Vianense vs 
Paredes• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:38 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 3.60 | 3.25 | 2.03 | 7.8% |
| Dafabet | 3.40 | 3.35 | 2.05 | 8.0% |
| Betano | 3.45 | 3.30 | 2.00 | 9.3% |
| 1xBet | 3.48 | 3.24 | 1.95 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 3.50 | 3.30 | 1.91 | 11.2% |
| Bet365 | 3.40 | 3.25 | 1.95 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 3.38 | 3.24 | 1.93 | 12.3% |
| Best of all books | 3.60 | 3.35 | 2.05 | 6.4% |
| Average | 3.46 | 3.28 | 1.97 | 10.1% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC
Vianense
5W 2D 3L · goals 19:10 · per match 1.9 for, 1.0 against
| 20 Sep | A | Estrela Calheta | 3-1 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Varzim | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | H | Pacos Ferreira | 2-2 | D |
| 30 Aug | H | Minas de Argozelo | 8-0 | W |
| 23 Aug | A | AD Marco 09 | 0-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | H | Trofense | 2-0 | W |
| 9 Aug | A | Fafe | 0-0 | D |
| 29 Jul | A | AVS | 0-3 | L |
| 31 May | H | Rebordosa | 2-0 | W |
| 23 May | A | Bragança | 0-1 | L |
Paredes
8W 0D 2L · goals 24:12 · per match 2.4 for, 1.2 against
| 20 Sep | H | Maria da Fonte | 5-1 | W |
| 13 Sep | H | Fafe | 2-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | Varzim | 1-0 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Ermesinde | 3-1 | W |
| 23 Aug | H | Leça | 1-2 | L |
| 15 Aug | A | Pacos Ferreira | 1-0 | W |
| 7 Aug | H | Guimaraes B | 3-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | H | Lusitânia Lourosa | 4-2 | W |
| 22 Jul | A | AVS | 4-2 | W |
| 18 Jul | A | Santa Clara | 0-2 | L |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:7 · last 2: 0W 0D 2L for Vianense
| 16 Mar 2025Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Vianense1-5Paredes |
| 30 Nov 2024Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | Paredes2-0Vianense |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 9 Oct 22:01 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, Vianense sit 5th with 8 points from 5 games, while Paredes are 1st with 12 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.08 | 1.73 | 5.9% |
| Pinnacle | 2.09 | 1.71 | 6.3% |
| Betano | 2.02 | 1.70 | 8.3% |
| 1xBet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| Marathonbet | 2.01 | 1.69 | 8.9% |
| Best of all books | 2.09 | 1.73 | 5.7% |
| Average | 2.04 | 1.70 | 7.7% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.82 | 1.85 | 9.0% |
| Betano | 1.85 | 1.82 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 1.82 | 9.9% |
| Best of all books | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| Average | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Vianense at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Paredes at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.47 | 3.27 | 1.98, which imply roughly 30.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: Vianense are 5th (8 pts, 6-5 goals), Paredes 1st (12 pts, 8-4).
Over their last five matches, Vianense averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Paredes averaged 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Paredes and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.46 | 3.28 | 1.97 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.71 | 1.24 | 1.25 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.54 | 1.46 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.83 | 1.83 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.13 | 2.07 | 2.60 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.42 | 7.95 | 1.72 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.06 | 7.10 |
| 1.5 | 1.33 | 2.96 |
| 2.5 | 2.04 | 1.70 |
| 3.5 | 3.45 | 1.23 |
| 4.5 | 5.85 | 1.09 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.04 | 6.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.17 | 3.94 |
| 1.75 | 1.40 | 2.64 |
| 2 | 1.53 | 2.30 |
| 2.25 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| 2.75 | 2.32 | 1.51 |
| 3 | 2.88 | 1.34 |
| 3.25 | 3.14 | 1.27 |
| 4 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.25 | 2.95 | 1.33 |
| 0 | 2.54 | 1.45 |
| +0.25 | 1.99 | 1.70 |
| +0.5 | 1.78 | 2.00 |
| +0.75 | 1.54 | 2.29 |
| +1 | 1.34 | 2.91 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.40 | 1.03 |
| -1 | 6.55 | 1.05 |
| -0.75 | 4.25 | 1.15 |
| +1.25 | 1.27 | 3.31 |
| +1.5 | 1.21 | 3.58 |
| +2 | 1.04 | 6.85 |
| +2.5 | 1.03 | 7.60 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5 | 1.85 | 1.85 |