Al Ahli Doha vs Al-Sailiya• Stars League, Qatar

#81.3:2.317:00Tomorrow · Hamad bin Khalifa Stadium, Doha1.3:3.3#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.57BTNX4.45PIN24.99PINMargin at best6.2%Books8Markets56Rating55 · 45Exp. goals L54.1

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 21:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	1.54	4.45	4.99	7.4%
Dafabet	1.56	4.40	4.80	7.7%
Betano	1.57	4.20	4.80	8.3%
BetVictor	1.53	4.20	4.75	10.2%
1xBet	1.51	4.30	4.72	10.7%
William Hill	1.53	4.00	4.80	11.2%
Bet365	1.55	4.00	4.50	11.7%
Marathonbet	1.50	4.30	4.55	11.9%
Best of all books	1.57	4.45	4.99	6.2%
Average	1.54	4.23	4.74	9.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Al Ahli DohaAl-Sailiya

Last 10#8Table position#121.00Points per game0.005Form pts · last 511.3Goals for · last 51.32.3Goals against · last 53.350Attack rating5059Defence rating41100Form rating050H2H rating5073Goals model2755Overall rating45

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 19:01 UTC

Al Ahli Doha

2W 3D 5L · goals 13:23 · per match 1.3 for, 2.3 against

29 Sep	A	Al-Markhiya	1-1	D
20 Sep	H	Al Shahaniya	0-1	L
11 Sep	A	Al-Rayyan SC	0-3	L
3 Sep	H	Qatar SC	1-0	W
28 Aug	H	Lusail City	3-3	D
22 Aug	A	Al Sadd	1-3	L
3 Aug	A	Al-Hilal Saudi FC	3-3	D
30 Jul	A	Al Shabab	0-3	L
27 Apr	A	UMM Salal	3-1	W
22 Apr	A	Al-Nassr	1-5	L

Al-Sailiya

1W 1D 8L · goals 10:25 · per match 1.0 for, 2.5 against

28 Sep	H	Al-Rayyan SC	1-1	D
20 Sep	A	Al Wakrah	0-1	L
10 Sep	H	Al Sadd	3-6	L
3 Sep	H	Al-Arabi SC	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Al Shahaniya	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	Al-Duhail SC	0-2	L
27 Jul	H	Sharjah FC	1-2	L
20 Jul	H	Al Nasr	0-4	L
27 Apr	A	Al Wakrah	1-3	L
13 Apr	A	Al-Arabi SC	2-1	W

Head to head

10Al Ahli Doha wins

6draws

8Al-Sailiya wins

24 meetings · goals 42:39 · last 10: 5W 3D 2L for Al Ahli Doha

3 Apr 2026Stars League	Stars League	Al Ahli Doha2-2Al-Sailiya
19 Jan 2026QSL Cup	QSL Cup	Al-Sailiya2-1Al Ahli Doha
1 Nov 2025Stars League	Stars League	Al-Sailiya1-2Al Ahli Doha
29 Apr 2023Stars League	Stars League	Al Ahli Doha0-4Al-Sailiya
12 Jan 2023Stars League	Stars League	Al-Sailiya1-2Al Ahli Doha
25 Sep 2022QSL Cup	QSL Cup	Al-Sailiya2-3Al Ahli Doha
1 Mar 2022Stars League	Stars League	Al-Sailiya2-2Al Ahli Doha
24 Dec 2021Stars League	Stars League	Al Ahli Doha1-0Al-Sailiya
20 Jan 2021Stars League	Stars League	Al-Sailiya0-0Al Ahli Doha
18 Oct 2020Stars League	Stars League	Al Ahli Doha2-0Al-Sailiya

Stars League tableStars Leagueupdated 8 Oct 18:42 UTC

In the Stars League table, Al Ahli Doha sit 8th with 4 points from 4 games, while Al-Sailiya are 12th with 0 points from 4.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Al Sadd	4	4	0	0	19:7	+12	12
2	Al-Rayyan SC	4	3	1	0	7:2	+5	10
3	Al Shamal	4	2	2	0	10:6	+4	8
4	Al-Arabi SC	4	1	3	0	5:3	+2	6
5	Al-Duhail SC	4	1	3	0	5:3	+2	6
6	Lusail City	4	1	2	1	7:4	+3	5
7	Al Shahaniya	4	1	1	2	7:9	-2	4
8	Al Ahli Doha	4	1	1	2	5:9	-4	4
9	Al-Gharafa	4	1	1	2	4:8	-4	4
10	Qatar SC	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
11	Al Wakrah	4	0	2	2	4:9	-5	2
12	Al-Sailiya	4	0	0	4	5:13	-8	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.53X22%4.21219%4.73

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.2% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.40	2.83	6.8%
BetVictor	1.40	2.80	7.1%
Bet365	1.40	2.75	7.8%
Betano	1.42	2.67	7.9%
1xBet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.36	2.69	10.7%
Best of all books	1.42	2.83	5.8%
Average	1.39	2.74	8.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.50	2.50	6.7%
Betano	1.47	2.50	8.0%
1xBet	1.46	2.50	8.5%
BetVictor	1.44	2.55	8.7%
Marathonbet	1.46	2.45	9.3%
William Hill	1.44	2.50	9.4%
Best of all books	1.50	2.55	5.9%
Average	1.46	2.50	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Al Ahli Doha 45%Draw 45%Al-Sailiya 10%

The statistical model rates Al Ahli Doha at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Al-Sailiya at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.53 | 4.21 | 4.73, which imply roughly 65.4% for a Al Ahli Doha win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Stars League table: Al Ahli Doha are 8th (4 pts, 5-9 goals), Al-Sailiya 12th (0 pts, 5-13).

Over their last five matches, Al Ahli Doha averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.3 conceded per game; Al-Sailiya averaged 1.3 scored and 3.3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Al Ahli Doha or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.54	4.23	4.74

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.27	1.16

Draw no bet

1	2
1.24	3.75

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.46	2.50

1st half

1	X	2
1.98	2.57	4.72

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.47	22.0	2.57

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	12.9
1.5	1.10	5.83
2.5	1.39	2.74
3.5	2.00	1.73
4.5	3.27	1.29
5.5	5.72	1.10
6.5	8.60	1.04
7.5	13.0	1.01
8.5	21.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	12.5
1.75	1.09	5.25
2	1.12	4.80
2.25	1.24	3.34
2.75	1.47	2.45
3	1.59	2.18
3.25	1.80	1.90
3.75	2.24	1.56
4	2.60	1.41
4.25	2.92	1.31
4.75	3.86	1.18
5	5.10	1.10
5.25	5.40	1.09
6	9.10	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.78	1.38
-1.5	2.38	1.51
-1.25	2.13	1.64
-1	1.88	1.84
-0.75	1.67	2.07
-0.5	1.55	2.36

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	7.90	1.02
-3	7.30	1.03
-2.75	5.30	1.12
-2.5	4.15	1.18
-2.25	3.81	1.21
-2	3.57	1.24
-0.25	1.38	2.78
0	1.23	3.72
+0.25	1.19	4.05
+0.5	1.19	4.50
+0.75	1.09	5.83
+1	1.01	8.70
+1.5	1.02	8.80