Guimaraes B vs 
Pacos Ferreira• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 22:46 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 2.07 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 7.6% |
| Pinnacle | 2.12 | 3.27 | 3.32 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.25 | 3.35 | 8.9% |
| Betfair | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.20 | 9.2% |
| 1xBet | 2.08 | 3.20 | 3.16 | 11.0% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.30 | 11.1% |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.00 | 3.25 | 11.7% |
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 3.20 | 3.08 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 2.12 | 3.40 | 3.35 | 6.4% |
| Average | 2.07 | 3.23 | 3.25 | 9.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 18:32 UTC
Guimaraes B
2W 4D 4L · goals 11:15 · per match 1.1 for, 1.5 against
| 12 Sep | A | AD Marco 09 | 0-1 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Trofense | 0-0 | D |
| 21 Aug | A | Fafe | 1-1 | D |
| 15 Aug | H | Leça | 2-0 | W |
| 7 Aug | A | Paredes | 1-3 | L |
| 25 Jul | A | Chaves | 3-2 | W |
| 16 May | H | Amarante | 1-3 | L |
| 9 May | A | Trofense | 1-1 | D |
| 3 May | H | Mafra | 0-2 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Varzim | 2-2 | D |
Pacos Ferreira
1W 4D 5L · goals 8:15 · per match 0.8 for, 1.5 against
| 13 Sep | H | São João Ver | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | A | Vianense | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug | H | Fafe | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Varzim | 1-4 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Paredes | 0-1 | L |
| 9 Aug | A | AD Marco 09 | 1-2 | L |
| 29 Jul | H | Felgueiras 1932 | 0-0 | D |
| 25 Jul | H | AVS | 0-2 | L |
| 17 May | H | Penafiel | 2-1 | W |
| 9 May | A | Farense | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:5 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Guimaraes B
| 2 Mar 2019Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Pacos Ferreira4-1Guimaraes B |
| 28 Oct 2018Segunda Liga | Segunda Liga | Guimaraes B0-1Pacos Ferreira |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 10 Oct 00:02 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Guimaraes B sit 7th with 5 points from 5 games, while Pacos Ferreira are 10th with 2 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | União Santarém | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 7 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 5 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.00 | 1.81 | 5.2% |
| Bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 | 5.6% |
| Betano | 1.95 | 1.75 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.95 | 1.73 | 9.1% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.81 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.97 | 1.76 | 7.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| 1xBet | 1.75 | 1.93 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.75 | 1.91 | 9.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.75 | 1.90 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.75 | 1.95 | 8.4% |
| Average | 1.75 | 1.92 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Guimaraes B at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Pacos Ferreira at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.07 | 3.22 | 3.23, which imply roughly 48.3% for a Guimaraes B win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Guimaraes B are 7th (5 pts, 4-5 goals), Pacos Ferreira 10th (2 pts, 5-10).
Over their last five matches, Guimaraes B averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Pacos Ferreira averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Guimaraes B or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.07 | 3.23 | 3.25 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.27 | 1.64 | 1.27 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.50 | 2.42 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.75 | 1.92 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.69 | 2.09 | 3.83 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.74 | 9.63 | 2.25 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.05 | 7.38 |
| 1.5 | 1.29 | 3.09 |
| 2.5 | 1.97 | 1.76 |
| 3.5 | 3.35 | 1.25 |
| 4.5 | 6.25 | 1.09 |
| 5.5 | 15.0 | 1.02 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 7.90 |
| 1.25 | 1.14 | 4.30 |
| 1.75 | 1.35 | 2.81 |
| 2 | 1.47 | 2.44 |
| 2.25 | 1.72 | 1.99 |
| 2.75 | 2.23 | 1.56 |
| 3 | 2.75 | 1.37 |
| 3.25 | 3.09 | 1.30 |
| 4 | 6.15 | 1.06 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.75 | 2.44 | 1.47 |
| -0.5 | 2.07 | 1.71 |
| -0.25 | 1.82 | 1.91 |
| 0 | 1.54 | 2.33 |
| +0.25 | 1.39 | 2.69 |
| +0.5 | 1.32 | 3.25 |
8 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8.75 | 1.02 |
| -2 | 8.60 | 1.01 |
| -1.5 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| -1.25 | 3.74 | 1.19 |
| -1 | 3.24 | 1.28 |
| +0.75 | 1.17 | 3.94 |
| +1 | 1.06 | 6.10 |
| +1.5 | 1.03 | 7.20 |