Vitória de Sernache vs 
Louletano• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.85 | 3.12 | 2.46 | 7.8% |
| Dafabet | 2.85 | 3.20 | 2.37 | 8.5% |
| Betano | 2.80 | 3.15 | 2.40 | 9.1% |
| 1xBet | 2.86 | 3.00 | 2.35 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 3.00 | 2.38 | 11.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.25 | 2.30 | 11.3% |
| Marathonbet | 2.78 | 3.00 | 2.33 | 12.2% |
| Best of all books | 2.86 | 3.25 | 2.46 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.81 | 3.10 | 2.37 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC
Vitória de Sernache
3W 3D 4L · goals 13:16 · per match 1.3 for, 1.6 against
| 19 Sep | H | Varzim | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | A | Caldas | 0-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-3 | L |
| 30 Aug | A | Nazarenos | 3-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Oliveirense | 2-3 | L |
| 16 Aug | H | SC Covilha | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | Mafra | 0-5 | L |
| 10 Jun | A | Leça | 1-1 | D |
| 31 May | H | Louletano | 1-1 | D |
| 23 May | A | Atlético Malveira | 3-0 | W |
Louletano
5W 3D 2L · goals 14:11 · per match 1.4 for, 1.1 against
| 20 Sep | A | FC Serpa | 2-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | H | União Santarém | 1-2 | L |
| 6 Sep | H | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Castrense | 1-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | Caldas | 4-2 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-3 | L |
| 8 Aug | A | Oliveirense | 0-0 | D |
| 31 May | A | Vitória de Sernache | 1-1 | D |
| 23 May | H | Oliveira Hospital | 2-1 | W |
| 17 May | H | Atlético Malveira | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 2: 1W 1D 0L for Vitória de Sernache
| 31 May 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Vitória de Sernache1-1Louletano |
| 10 May 2026Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Promotion Round | Louletano1-2Vitória de Sernache |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Vitória de Sernache sit 10th with 1 points from 5 games, while Louletano are 5th with 7 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.25 | 1.62 | 6.2% |
| Pinnacle | 2.33 | 1.56 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 1.56 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 1.56 | 9.1% |
| Betano | 2.20 | 1.57 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.33 | 1.62 | 4.6% |
| Average | 2.24 | 1.57 | 8.1% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.78 | 8.8% |
| Betano | 1.93 | 1.75 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.90 | 1.75 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.93 | 1.78 | 8.0% |
| Average | 1.91 | 1.76 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vitória de Sernache at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Louletano at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.80 | 3.12 | 2.37, which imply roughly 32.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Vitória de Sernache are 10th (1 pts, 3-13 goals), Louletano 5th (7 pts, 7-7).
Over their last five matches, Vitória de Sernache averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2.6 conceded per game; Louletano averaged 1.4 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Louletano.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.81 | 3.10 | 2.37 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.49 | 1.35 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.73 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.91 | 1.76 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.58 | 1.96 | 3.10 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.19 | 7.25 | 1.92 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.15 |
| 1.5 | 1.40 | 2.65 |
| 2.5 | 2.24 | 1.57 |
| 3.5 | 3.98 | 1.18 |
| 4.5 | 6.90 | 1.07 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.24 | 3.46 |
| 1.75 | 1.51 | 2.34 |
| 2 | 1.70 | 2.02 |
| 2.25 | 1.97 | 1.73 |
| 2.75 | 2.63 | 1.40 |
| 3 | 3.29 | 1.27 |
| 3.25 | 3.70 | 1.20 |
| 4 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.79 | 1.41 |
| -0.25 | 2.39 | 1.50 |
| 0 | 2.02 | 1.73 |
| +0.25 | 1.70 | 2.03 |
| +0.5 | 1.58 | 2.29 |
| +0.75 | 1.35 | 2.84 |
6 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 6.05 | 1.06 |
| -1 | 5.10 | 1.10 |
| -0.75 | 3.45 | 1.25 |
| +1 | 1.21 | 3.80 |
| +1.25 | 1.14 | 4.39 |
| +1.5 | 1.11 | 4.85 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| 9 | 2.00 | 1.80 |