União Santarém vs 
Lusitano Évora 1911• Liga 3, Portugal
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 14:18 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.96 | 3.21 | 2.33 | 7.9% |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.15 | 2.28 | 7.9% |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.32 | 9.1% |
| Bet365 | 3.10 | 3.10 | 2.20 | 10.0% |
| 1xBet | 2.99 | 2.96 | 2.29 | 10.9% |
| Betfair | 2.88 | 3.00 | 2.30 | 11.5% |
| Marathonbet | 2.91 | 2.96 | 2.27 | 12.2% |
| SBO | 2.84 | 2.76 | 2.14 | 18.2% |
| Best of all books | 3.10 | 3.21 | 2.33 | 6.3% |
| Average | 2.96 | 3.04 | 2.27 | 10.8% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 17:32 UTC
União Santarém
2W 4D 4L · goals 11:14 · per match 1.1 for, 1.4 against
| 20 Sep | H | Merelinense | 5-0 | W |
| 12 Sep | A | Louletano | 2-1 | W |
| 4 Sep | H | Caldas | 0-1 | L |
| 22 Aug | A | CF Os Belenenses | 0-5 | L |
| 14 Aug | H | Oliveirense | 1-1 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | SC Covilha | 0-2 | L |
| 31 Jul | H | Academica | 0-0 | D |
| 16 May | H | Varzim | 2-2 | D |
| 10 May | A | Amarante | 0-1 | L |
| 2 May | A | CF Os Belenenses | 1-1 | D |
Lusitano Évora 1911
2W 3D 5L · goals 8:11 · per match 0.8 for, 1.1 against
| 12 Sep | H | SC Covilha | 2-2 | D |
| 6 Sep | A | Louletano | 0-1 | L |
| 30 Aug | H | CF Os Belenenses | 1-2 | L |
| 22 Aug | H | Mafra | 2-1 | W |
| 16 Aug | A | Caldas | 0-0 | D |
| 8 Aug | H | Atlético CP | 0-1 | L |
| 29 Jul | A | Estrela | 0-1 | L |
| 15 Jul | A | Benfica B | 1-1 | D |
| 2 May | H | Atlético CP | 0-1 | L |
| 25 Apr | A | Amora | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
2 meetings · goals 1:1 · last 2: 1W 0D 1L for União Santarém
| 9 Nov 2025Liga 3 | Liga 3 | Lusitano Évora 19111-0União Santarém |
| 9 Aug 2025Liga 3 | Liga 3 | União Santarém1-0Lusitano Évora 1911 |
Liga 3 tableLiga 3updated 9 Oct 17:11 UTC
In the Liga 3 table, União Santarém sit 9th with 4 points from 5 games, while Lusitano Évora 1911 are 7th with 5 points from 5.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 12 |
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | +11 | 15 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | +3 | 10 |
| 2 | Atlético CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | +5 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | +3 | 9 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 8 |
| 4 | Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | +4 | 7 |
| 5 | Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | +1 | 8 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
| 6 | Leça | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 7 | Lusitano Évora 1911 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 4 |
| 8 | SC Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
| 9 | São João Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 3 |
| 9 | União Santarém | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | -7 | 4 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 2 |
| 10 | Vitória de Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 1 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 2.50 | 1.49 | 7.1% |
| Bet365 | 2.38 | 1.53 | 7.4% |
| Betano | 2.30 | 1.53 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Marathonbet | 2.36 | 1.50 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 2.50 | 1.53 | 5.4% |
| Average | 2.38 | 1.51 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betano | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.99 | 1.70 | 9.1% |
| Marathonbet | 1.99 | 1.68 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 2.00 | 1.70 | 8.8% |
| Average | 1.99 | 1.69 | 9.2% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates União Santarém at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Lusitano Évora 1911 at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.98 | 3.09 | 2.29, which imply roughly 33.6% for a União Santarém win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Liga 3 table: União Santarém are 9th (4 pts, 3-10 goals), Lusitano Évora 1911 7th (5 pts, 4-5).
Over their last five matches, União Santarém averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Lusitano Évora 1911 averaged 0.8 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : União Santarém or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.96 | 3.04 | 2.27 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.50 | 1.29 | 1.28 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 2.13 | 1.64 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.99 | 1.69 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.70 | 1.91 | 3.02 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | 6.90 | 1.90 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.08 | 6.30 |
| 1.5 | 1.44 | 2.52 |
| 2.5 | 2.38 | 1.51 |
| 3.5 | 4.42 | 1.15 |
| 4.5 | 8.40 | 1.06 |
| 5.5 | 26.0 | 1.01 |
9 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.07 | 5.75 |
| 1.25 | 1.26 | 3.32 |
| 1.75 | 1.57 | 2.23 |
| 2 | 1.79 | 1.91 |
| 2.25 | 2.10 | 1.64 |
| 2.75 | 2.88 | 1.34 |
| 3 | 3.78 | 1.19 |
| 3.25 | 4.20 | 1.15 |
| 4 | 9.00 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -0.5 | 2.90 | 1.39 |
| -0.25 | 2.49 | 1.46 |
| 0 | 2.10 | 1.65 |
| +0.25 | 1.76 | 1.97 |
| +0.5 | 1.63 | 2.21 |
| +0.75 | 1.37 | 2.78 |
7 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 7.20 | 1.03 |
| -1 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -0.75 | 3.66 | 1.22 |
| +1 | 1.19 | 3.94 |
| +1.25 | 1.13 | 4.56 |
| +1.5 | 1.10 | 5.10 |
| +2.5 | 1.02 | 9.20 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5 | 1.74 | 2.01 |
| 10 | 1.95 | 1.85 |