8:2.22-1FTToday1.2:1.4#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.80BTNX3.90B36524.00BFRMargin at best6.2%Books10Markets60Rating71 · 30Exp. goals L53.3

Price board · 1X2captured 13 Oct 12:40 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.78	3.87	3.85	8.0%
Dafabet	1.78	3.85	3.85	8.1%
Betano	1.80	3.80	3.70	8.9%
BetVictor	1.73	3.75	4.00	9.5%
Bet365	1.75	3.90	3.60	10.6%
1xBet	1.71	3.72	3.92	10.9%
Betfair	1.67	3.80	4.00	11.2%
Marathonbet	1.69	3.72	3.82	12.2%
William Hill	1.75	3.40	3.75	13.2%
SBO	1.63	3.38	3.68	18.1%
Best of all books	1.80	3.90	4.00	6.2%
Average	1.73	3.72	3.82	10.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Famalicão U23Estrela U23

Last 10#9Table position#191.38Points per game0.636Form pts · last 551.8Goals for · last 51.22.2Goals against · last 51.460Attack rating4039Defence rating6155Form rating4593H2H rating786Goals model1471Overall rating30

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 13 Oct 13:30 UTC

Famalicão U23

3W 2D 5L · goals 16:25 · per match 1.6 for, 2.5 against

19 Sep	A	Leixões U23	2-1	W
15 Sep	H	Rio Ave U23	0-1	L
8 Sep	A	Estoril U23	2-4	L
1 Sep	A	Farense U23	3-4	L
25 Aug	H	Felgueiras U23	2-1	W
19 Aug	A	Moreirense U23	2-2	D
11 Aug	H	Torreense U23	2-2	D
11 Jul	A	Famalicao	0-5	L
11 May	H	Gil Vicente U23	1-4	L
28 Apr	A	Benfica U23	2-1	W

Estrela U23

1W 2D 7L · goals 6:16 · per match 0.6 for, 1.6 against

6 Oct	A	Felgueiras U23	1-3	L
19 Sep	H	Moreirense U23	2-2	D
8 Sep	H	União Leiria U23	2-0	W
1 Sep	H	Sporting CP U23	1-2	L
25 Aug	A	Marítimo U23	0-0	D
18 Aug	H	Leixões U23	0-3	L
10 Aug	A	Academico Viseu U23	0-3	L
28 Apr	A	Marítimo U23	0-1	L
14 Apr	A	Gil Vicente U23	0-1	L
8 Apr	A	Farense U23	0-1	L

Head to head

4Famalicão U23 wins

2draws

1Estrela U23 wins

7 meetings · goals 11:4 · last 7: 4W 2D 1L for Famalicão U23

15 Apr 2025Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Famalicão U232-1Estrela U23
5 Feb 2025Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Estrela U230-0Famalicão U23
9 Apr 2024Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Famalicão U234-0Estrela U23
6 Feb 2024Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Estrela U230-2Famalicão U23
7 Mar 2023Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Famalicão U231-0Estrela U23
1 Feb 2023Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Estrela U233-2Famalicão U23
24 Aug 2022Liga Revelação U23	Liga Revelação U23	Estrela U230-0Famalicão U23

Liga Revelação U23 tableRegular Seasonupdated 13 Oct 16:20 UTC

In the Liga Revelação U23 table, Famalicão U23 sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Estrela U23 are 19th with 5 points from 8.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Academico Viseu U23	8	5	2	1	16:11	+5	17
2	Estoril U23	8	4	4	0	17:12	+5	16
3	Sporting CP U23	8	4	3	1	15:10	+5	15
4	Rio Ave U23	8	3	4	1	10:7	+3	13
5	Vizela U23	7	4	1	2	10:7	+3	13
6	Felgueiras U23	8	3	3	2	14:11	+3	12
7	Moreirense U23	8	2	5	1	17:9	+8	11
8	União Leiria U23	8	3	2	3	9:9	0	11
9	Famalicão U23	8	3	2	3	15:16	-1	11
10	Farense U23	8	3	2	3	12:13	-1	11
11	Benfica U23	7	3	1	3	10:9	+1	10
12	Sporting Braga U23	8	2	4	2	12:12	0	10
13	Santa Clara U23	6	2	3	1	5:10	-5	9
14	Gil Vicente U23	8	2	2	4	10:12	-2	8
15	Leixões U23	7	1	3	3	12:12	0	6
16	Torreense U23	6	1	3	2	9:12	-3	6
17	Marítimo U23	8	1	3	4	8:13	-5	6
18	Penafiel U23	7	0	5	2	9:11	-2	5
19	Estrela U23	8	1	2	5	7:15	-8	5
20	Portimonense U23	8	0	4	4	5:11	-6	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg152%1.73X24%3.72224%3.82

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.63 → 1.73 +6.1%X3.79 → 3.72 -1.8%24.48 → 3.82 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.65	2.22	5.7%
Bet365	1.67	2.15	6.4%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Betano	1.62	2.12	8.9%
1xBet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
BetVictor	1.62	2.11	9.1%
Best of all books	1.67	2.25	4.3%
Average	1.62	2.16	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.19	9.0%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
William Hill	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.15	9.8%
Best of all books	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Average	1.59	2.17	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Famalicão U23 45%Draw 45%Estrela U23 10%

The statistical model rated Famalicão U23 at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Estrela U23 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.73 | 3.72 | 3.82, which imply roughly 57.8% for a Famalicão U23 win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Liga Revelação U23 table: Famalicão U23 are 9th (11 pts, 15-16 goals), Estrela U23 19th (5 pts, 7-15).

Over their last five matches, Famalicão U23 averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Estrela U23 averaged 1.2 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Famalicão U23 or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.73	3.72	3.82

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.93	1.19

Draw no bet

1	2
1.37	2.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.59	2.17

1st half

1	X	2
2.23	2.30	4.23

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.58	14.4	2.43

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.0
1.5	1.16	4.30
2.5	1.62	2.16
3.5	2.55	1.44
4.5	4.61	1.14
5.5	8.38	1.05

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.30
1	1.02	8.60
1.25	1.07	6.00
1.75	1.19	3.80
2	1.26	3.37
2.25	1.45	2.52
2.75	1.78	1.93
3	2.02	1.69
3.25	2.29	1.53
3.75	3.00	1.32
4	3.95	1.17
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.50	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.87	1.36
-1.25	2.64	1.42
-1	2.26	1.58
-0.75	1.95	1.77
-0.5	1.76	1.99
-0.25	1.54	2.30

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.04
-3	8.30	1.05
-2.75	7.53	1.05
-2.5	5.87	1.09
-2.25	5.40	1.11
-2	4.97	1.13
-1.75	3.47	1.26
0	1.35	2.92
+0.25	1.27	3.33
+0.5	1.27	3.55
+0.75	1.13	4.83
+1	1.05	7.47
+1.25	1.10	7.00
+1.5	1.01	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8	1.31	3.06
8.5	1.49	2.38
9	1.64	2.07
9.5	1.86	1.83
10	2.23	1.55
10.5	2.55	1.43
11	2.76	1.37